Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Apr. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $414.8000 (-2.45%) ($404.4000 - $423.2000) on Thu. Apr. 9, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.78% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $414.8000(-2.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(97%)    SIL(90%)    GLD(74%)    SLV(62%)    GDXJ(44%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -3.89% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-20%)    TBT(-16%)    VIXM(1%)    XLF(2%)    UNG(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.89% (StdDev 7.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

Resistance Level   $419.79
5 Day Moving Average   $432.64(-4.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $421.83(-1.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $419.79(-1.19%)
To recent high   -49.8%
To recent low   18.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.06%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.06% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 8.26% (three month std-dev: 7.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150509

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_9_2015	541.39	419.79	421.83	432.64			414.8(-2.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-6	-10000	-2	-17	0.32	62%	-0.28	20.2	7.78%	0	-0.1	54	0
2	Apr_8_2015	542.92	418.28	425.43	436.88			425.2(-1.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	4	-10000	6	-4	0.46	62%	-0.48	4.9	7.97%	0	0.2	54	0
3	Apr_7_2015	545.55	414.77	429.72	427.2			432.8(-7.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-10000	5	4	0.45	62%	-0.3	-25.3	7.99%	0	0.5	63	0
4	Apr_6_2015	547.18	411.55	433.88	418.96			468.4(11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	9	-10000	7	13	0.49	66%	-0.03	-52.8	7.96%	0	1.4	65	0
5	Apr_2_2015	547.34	408.42	431.52	408.32			422(-3.21%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	2	-10000	-1	12	0.51	63%	-0.14	-72.4	8.09%	0	0.3	61	0

6	Apr_1_2015	548.09	412.91	430.6	410.16			436(15.71%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	4	-10000	-2	20	0.63	63%	-0.11	-69.6	8.15%	0	0.5	63	0
7	Mar_31_2015	548.68	416.52	428.88	413.6			376.8(-3.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-10000	-11	27	0.47	60%	-0.12	-64.1	7.97%	0	-0.7	53	0
8	Mar_30_2015	549.33	424.78	428.75	432.8			391.6(-5.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-10000	-10	52	0.46	60%	-0.27	-50.3	7.96%	0	-0.5	63	0
9	Mar_27_2015	550.84	433.64	427.97	450.4			415.2(-3.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	17	-10000	-4	78	0.53	60%	-0.03	-37.3	8%	0	-0.2	62	0
10	Mar_26_2015	551.01	443.33	424.37	457.44			431.2(-4.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	22	-10000	2	83	0.69	60%	0.07	-29.6	8.05%	0	-0.1	54	0

11	Mar_25_2015	550.61	451.04	418.91	453.04			453.2(-4.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	16	-10000	4	53	0.46	60%	0.02	-28.2	8.08%	0	0	42	0
12	Mar_24_2015	550.48	457.05	411.51	446			472.8(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	13	25	0.42	60%	-0.04	-30.7	8.13%	0	0.2	44	0
13	Mar_23_2015	550.71	460.6	398.93	423.92			479.6(6.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	-10000	13	-30	0.55	60%	0.08	-36.7	8.18%	0	0.2	42	0
14	Mar_20_2015	550.26	464.32	386.84	402.8			450.4(10.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	-10000	10	-81	0.68	54%	-0.15	-44.2	8.34%	0	-0.1	36	0
15	Mar_19_2015	551.09	469.42	382.02	387.2			409.2(-2.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-27	-10000	5	-124	0.52	51%	-0.5	-49.8	8.31%	0	-0.6	26	0

16	Mar_18_2015	553.88	477.27	391.94	379.92			418(15.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-31	-10000	5	-137	1.03	55%	-0.67	-52	8.32%	0	-0.6	31	0
17	Mar_17_2015	557.59	486.54	400.8	372.32			362.4(-3.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-36	-10000	2	-151	0.62	55%	-0.69	-55.1	8.26%	0	-1.3	22	0
18	Mar_16_2015	561.45	497.35	418.76	369.6			374(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-36	-10000	1	-147	0.52	55%	-0.73	-61.5	8.46%	0	-1.3	29	0
19	Mar_13_2015	565.6	510.28	438.5	367.92			372.4(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-39	-10000	-5	-141	0.72	49%	-0.75	-63.7	8.82%	0	-1.4	28	0
20	Mar_12_2015	569.88	523.05	462.98	376			372.8(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-46	-10000	-17	-131	0.68	49%	-0.72	-70.3	8.89%	0	-1.6	29	0

21	Mar_11_2015	574.02	534.99	485.57	406.64			380(8.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-10000	-15	-107	1.08	49%	-0.84	-74.1	8.92%	0	-1.8	29	0
22	Mar_10_2015	578.88	548.15	506.69	435.12			348.8(-4.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-38	-10000	-19	-94	0.95	47%	-0.91	-75.7	8.85%	0	-2.5	19	0
23	Mar_9_2015	584.2	565.08	528.88	475.68			365.6(-11.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-32	-10000	-19	-70	1.05	50%	-0.78	-79.2	8.89%	0	-2.8	28	0
24	Mar_6_2015	588.77	579.8	550.65	518.8			412.8(-21.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-25	-10000	-17	-49	1.23	54%	-0.83	-91.3	8.88%	0	-3	28	0
25	Mar_5_2015	593.7	597.62	566.97	561.6			526(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11	-10000	-6	-26	0.33	61%		-68	8.5%	0	-1.3	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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