Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Dec. 1, 2015

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $111.3200 (9.35%) ($100.6700 - $112.0000) on Tue. Dec. 1, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.98% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $111.3200(9.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 3.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(97%)    SIL(89%)    GLD(74%)    SLV(61%)    BWX(43%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -4.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-20%)    TBT(-18%)    XLF(2%)    VIXM(2%)    UNG(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.49% (StdDev 8.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $103.14(7.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $100.39(10.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $104.49(6.54%)
To recent high   -45.7%
To recent low   23.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.08%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.08% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 10.53% (three month std-dev: 8.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160101

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_1_2015	139.56	104.49	100.39	103.14			111.32(9.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-10000	8	11	1.91	59%	-1.14	-92.2	8.98%	0	0.6	58	0
2	Nov_30_2015	141.17	105.71	99.52	99.69			101.8(5.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	3	-6	1.62	58%	-1.19	-90.8	8.9%	0	-0.3	48	0
3	Nov_27_2015	142.87	107.41	99.5	98.53			96.4(-5.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-10000	-5	-12	1	62%	-2.15	-94.4	8.95%	0	-0.7	51	0
4	Nov_25_2015	146.01	109.64	99.77	100.86			101.88(-2.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	-10000	2	-10	1.51	57%	-1.22	-74.9	9.28%	0	-0.4	45	0
5	Nov_24_2015	147.82	112.6	99.8	100.05			104.32(10.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	-10000	6	-25	2.29	53%	-1.48	-65.8	9.37%	0	-0.4	41	0

6	Nov_23_2015	150.04	115.72	99.24	97.23			94.04(-2.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-10000	-4	-56	1.38	51%	-0.38	-63.7	9.69%	0	-0.8	33	0
7	Nov_20_2015	150.61	119.45	100.57	99.3			96(-11.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-2	-65	2.45	52%	-1.45	-55.4	9.74%	0	-0.8	33	0
8	Nov_19_2015	152.82	123.85	101.02	100.51			108.08(10.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	-10000	4	-77	3.08	55%	-1.25	-53	9.78%	0	-0.5	37	0
9	Nov_18_2015	154.75	127.06	101.49	98.62			97.81(8.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-26	-10000	-2	-97	3.21	53%	-1.46	-56.8	9.74%	0	-0.9	29	0
10	Nov_17_2015	157.04	130.49	104.33	99.61			90.22(-13.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-30	-10000	-4	-109	3.05	55%	-1.54	-59.2	9.7%	0	-1.3	18	0

11	Nov_16_2015	159.5	135.08	108.89	101.42			104.4(2.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-30	-10000	-1	-115	1.49	57%	-1.5	-59.7	9.66%	0	-1	20	0
12	Nov_13_2015	161.93	138.12	112.23	102.02			102.04(3.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-30	-10000	1	-122	2.07	54%	-1.53	-59.3	9.66%	0	-1.1	18	0
13	Nov_12_2015	164.44	142.34	115.78	101.61			98.64(-4.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-39	-10000	-6	-137	2.43	57%	-1.59	-57.8	9.84%	0	-1.3	13	0
14	Nov_11_2015	167.09	147.61	120.21	104.87			102.76(3.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-41	-10000	-9	-136	1.92	57%	-1.53	-51.2	10.14%	0	-1.3	22	0
15	Nov_10_2015	169.69	152.69	126.3	110			99.24(-7.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-10000	-13	-127	2.33	59%	-1.52	-46.7	10.15%	0	-1.7	25	0

16	Nov_9_2015	172.31	156.57	133.46	117.6			107.44(7.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-10000	-10	-110	2.64	59%	-1.56	-44.6	10.38%	0	-1.7	24	0
17	Nov_6_2015	175.04	159.91	139.84	124.15			99.96(-13.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-33	-10000	-11	-97	3.01	60%	-1.72	-40	10.34%	0	-2.2	29	0
18	Nov_5_2015	178.11	164.4	148.7	131.91			114.96(-10.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-26	-10000	-8	-80	2.95	62%	-1.53	-30	10.24%	0	-2.1	28	0
19	Nov_4_2015	180.87	166.95	154.92	137.58			128.4(-6.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-10000	-10	-79	1.92	64%	-1.28	-16.8	10.17%	0	-1.9	28	0
20	Nov_3_2015	183.22	169.07	159	145.07			137.24(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-26	-10000	-9	-76	1.45	62%	-1.3	4.3	10.13%	0	-1.7	30	0

21	Nov_2_2015	185.63	170.8	163.57	152			140.2(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-21	-10000	-8	-61	1.86	62%	-1.26	31.5	10.22%	0	-1.7	45	0
22	Oct_30_2015	188	171.62	166.27	158.26			138.76(-3.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-23	-10000	-12	-54	1.45	60%	-1.3	53.1	10.24%	0	-1.8	45	0
23	Oct_29_2015	190.48	171.76	171.23	168.17			143.32(-13.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-14	-10000	-7	-34	2.12	60%	-1.33	62.3	10.3%	0	-1.3	42	0
24	Oct_28_2015	193.05	170.49	177.42	174.58			165.84(-3.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2	-10000	-0	-8	2.2	63%	-1.15	61.4	10.16%	0	-0.2	56	0
25	Oct_27_2015	195.29	168.29	181.19	174.8			171.88(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-10000	-2	3	0.89	61%		57	10.15%	0	0.1	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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