Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 26, 2016

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $98.1800 (13.63%) ($89.7200 - $99.0400) on Tue. Jan. 26, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.09% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $98.1800(13.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 6.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -12.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(96%)    SIL(89%)    GLD(73%)    SLV(61%)    BWX(43%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -4.045% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-19%)    TBT(-18%)    IPO(-5%)    XLF(1%)    UNG(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.045% (StdDev 8.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 9.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $58.44(-40.48%)
5 Day Moving Average   $84.17(16.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.6(16.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $94.37(4.04%)
To recent high   -42.9%
To recent low   37%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.07%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.07% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 13.98% (three month std-dev: 8.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160226

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_26_2016	119.31	94.37	84.6	84.17			98.18(13.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-9	-10000	17	-86	2.7	40%	-0.18	-32.1	8.09%	0	0.3	48	0
2	Jan_25_2016	119.53	94.87	84.49	78.87			86.4(7.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-28	-10000	2	-118	1.7	37%	-0.24	-35.9	7.95%	0	-0.6	41	0
3	Jan_22_2016	119.82	95.75	86.95	78.14			80.21(2.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-30	-10000	-2	-112	1.93	37%	-0.28	-38.1	7.94%	0	-1.2	43	0
4	Jan_21_2016	120.16	96.7	90.96	78.88			78.4(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-31	-10000	-9	-95	2.43	37%	-0.36	-36.8	7.97%	0	-1.4	43	0
5	Jan_20_2016	120.59	97.85	93.99	81.86			77.68(8.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-10000	-10	-80	2.46	39%	-0.38	-32	8.02%	0	-1.6	39	0

6	Jan_19_2016	121.05	98.8	96.72	85.1			71.64(-13.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-29	-10000	-16	-67	3.94	35%	-0.65	-34.9	8.08%	0	-2.3	36	0
7	Jan_15_2016	121.84	99.86	100.34	90.83			82.76(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-24	-10000	-16	-49	2.46	37%	-0.36	-37.7	8.04%	0	-1.8	36	0
8	Jan_14_2016	122.28	101.14	102.03	97.09			83.92(-10.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-22	-10000	-19	-31	3.55	42%	-0.19	-23.7	8.04%	0	-1.9	42	0
9	Jan_13_2016	122.51	101.88	103.55	104.9			93.32(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-4	-10000	-7	4	2.58	44%	-0.26	-6.5	8.34%	0	-1.1	51	0
10	Jan_12_2016	122.83	102.06	104.6	107.97			93.88(-6.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.8	2	-10000	-4	19	3.37	44%	-0.39	-4.3	8.34%	0	-1	50	0

11	Jan_11_2016	123.31	103.04	105.38	109.96			100.28(-12.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	7	-10000	-2	33	2.68	44%	-0.67	-4.1	8.37%	0	-0.4	57	0
12	Jan_8_2016	124.14	103.53	106.38	110.99			114.04(-7.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	7	55	2.01	49%	-0.7	0.5	8.5%	0	1.3	68	0
13	Jan_7_2016	125.01	103.3	105.29	107.61			122.96(13.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	20	-10000	12	42	2.41	49%	-0.42	-6.6	8.46%	0	2.5	58	0
14	Jan_6_2016	125.54	103.3	102.6	102.28			108.68(4.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7	-10000	3	20	1.66	49%	-0.44	-31.5	8.29%	0	0.9	59	0
15	Jan_5_2016	126.1	102.4	101.63	101.02			103.84(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-10000	2	17	1.31	51%	-0.54	-31.8	8.4%	0	0.2	57	0

16	Jan_4_2016	126.78	103.36	100.68	100.25			105.44(8.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	-2	-10000	-2	-0	2.34	51%	-0.66	-15.9	8.55%	0	0.3	48	0
17	Dec_31_2015	127.62	103.49	99.05	101.21			97.12(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5	-10000	-3	-10	1.29	54%	-0.73	-6.4	8.99%	0	-0.7	46	0
18	Dec_30_2015	128.56	103.82	100	102.54			96.32(-5.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-3	-10000	-1	-7	1.42	54%	-0.49	-2.8	9.03%	0	-0.9	45	0
19	Dec_29_2015	129.19	103.82	100.06	102.79			102.4(2.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-2	-10000	1	-12	1.25	54%	-0.38	7.1	9.04%	0	-0.3	50	0
20	Dec_28_2015	129.68	104.58	99.37	102.18			99.96(-9.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-4	-10000	3	-23	1.61	51%	-0.17	8.4	9.03%	0	-0.6	47	0

21	Dec_24_2015	129.9	104.48	100.59	100.97			110.24(6.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	-0	-10000	10	-31	1.17	56%	-0.05	-1.8	9.07%	0	0.7	44	0
22	Dec_23_2015	129.97	104.04	100.41	96.62			103.8(6.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-14	-10000	-2	-48	1.26	56%	-0.15	-14	9.39%	0	-0	51	0
23	Dec_22_2015	130.17	104.07	101.04	97.31			97.56(-1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-10	-10000	1	-41	1.35	54%	-0.2	-4.5	9.37%	0	-0.8	51	0
24	Dec_21_2015	130.43	103.98	102.04	97.02			99.32(5.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	-10000	2	-43	1.86	52%	-0.3	-10.7	9.52%	0	-0.5	48	0
25	Dec_18_2015	130.82	103.89	103.09	96.22			93.92(6.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-10000	-8	-46	2.56	52%		-16.1	9.56%	0	-1.1	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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