Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sun. Oct. 11, 2015

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $185.1600 (16.07%) ($172.9600 - $185.6800) on Sun. Oct. 11, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   10.57% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $185.1600(16.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 6.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 21.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -5.285% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.285% (StdDev 10.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $165.89(11.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $141.85(30.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $131.47(40.84%)
To recent high   -31.6%
To recent low   76%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.11%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.11% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 17.84% (three month std-dev: 10.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151111

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_9_2015	223.37	131.47	141.85	165.89			185.16(16.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	41	-10000	13	126	1.13	52%	-1.28	70.4	10.57%	0	2.3	65	0
2	Oct_8_2015	226.26	127.43	135.35	155.58			159.52(-3.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-10000	14	95	1.22	50%	-1.42	63.7	10.38%	0	1.6	56	0
3	Oct_7_2015	229.52	124.69	132.06	145.28			165.96(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	27	-10000	14	65	1.12	48%	-1.35	47.1	10.38%	0	2.1	59	0
4	Oct_6_2015	232.66	121.6	126	135.21			167.8(11.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	22	-10000	18	32	1.61	48%	-1.57	31.5	10.5%	0	2.8	62	0
5	Oct_5_2015	236.36	118.82	119.85	123.33			151(12.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	12	-10000	15	2	1.51	47%	-1.61	8.1	10.41%	0	2.4	65	0

6	Oct_2_2015	240.23	116.8	117.01	114.49			133.64(23.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-2	-10000	3	-18	2.1	46%	-1.68	-21.4	10.36%	0	1.5	62	0
7	Oct_1_2015	244.33	115.68	117.25	112.56			108(-6.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-10000	-7	-14	1.71	41%	-1.74	-33.2	9.92%	0	-0.7	54	0
8	Sep_30_2015	248.66	116.27	119.85	116.8			115.6(6.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	-10000	3	15	1.11	41%	-1.54	-17.7	9.93%	0	-0.1	58	0
9	Sep_29_2015	252.55	116.56	120.67	115.12			108.4(1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-10000	-1	17	0.64	41%	-1.46	-23.2	9.88%	0	-0.8	55	0
10	Sep_28_2015	256.3	117.74	120.77	115.44			106.8(-13.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-3	-10000	-7	10	0.98	41%	-1.44	-24.5	9.88%	0	-1	49	0

11	Sep_25_2015	260.04	117.74	120.94	119.52			124(-4.02%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	1	-10000	-5	20	1	43%	-1.32	-31.1	9.75%	0	0.4	57	0
12	Sep_24_2015	263.51	119.21	119.46	122.8			129.2(20.52%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	6	-10000	-2	30	1.76	43%	-1.25	-50.7	9.75%	0	0.9	60	0
13	Sep_23_2015	266.85	118.09	117.19	123.84			107.2(-2.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	3	-10000	-6	28	0.78	40%	-1.46	-72.8	9.36%	0	-1	46	0
14	Sep_22_2015	270.79	118.99	117.4	127.12			110(-13.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.6	9	-10000	1	34	1.15	40%	-1.48	-81.3	9.36%	0	-0.8	46	0
15	Sep_21_2015	274.85	120.41	118.2	126.4			127.2(-9.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	8	27	0.98	41%	-1.35	-89.1	9.25%	0	0.6	47	0

16	Sep_18_2015	278.62	122.77	116.8	122			140.4(4.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	10	-10000	12	3	1.52	42%	-1.25	-59.4	9.22%	0	1	50	0
17	Sep_17_2015	282.16	125.14	113.78	115.6			134.4(8.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	-10000	11	-23	2.02	43%	-1.43	-45	9.21%	0	0.4	55	0
18	Sep_16_2015	286.25	126.87	111.96	110			123.6(16.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	-10000	7	-37	1.57	43%	-1.38	-48.6	9.19%	0	-0.1	62	0
19	Sep_15_2015	290.26	128.66	111.56	106.72			106.4(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-17	-10000	-4	-54	0.7	40%	-1.25	-49.5	8.93%	0	-0.8	43	0
20	Sep_14_2015	293.92	131.79	114.06	108.88			105.2(-2.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10000	-4	-51	0.8	40%	-1.14	-44.3	8.93%	0	-1	37	0

21	Sep_11_2015	297.32	134.26	117.11	110.64			108.4(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-2	-64	1.43	40%	-1.21	-40.3	8.93%	0	-0.9	29	0
22	Sep_10_2015	300.96	136.87	118.83	111.52			106.4(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-10000	-5	-93	0.84	40%	-1.11	-35.5	8.92%	0	-1.1	26	0
23	Sep_9_2015	304.33	140.95	119.15	114.08			107.2(-8.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-10000	-6	-114	1.07	40%	-1.24	-22.1	8.94%	0	-1.2	34	0
24	Sep_8_2015	308.16	143.63	120.97	117.04			117.2(2.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-35	-10000	-6	-122	0.98	40%	-1.66	-15	8.9%	0	-1	41	0
25	Sep_4_2015	313.35	145.4	123.07	120.16			114(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-10000	-8	-128	1.17	40%		-8.2	8.83%	0	-1.2	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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