Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $114.0400 (-7.25%) ($108.0000 - $117.1600) on Fri. Jan. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.5% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $114.0400(-7.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 3.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 7.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(96%)    SIL(89%)    GLD(73%)    SLV(61%)    BWX(43%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -4.25% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-20%)    TBT(-18%)    XLF(1%)    UNG(1%)    IYT(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.25% (StdDev 8.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $110.99(2.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $106.38(7.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $103.53(10.15%)
To recent high   -44.4%
To recent low   28.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.07%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.07% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 7.92% (three month std-dev: 8.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160208

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_8_2016	124.14	103.53	106.38	110.99			114.04(-7.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	7	55	2.01	49%	-0.7	0.5	8.5%	0	1.3	68	0
2	Jan_7_2016	125.01	103.3	105.29	107.61			122.96(13.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	20	-10000	12	42	2.41	49%	-0.42	-6.6	8.46%	0	2.5	58	0
3	Jan_6_2016	125.54	103.3	102.6	102.28			108.68(4.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7	-10000	3	20	1.66	49%	-0.44	-31.5	8.29%	0	0.9	59	0
4	Jan_5_2016	126.1	102.4	101.63	101.02			103.84(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-10000	2	17	1.31	51%	-0.54	-31.8	8.4%	0	0.2	57	0
5	Jan_4_2016	126.78	103.36	100.68	100.25			105.44(8.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	-2	-10000	-2	-0	2.34	51%	-0.66	-15.9	8.55%	0	0.3	48	0

6	Dec_31_2015	127.62	103.49	99.05	101.21			97.12(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5	-10000	-3	-10	1.29	54%	-0.73	-6.4	8.99%	0	-0.7	46	0
7	Dec_30_2015	128.56	103.82	100	102.54			96.32(-5.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-3	-10000	-1	-7	1.42	54%	-0.49	-2.8	9.03%	0	-0.9	45	0
8	Dec_29_2015	129.19	103.82	100.06	102.79			102.4(2.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-2	-10000	1	-12	1.25	54%	-0.38	7.1	9.04%	0	-0.3	50	0
9	Dec_28_2015	129.68	104.58	99.37	102.18			99.96(-9.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-4	-10000	3	-23	1.61	51%	-0.17	8.4	9.03%	0	-0.6	47	0
10	Dec_24_2015	129.9	104.48	100.59	100.97			110.24(6.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	-0	-10000	10	-31	1.17	56%	-0.05	-1.8	9.07%	0	0.7	44	0

11	Dec_23_2015	129.97	104.04	100.41	96.62			103.8(6.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-14	-10000	-2	-48	1.26	56%	-0.15	-14	9.39%	0	-0	51	0
12	Dec_22_2015	130.17	104.07	101.04	97.31			97.56(-1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-10	-10000	1	-41	1.35	54%	-0.2	-4.5	9.37%	0	-0.8	51	0
13	Dec_21_2015	130.43	103.98	102.04	97.02			99.32(5.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	-10000	2	-43	1.86	52%	-0.3	-10.7	9.52%	0	-0.5	48	0
14	Dec_18_2015	130.82	103.89	103.09	96.22			93.92(6.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-10000	-8	-46	2.56	52%	-0.27	-16.1	9.56%	0	-1.1	51	0
15	Dec_17_2015	131.18	104.63	106.16	100.18			88.48(-17.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-12	-10000	-9	-20	3.34	52%	-0.43	1.2	9.55%	0	-1.9	51	0

16	Dec_16_2015	131.74	105.23	108.39	104.59			107.28(11.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-1	-10000	-2	1	2.98	58%	-0.23	14.5	9.36%	0	0.3	56	0
17	Dec_15_2015	132.05	104.44	108.03	105.45			96.08(0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-3	-10000	-5	2	1.51	56%	-0.29	11.6	9.46%	0	-1	49	0
18	Dec_14_2015	132.43	104.9	109.67	107.78			95.32(-16.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	0	-10000	-6	19	3.01	56%	-0.41	18.5	9.46%	0	-1.2	55	0
19	Dec_11_2015	132.97	105.31	110.57	110.76			113.76(2.93%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	5	-10000	-5	34	1.97	59%	-0.17	31.4	9.24%	0	1.1	62	0
20	Dec_10_2015	133.2	104.53	108.93	113.14			110.52(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	11	-10000	1	40	1.09	59%	-0.29	31.5	9.23%	0	0.8	53	0

21	Dec_9_2015	133.59	104.12	108.12	112.79			111.56(3.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	-10000	3	43	2.17	59%	-0.3	15.4	9.23%	0	1	59	0
22	Dec_8_2015	133.99	103.48	107.38	111.07			107.76(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-10000	-1	45	2.1	59%	-0.28	-13.3	9.29%	0	0.6	61	0
23	Dec_7_2015	134.36	103.41	106.13	111.78			110.2(-12.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	-10000	3	44	2.2	59%	-0.73	-30.1	9.29%	0	0.9	54	0
24	Dec_4_2015	135.35	102.88	104.75	110.1			125.68(15.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	19	-10000	12	39	2.99	61%	-0.85	-59.3	9.23%	0	3.1	60	0
25	Dec_3_2015	136.51	102.14	102.7	104.25			108.76(5.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	8	-10000	3	21	1.88	59%		-119	9.03%	0	1.1	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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