Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $97.5600 (-1.77%) ($96.4000 - $102.7200) on Tue. Dec. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.37% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $97.5600(-1.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -6.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(96%)    SIL(89%)    GLD(74%)    SLV(61%)    BWX(43%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -4.685% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-20%)    TBT(-18%)    LIT(-6%)    XLF(1%)    IYT(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.685% (StdDev 9.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

Resistance Level   $104.07
5 Day Moving Average   $97.31(0.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $101.04(-3.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $104.07(-6.26%)
To recent high   -52.4%
To recent low   10.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.09%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.09% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 8.08% (three month std-dev: 9.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160122

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2015	130.17	104.07	101.04	97.31			97.56(-1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-10	-10000	1	-41	1.35	54%	-0.2	-4.5	9.37%	0	-0.8	51	0
2	Dec_21_2015	130.43	103.98	102.04	97.02			99.32(5.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	-10000	2	-43	1.86	52%	-0.3	-10.7	9.52%	0	-0.5	48	0
3	Dec_18_2015	130.82	103.89	103.09	96.22			93.92(6.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-10000	-8	-46	2.56	52%	-0.27	-16.1	9.56%	0	-1.1	51	0
4	Dec_17_2015	131.18	104.63	106.16	100.18			88.48(-17.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-12	-10000	-9	-20	3.34	52%	-0.43	1.2	9.55%	0	-1.9	51	0
5	Dec_16_2015	131.74	105.23	108.39	104.59			107.28(11.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-1	-10000	-2	1	2.98	58%	-0.23	14.5	9.36%	0	0.3	56	0

6	Dec_15_2015	132.05	104.44	108.03	105.45			96.08(0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-3	-10000	-5	2	1.51	56%	-0.29	11.6	9.46%	0	-1	49	0
7	Dec_14_2015	132.43	104.9	109.67	107.78			95.32(-16.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	0	-10000	-6	19	3.01	56%	-0.41	18.5	9.46%	0	-1.2	55	0
8	Dec_11_2015	132.97	105.31	110.57	110.76			113.76(2.93%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	5	-10000	-5	34	1.97	59%	-0.17	31.4	9.24%	0	1.1	62	0
9	Dec_10_2015	133.2	104.53	108.93	113.14			110.52(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	11	-10000	1	40	1.09	59%	-0.29	31.5	9.23%	0	0.8	53	0
10	Dec_9_2015	133.59	104.12	108.12	112.79			111.56(3.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	-10000	3	43	2.17	59%	-0.3	15.4	9.23%	0	1	59	0

11	Dec_8_2015	133.99	103.48	107.38	111.07			107.76(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-10000	-1	45	2.1	59%	-0.28	-13.3	9.29%	0	0.6	61	0
12	Dec_7_2015	134.36	103.41	106.13	111.78			110.2(-12.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	-10000	3	44	2.2	59%	-0.73	-30.1	9.29%	0	0.9	54	0
13	Dec_4_2015	135.35	102.88	104.75	110.1			125.68(15.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	19	-10000	12	39	2.99	61%	-0.85	-59.3	9.23%	0	3.1	60	0
14	Dec_3_2015	136.51	102.14	102.7	104.25			108.76(5.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	8	-10000	3	21	1.88	59%	-1.02	-119	9.03%	0	1.1	57	0
15	Dec_2_2015	137.92	102.95	101.57	102.87			102.96(-7.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	2	-10000	-1	11	2.04	59%	-1.18	-108.8	9.03%	0	0	52	0

16	Dec_1_2015	139.56	104.49	100.39	103.14			111.32(9.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-10000	8	11	1.91	59%	-1.14	-92.2	8.98%	0	0.6	58	0
17	Nov_30_2015	141.17	105.71	99.52	99.69			101.8(5.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	3	-6	1.62	58%	-1.19	-90.8	8.9%	0	-0.3	48	0
18	Nov_27_2015	142.87	107.41	99.5	98.53			96.4(-5.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-10000	-5	-12	1	62%	-2.15	-94.4	8.95%	0	-0.7	51	0
19	Nov_25_2015	146.01	109.64	99.77	100.86			101.88(-2.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	-10000	2	-10	1.51	57%	-1.22	-74.9	9.28%	0	-0.4	45	0
20	Nov_24_2015	147.82	112.6	99.8	100.05			104.32(10.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	-10000	6	-25	2.29	53%	-1.48	-65.8	9.37%	0	-0.4	41	0

21	Nov_23_2015	150.04	115.72	99.24	97.23			94.04(-2.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-10000	-4	-56	1.38	51%	-0.38	-63.7	9.69%	0	-0.8	33	0
22	Nov_20_2015	150.61	119.45	100.57	99.3			96(-11.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-2	-65	2.45	52%	-1.45	-55.4	9.74%	0	-0.8	33	0
23	Nov_19_2015	152.82	123.85	101.02	100.51			108.08(10.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	-10000	4	-77	3.08	55%	-1.25	-53	9.78%	0	-0.5	37	0
24	Nov_18_2015	154.75	127.06	101.49	98.62			97.81(8.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-26	-10000	-2	-97	3.21	53%	-1.46	-56.8	9.74%	0	-0.9	29	0
25	Nov_17_2015	157.04	130.49	104.33	99.61			90.22(-13.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-30	-10000	-4	-109	3.05	55%		-59.2	9.7%	0	-1.3	18	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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