Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 17, 2015

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $170.4000 (10.94%) ($162.0000 - $173.6000) on Mon. Aug. 17, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.63% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $170.4000(10.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 2.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 13.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(97%)    SIL(90%)    GLD(73%)    SLV(62%)    BWX(42%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -3.815% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-20%)    TBT(-17%)    VIXM(1%)    XLF(2%)    UNG(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.815% (StdDev 7.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $166.4(2.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $148.59(14.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $143.73(18.56%)
To recent high   -67.9%
To recent low   45.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.06%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.06% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 11.9% (three month std-dev: 7.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150917

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_17_2015	354.28	143.73	148.59	166.4			170.4(10.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	7	106	1	34%	-0.7	-60.5	7.63%	0	1.6	61	0
2	Aug_14_2015	356.78	142.25	143.87	162.32			153.6(-4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	30	-10000	9	93	0.89	31%	-0.79	-75.3	7.47%	0	0.5	59	0
3	Aug_13_2015	359.61	144.58	142.19	156.8			160(-15.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	12	69	1.08	33%	-0.82	-66.5	7.47%	0	0.5	54	0
4	Aug_12_2015	362.6	148.01	139.07	149.92			189.6(19.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	34	-10000	29	50	1.9	36%	-0.79	-62.2	7.33%	0	1.1	65	0
5	Aug_11_2015	365.49	150.19	133.83	135.44			158.4(5.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	10	-10000	16	-8	1.51	29%	-0.89	-61.8	6.88%	0	0.2	53	0

6	Aug_10_2015	368.77	154.89	131.41	128.48			150(19.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-10000	13	-42	1.5	29%	-0.83	-58.4	6.82%	0	-0.1	50	0
7	Aug_7_2015	371.84	160.38	129.49	123.2			126(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-25	-10000	-6	-80	1.12	21%	-0.77	-58.7	6.33%	0	-0.6	44	0
8	Aug_6_2015	374.73	167.23	131.7	125.52			125.6(7.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-27	-10000	-2	-102	1.24	20%	-0.79	-57.2	6.34%	0	-0.7	30	0
9	Aug_5_2015	377.71	174.56	132.79	126.4			117.2(-5.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-49	-10000	-13	-157	0.92	17%	-0.66	-56.5	6.28%	0	-0.9	23	0
10	Aug_4_2015	380.21	182.3	136.06	131.76			123.6(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-51	-10000	-7	-183	0.54	17%	-0.67	-56.6	6.27%	0	-0.9	23	0

11	Aug_3_2015	382.77	190.12	138.79	134.56			123.6(-10.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-58	-10000	-4	-219	0.82	17%	-0.66	-55.2	6.28%	0	-1	22	0
12	Jul_31_2015	385.31	199.98	140.97	136.48			137.6(5.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-70	-10000	-6	-262	0.75	18%	-0.62	-57	6.25%	0	-0.9	23	0
13	Jul_30_2015	387.71	208.67	147.43	138.88			130(-9.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-71	-10000	-3	-274	0.9	17%	-0.65	-56.9	6.19%	0	-1.1	20	0
14	Jul_29_2015	390.26	217.15	157.78	140.08			144(4.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-71	-10000	-3	-275	1.35	18%	-0.53	-60.4	6.17%	0	-1.1	21	0
15	Jul_28_2015	392.35	226.08	167.53	141.2			137.6(3.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-73	-10000	-6	-275	0.76	23%	-0.59	-61.6	6.15%	0	-1.3	19	0

16	Jul_27_2015	394.67	235.86	179.73	143.84			133.2(-10.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-68	-10000	-5	-258	1.44	23%	-0.72	-63.1	6.33%	0	-1.5	16	0
17	Jul_24_2015	397.53	246.51	193.22	146			149.6(10%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-85	-10000	-24	-268	1.83	25%	-0.96	-65.9	6.29%	0	-1.4	15	0
18	Jul_23_2015	401.37	256.63	205.09	157.76			136(-9.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-95	-10000	-38	-266	1.34	20%	-0.97	-66.9	6.14%	0	-1.8	11	0
19	Jul_22_2015	405.31	268.08	219.52	178.64			149.6(-0.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-81	-10000	-32	-229	1.26	20%	-1	-66.2	6.16%	0	-1.8	18	0
20	Jul_21_2015	409.41	278.85	232.44	198.4			150.8(4.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-76	-10000	-33	-203	1.59	20%	-1.06	-64.9	6.24%	0	-2.1	16	0

21	Jul_20_2015	413.8	289.6	246.19	221.28			144(-30.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-69	-10000	-33	-177	1.97	20%	-1.18	-65.2	6.2%	0	-2.7	12	0
22	Jul_17_2015	418.73	301.73	264.95	246.64			208.4(-13.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-55	-10000	-19	-161	0.79	25%	-0.95	-66.2	4.98%	0	-2	16	0
23	Jul_16_2015	422.73	311.55	275.86	258.96			240.4(-3.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-47	-10000	-12	-150	0.48	28%	-0.83	-60.3	4.74%	0	-1.6	19	0
24	Jul_15_2015	426.27	318.97	281.97	266.56			248.4(-6.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-44	-10000	-8	-153	0.59	33%	-0.73	-58.8	4.75%	0	-1.6	19	0
25	Jul_14_2015	429.4	324.83	289.58	271.92			265.2(-2.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-41	-10000	-5	-149	0.43	35%		-62.5	4.83%	0	-1.4	21	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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