Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Sep. 18, 2015

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $140.4000 (4.46%) ($132.0000 - $147.2000) on Fri. Sep. 18, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.22% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $140.4000(4.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 5.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(97%)    SIL(89%)    GLD(74%)    SLV(61%)    BWX(43%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -4.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-20%)    TBT(-17%)    VIXM(1%)    XLF(2%)    UNG(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.61% (StdDev 9.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3%

5 Day Moving Average   $122(15.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $116.8(20.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $122.77(14.36%)
To recent high   -65.2%
To recent low   33.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.09%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.09% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 14.41% (three month std-dev: 9.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151018

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_18_2015	278.62	122.77	116.8	122			140.4(4.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	10	-10000	12	3	1.52	42%	-1.25	-59.4	9.22%	0	1	50	0
2	Sep_17_2015	282.16	125.14	113.78	115.6			134.4(8.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	-10000	11	-23	2.02	43%	-1.43	-45	9.21%	0	0.4	55	0
3	Sep_16_2015	286.25	126.87	111.96	110			123.6(16.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	-10000	7	-37	1.57	43%	-1.38	-48.6	9.19%	0	-0.1	62	0
4	Sep_15_2015	290.26	128.66	111.56	106.72			106.4(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-17	-10000	-4	-54	0.7	40%	-1.25	-49.5	8.93%	0	-0.8	43	0
5	Sep_14_2015	293.92	131.79	114.06	108.88			105.2(-2.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10000	-4	-51	0.8	40%	-1.14	-44.3	8.93%	0	-1	37	0

6	Sep_11_2015	297.32	134.26	117.11	110.64			108.4(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-2	-64	1.43	40%	-1.21	-40.3	8.93%	0	-0.9	29	0
7	Sep_10_2015	300.96	136.87	118.83	111.52			106.4(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-10000	-5	-93	0.84	40%	-1.11	-35.5	8.92%	0	-1.1	26	0
8	Sep_9_2015	304.33	140.95	119.15	114.08			107.2(-8.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-10000	-6	-114	1.07	40%	-1.24	-22.1	8.94%	0	-1.2	34	0
9	Sep_8_2015	308.16	143.63	120.97	117.04			117.2(2.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-35	-10000	-6	-122	0.98	40%	-1.66	-15	8.9%	0	-1	41	0
10	Sep_4_2015	313.35	145.4	123.07	120.16			114(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-10000	-8	-128	1.17	40%	-1.12	-8.2	8.83%	0	-1.2	38	0

11	Sep_3_2015	316.9	146.3	129.37	124.72			112.8(-5.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-10000	-4	-105	1.17	40%	-1.17	-5.6	8.84%	0	-1.3	43	0
12	Sep_2_2015	320.65	147.25	137.39	127.2			119.2(-2.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-16	-10000	5	-80	1.28	40%	-1.02	-3.7	8.84%	0	-1.1	43	0
13	Sep_1_2015	323.96	147.48	142.86	124.72			122(-8.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-10000	-1	-91	1.07	40%	-0.97	-11	8.87%	0	-1	39	0
14	Aug_31_2015	327.12	147.84	146.99	125.2			132.8(-2.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-24	-10000	-2	-89	1.01	40%	-0.97	-13	8.83%	0	-0.6	49	0
15	Aug_28_2015	330.32	147.59	150.72	126.56			136.8(9.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-33	-10000	-15	-85	1.51	40%	-0.84	-13.3	8.83%	0	-0.4	52	0

16	Aug_27_2015	333.13	147.74	152.57	135.52			125.2(17.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-10000	-22	-61	1.31	38%	-0.9	-5.8	8.75%	0	-0.9	56	0
17	Aug_26_2015	336.16	148.2	156.33	150			106.8(-14.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-19	-10000	-20	-15	1.71	34%	-0.97	9.3	8.45%	0	-1.7	52	0
18	Aug_25_2015	339.45	150.32	164.9	163.68			124.4(-10.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.7	6	-10000	-11	55	1.18	35%	-1.01	26.3	8.35%	0	-1.1	59	0
19	Aug_24_2015	342.93	151.19	168.86	171.28			139.6(-23.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	18	-10000	-8	95	1.16	37%	-0.6	34.3	8.34%	0	-0.5	60	0
20	Aug_21_2015	345	151.02	170.44	177.44			181.6(-8.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	-10000	8	144	1.51	40%	-0.71	40.8	7.88%	0	1.3	69	0

21	Aug_20_2015	347.45	149.24	165.17	171.84			197.6(12.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	41	-10000	12	129	1.56	41%	-0.7	22.1	7.83%	0	2.2	67	0
22	Aug_19_2015	349.89	145.94	157.95	164.32			175.2(7.88%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	23	-10000	-5	105	1.22	36%	-0.58	-10.9	7.64%	0	1.6	65	0
23	Aug_18_2015	351.94	144.46	152.33	167.2			162.4(-4.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	28	-10000	1	109	0.86	34%	-0.66	-31.3	7.63%	0	1	57	0
24	Aug_17_2015	354.28	143.73	148.59	166.4			170.4(10.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	7	106	1	34%	-0.7	-60.5	7.63%	0	1.6	61	0
25	Aug_14_2015	356.78	142.25	143.87	162.32			153.6(-4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	30	-10000	9	93	0.89	31%		-75.3	7.47%	0	0.5	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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