Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jul. 24, 2015

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $149.6000 (10%) ($122.4000 - $150.4000) on Fri. Jul. 24, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.29% (three month average)
RSI   15
Latest Price   $149.6000(10%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT declines -7.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -27.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(97%)    SIL(90%)    GLD(73%)    SLV(61%)    GDXJ(43%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -3.145% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-20%)    TBT(-17%)    VIXM(1%)    XLF(2%)    UNG(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.145% (StdDev 6.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 16.1%

Resistance Level   $246.51
5 Day Moving Average   $146(2.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $193.22(-22.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $246.51(-39.31%)
To recent high   -72.1%
To recent low   10%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 27.76% (three month std-dev: 6.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150824

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_24_2015	397.53	246.51	193.22	146			149.6(10%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-85	-10000	-24	-268	1.83	25%	-0.96	-65.9	6.29%	0	-1.4	15	0
2	Jul_23_2015	401.37	256.63	205.09	157.76			136(-9.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-95	-10000	-38	-266	1.34	20%	-0.97	-66.9	6.14%	0	-1.8	11	0
3	Jul_22_2015	405.31	268.08	219.52	178.64			149.6(-0.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-81	-10000	-32	-229	1.26	20%	-1	-66.2	6.16%	0	-1.8	18	0
4	Jul_21_2015	409.41	278.85	232.44	198.4			150.8(4.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-76	-10000	-33	-203	1.59	20%	-1.06	-64.9	6.24%	0	-2.1	16	0
5	Jul_20_2015	413.8	289.6	246.19	221.28			144(-30.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-69	-10000	-33	-177	1.97	20%	-1.18	-65.2	6.2%	0	-2.7	12	0

6	Jul_17_2015	418.73	301.73	264.95	246.64			208.4(-13.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-55	-10000	-19	-161	0.79	25%	-0.95	-66.2	4.98%	0	-2	16	0
7	Jul_16_2015	422.73	311.55	275.86	258.96			240.4(-3.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-47	-10000	-12	-150	0.48	28%	-0.83	-60.3	4.74%	0	-1.6	19	0
8	Jul_15_2015	426.27	318.97	281.97	266.56			248.4(-6.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-44	-10000	-8	-153	0.59	33%	-0.73	-58.8	4.75%	0	-1.6	19	0
9	Jul_14_2015	429.4	324.83	289.58	271.92			265.2(-2.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-41	-10000	-5	-149	0.43	35%	-0.71	-62.5	4.83%	0	-1.4	21	0
10	Jul_13_2015	432.47	330.46	296.27	275.44			270.8(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-51	-10000	-16	-154	0.53	35%	-0.68	-65.6	4.85%	0	-1.5	23	0

11	Jul_10_2015	435.42	335.8	303.53	286.64			270(-3.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-45	-10000	-13	-141	0.61	39%	-0.69	-64	4.86%	0	-1.7	20	0
12	Jul_9_2015	438.46	341.65	311.58	295.68			278.4(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-10000	-6	-134	0.45	39%	-0.76	-65	4.98%	0	-1.7	18	0
13	Jul_8_2015	441.84	347.75	319.8	299.84			275.2(-2.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-44	-10000	-13	-137	0.42	39%	-0.68	-68.6	4.98%	0	-2	23	0
14	Jul_7_2015	444.87	353.6	328.46	309.68			282.8(-13.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-40	-10000	-13	-120	0.73	39%	-0.37	-77.6	4.97%	0	-2.2	35	0
15	Jul_6_2015	446.54	359.74	336.3	319.76			326.8(3.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-31	-10000	-5	-109	0.5	50%	-1.09	-83	4.78%	0	-1.1	39	0

16	Jul_2_2015	451.44	363.02	341.19	323.36			315.2(5.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-10000	-9	-100	0.4	50%	-0.64	-86.3	4.96%	0	-1.6	36	0
17	Jul_1_2015	454.36	367.72	349.79	330.48			299.2(-7.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-33	-10000	-15	-86	0.57	54%	-0.75	-84.8	4.92%	0	-2.3	28	0
18	Jun_30_2015	457.78	374.26	358.94	342.88			324.4(-2.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21	-10000	-8	-61	0.57	57%	-0.78	-75.1	5.22%	0	-1.6	29	0
19	Jun_29_2015	461.38	380.68	363.04	350			333.2(-3.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-10000	-5	-55	0.47	57%	-0.68	-66.4	5.25%	0	-1.6	36	0
20	Jun_26_2015	464.55	385.81	367.54	355.04			344.8(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10000	-7	-55	0.34	57%	-0.92	-66.7	5.26%	0	-1.4	35	0

21	Jun_25_2015	468.88	390.54	370.76	361.76			350.8(-2.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-10000	-11	-51	0.42	57%	-0.85	-65.2	5.28%	0	-1.3	40	0
22	Jun_24_2015	472.9	395.09	374.2	372.4			361.2(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-10000	-5	-38	0.39	57%	-0.73	-63.4	5.3%	0	-1.2	38	0
23	Jun_23_2015	476.39	398.58	377.85	377.76			360(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9	-10000	-0	-35	0.34	57%	-0.85	-67.6	5.3%	0	-1.4	34	0
24	Jun_22_2015	480.47	401.72	380.73	378			358.4(-5.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10000	-3	-53	0.41	57%	-0.81	-86.2	5.36%	0	-1.6	29	0
25	Jun_19_2015	484.39	406.83	385.16	381.44			378.4(-6.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-13	-10000	1	-54	0.43	60%		-91.4	5.47%	0	-1	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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