Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 30, 2015

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $115.6000 (6.64%) ($102.8000 - $115.6000) on Wed. Sep. 30, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.93% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $115.6000(6.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(97%)    SIL(89%)    GLD(74%)    SLV(61%)    BWX(43%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -4.965% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-20%)    TBT(-17%)    XLF(2%)    VIXM(2%)    UNG(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.965% (StdDev 9.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 11.6%

Resistance Level   $116.27
5 Day Moving Average   $116.8(-1.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $119.85(-3.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $116.27(-0.58%)
To recent high   -64.6%
To recent low   9.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.1%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.1% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 8.76% (three month std-dev: 9.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151030

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_30_2015	248.66	116.27	119.85	116.8			115.6(6.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	-10000	3	15	1.11	41%	-1.54	-17.7	9.93%	0	-0.1	58	0
2	Sep_29_2015	252.55	116.56	120.67	115.12			108.4(1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-10000	-1	17	0.64	41%	-1.46	-23.2	9.88%	0	-0.8	55	0
3	Sep_28_2015	256.3	117.74	120.77	115.44			106.8(-13.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-3	-10000	-7	10	0.98	41%	-1.44	-24.5	9.88%	0	-1	49	0
4	Sep_25_2015	260.04	117.74	120.94	119.52			124(-4.02%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	1	-10000	-5	20	1	43%	-1.32	-31.1	9.75%	0	0.4	57	0
5	Sep_24_2015	263.51	119.21	119.46	122.8			129.2(20.52%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	6	-10000	-2	30	1.76	43%	-1.25	-50.7	9.75%	0	0.9	60	0

6	Sep_23_2015	266.85	118.09	117.19	123.84			107.2(-2.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	3	-10000	-6	28	0.78	40%	-1.46	-72.8	9.36%	0	-1	46	0
7	Sep_22_2015	270.79	118.99	117.4	127.12			110(-13.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.6	9	-10000	1	34	1.15	40%	-1.48	-81.3	9.36%	0	-0.8	46	0
8	Sep_21_2015	274.85	120.41	118.2	126.4			127.2(-9.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	8	27	0.98	41%	-1.35	-89.1	9.25%	0	0.6	47	0
9	Sep_18_2015	278.62	122.77	116.8	122			140.4(4.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	10	-10000	12	3	1.52	42%	-1.25	-59.4	9.22%	0	1	50	0
10	Sep_17_2015	282.16	125.14	113.78	115.6			134.4(8.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	-10000	11	-23	2.02	43%	-1.43	-45	9.21%	0	0.4	55	0

11	Sep_16_2015	286.25	126.87	111.96	110			123.6(16.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	-10000	7	-37	1.57	43%	-1.38	-48.6	9.19%	0	-0.1	62	0
12	Sep_15_2015	290.26	128.66	111.56	106.72			106.4(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-17	-10000	-4	-54	0.7	40%	-1.25	-49.5	8.93%	0	-0.8	43	0
13	Sep_14_2015	293.92	131.79	114.06	108.88			105.2(-2.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10000	-4	-51	0.8	40%	-1.14	-44.3	8.93%	0	-1	37	0
14	Sep_11_2015	297.32	134.26	117.11	110.64			108.4(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-2	-64	1.43	40%	-1.21	-40.3	8.93%	0	-0.9	29	0
15	Sep_10_2015	300.96	136.87	118.83	111.52			106.4(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-10000	-5	-93	0.84	40%	-1.11	-35.5	8.92%	0	-1.1	26	0

16	Sep_9_2015	304.33	140.95	119.15	114.08			107.2(-8.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-10000	-6	-114	1.07	40%	-1.24	-22.1	8.94%	0	-1.2	34	0
17	Sep_8_2015	308.16	143.63	120.97	117.04			117.2(2.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-35	-10000	-6	-122	0.98	40%	-1.66	-15	8.9%	0	-1	41	0
18	Sep_4_2015	313.35	145.4	123.07	120.16			114(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-10000	-8	-128	1.17	40%	-1.12	-8.2	8.83%	0	-1.2	38	0
19	Sep_3_2015	316.9	146.3	129.37	124.72			112.8(-5.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-10000	-4	-105	1.17	40%	-1.17	-5.6	8.84%	0	-1.3	43	0
20	Sep_2_2015	320.65	147.25	137.39	127.2			119.2(-2.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-16	-10000	5	-80	1.28	40%	-1.02	-3.7	8.84%	0	-1.1	43	0

21	Sep_1_2015	323.96	147.48	142.86	124.72			122(-8.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-10000	-1	-91	1.07	40%	-0.97	-11	8.87%	0	-1	39	0
22	Aug_31_2015	327.12	147.84	146.99	125.2			132.8(-2.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-24	-10000	-2	-89	1.01	40%	-0.97	-13	8.83%	0	-0.6	49	0
23	Aug_28_2015	330.32	147.59	150.72	126.56			136.8(9.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-33	-10000	-15	-85	1.51	40%	-0.84	-13.3	8.83%	0	-0.4	52	0
24	Aug_27_2015	333.13	147.74	152.57	135.52			125.2(17.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-10000	-22	-61	1.31	38%	-0.9	-5.8	8.75%	0	-0.9	56	0
25	Aug_26_2015	336.16	148.2	156.33	150			106.8(-14.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-19	-10000	-20	-15	1.71	34%		9.3	8.45%	0	-1.7	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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