Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. May. 18, 2015

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $530.4000 (0.15%) ($522.5200 - $543.6000) on Mon. May. 18, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.48% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $530.4000(0.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(97%)    SIL(90%)    GLD(74%)    SLV(62%)    GDXJ(44%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -3.24% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-20%)    TBT(-16%)    VIXM(1%)    XLF(2%)    UNG(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.24% (StdDev 6.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $524.92(1.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $500.36(6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $492.1(7.78%)
To recent high   -15.4%
To recent low   52.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 6.19% (three month std-dev: 6.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150618

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_18_2015	534.87	492.1	500.36	524.92			530.4(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10000	7	23	0.25	62%	0.18	51.4	6.48%	0	1.3	53	0
2	May_15_2015	533.91	489.14	497.6	514.04			529.6(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-10000	7	19	0.29	62%	-0.01	48.9	6.58%	0	1.4	63	0
3	May_14_2015	533.96	485.8	493.88	502.84			536(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	11	-10000	9	18	0.45	62%	0.26	42.7	6.64%	0	1.8	68	0
4	May_13_2015	532.59	482.08	488.63	488.52			531.8(7.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	10	-10000	10	8	0.57	62%	0.31	40.3	6.69%	0	1.9	61	0
5	May_12_2015	530.96	479.39	487.91	473.36			496.8(4.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	1	-10000	0	4	0.32	60%	0.22	36.5	6.63%	0	0.7	62	0

6	May_11_2015	529.82	476.95	489.53	472.72			476(0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	-10000	-4	8	0.28	60%	0.04	37.1	6.62%	0	-0	51	0
7	May_8_2015	529.63	475.13	488.87	479.02			473.6(1.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-10000	-3	14	0.34	60%	0	38	6.62%	0	-0.1	52	0
8	May_7_2015	529.62	474.05	486.07	483.58			464.4(1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-10000	-3	15	0.41	60%	0.09	43.7	6.67%	0	-0.3	52	0
9	May_6_2015	529.12	471.93	486.65	488.33			456(-7.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-2	-10000	-9	18	0.53	54%	0.18	43.1	6.72%	0	-0.5	51	0
10	May_5_2015	528.16	470.71	485.55	504.01			493.6(-2.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-10000	-3	28	0.36	57%	0.22	65	6.96%	0	0.7	53	0

11	May_4_2015	526.99	467.72	484.33	508.65			507.52(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	15	-10000	5	43	0.35	57%	0.05	78.3	6.97%	0	1.3	61	0
12	May_1_2015	526.71	465.52	480.78	500.16			496.4(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-10000	7	43	0.26	57%	-0.02	80.9	6.95%	0	1	62	0
13	Apr_30_2015	526.83	461.83	477.6	488.59			488.12(-8.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	10	-10000	3	32	0.46	57%	-0.08	67.7	7%	0	0.9	58	0
14	Apr_29_2015	527.23	459.2	475.32	484.09			534.4(3.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	19	-10000	12	41	0.5	60%	-0.07	61.7	7.03%	0	2.5	69	0
15	Apr_28_2015	527.62	451.3	469.46	464.49			516.8(11.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	10	-10000	4	28	0.55	60%	0.03	28.5	7.04%	0	2.2	65	0

16	Apr_27_2015	527.47	444.96	462.11	457.61			465.08(6.05%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	5	-10000	-1	22	0.56	57%	-0.06	8.9	7.02%	0	0.7	58	0
17	Apr_24_2015	527.77	442.49	459.36	459.39			438.56(-5.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-10000	-3	18	0.42	57%	-0.18	5.2	7.07%	0	-0.1	46	0
18	Apr_23_2015	528.74	442.19	460.77	459.39			465.6(6.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	8	-10000	0	30	0.43	57%	-0.19	13.9	7.09%	0	0.8	59	0
19	Apr_22_2015	529.74	441.36	456.08	464.72			436.4(-9.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	2	-10000	-6	25	0.51	57%	-0.19	20.1	7.1%	0	-0.2	53	0
20	Apr_21_2015	530.74	443.03	455.49	474.24			482.4(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	4	49	0.3	61%	-0.19	47.1	7.01%	0	1.4	70	0

21	Apr_20_2015	531.73	442.46	450.4	467.12			474(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	5	51	0.31	61%	-0.01	58.2	7.03%	0	1.1	65	0
22	Apr_17_2015	531.77	441.05	449.35	459.36			465.2(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	2	51	0.35	61%	-0.13	65.8	7.16%	0	0.9	59	0
23	Apr_16_2015	532.47	438.28	445.1	456.16			465.6(-3.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	6	48	0.45	61%	-0.34	69	7.22%	0	1	56	0
24	Apr_15_2015	534.31	435.84	441.97	446			484(8.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	14	-10000	7	35	0.46	66%	-0.36	66.6	7.33%	0	1.8	54	0
25	Apr_14_2015	536.24	429.87	431.37	434.24			446.8(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	3	-10000	2	4	0.34	64%		53	7.56%	0	0.6	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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