Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Mar. 2, 2015

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $581.2000 (-7.28%) ($571.6000 - $634.0000) on Mon. Mar. 2, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.55% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $581.2000(-7.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(97%)    SIL(90%)    GLD(74%)    SLV(62%)    GDXJ(45%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -4.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-21%)    TBT(-17%)    VIXM(0%)    XLF(3%)    UNG(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.275% (StdDev 8.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -7.9%

Resistance Level   $627.37
5 Day Moving Average   $590.08(-1.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $583.09(-0.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $627.37(-7.36%)
To recent high   -29.6%
To recent low   60%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.07%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.07% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 10.41% (three month std-dev: 8.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150402

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_2_2015	604.51	627.37	583.09	590.08			581.2(-7.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-5	-10000	1	-22	0.47	61%	-0.4	-52.3	8.55%	0	-0.7	38	0
2	Feb_27_2015	606.95	635.13	587.63	587.12			626.8(4.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	-10000	5	-22	0.34	57%	-0.43	-49.3	9.41%	0	-0.1	48	0
3	Feb_26_2015	609.56	637.65	586.37	573.7			600(2.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-9	-10000	2	-43	0.34	57%	-0.62	-59.4	9.48%	0	-0.5	33	0
4	Feb_25_2015	613.34	643.39	586.2	567.38			587.2(5.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-17	-10000	-2	-61	0.42	60%	-0.35	-64.9	9.49%	0	-0.8	35	0
5	Feb_24_2015	615.48	654.04	590.49	571.78			555.2(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10000	-1	-64	0.35	60%	-0.55	-59.1	9.58%	0	-1.3	37	0

6	Feb_23_2015	618.89	663.45	602.25	575.14			566.4(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-10000	-5	-70	0.37	60%	-0.43	-60.6	9.6%	0	-1.3	34	0
7	Feb_20_2015	621.57	670.8	610.11	588.1			559.72(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-10000	-4	-71	0.39	60%	-0.65	-58.2	9.6%	0	-1.5	35	0
8	Feb_19_2015	625.64	681.5	630.14	600.64			568.4(-6.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-10000	-2	-58	0.41	55%	-0.59	-45.4	9.64%	0	-1.6	43	0
9	Feb_18_2015	629.34	692.47	647.38	607.2			609.2(6.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	-10000	-2	-51	0.43	58%	-0.5	-33.9	9.85%	0	-1.2	43	0
10	Feb_17_2015	632.53	703.11	656.83	612.32			572(-9.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-10000	-7	-58	0.44	58%	-1.24	-22.9	9.99%	0	-1.9	34	0

11	Feb_13_2015	640.46	712.44	675.67	633.28			631.2(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-12	-10000	-1	-45	0.28	61%	-0.67	-8.1	10.08%	0	-1.3	44	0
12	Feb_12_2015	644.8	715.49	686.74	635.92			622.4(3.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10000	-9	-45	0.35	61%	-0.65	2.3	10.1%	0	-1.5	47	0
13	Feb_11_2015	649.02	714.76	693.41	665.28			601.2(-5.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-16	-10000	-8	-38	0.46	62%	-0.75	15.7	10.09%	0	-1.8	41	0
14	Feb_10_2015	653.92	716.17	706.01	693.84			634.8(-6.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-10	-10000	-4	-29	0.47	59%	-0.62	28.8	10.15%	0	-1.3	42	0
15	Feb_9_2015	658	719.62	723.43	707.68			676.8(5.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-10000	-4	-24	0.26	59%	-0.66	50.1	10.39%	0	-0.7	41	0

16	Feb_6_2015	662.37	717.61	730.18	724.24			644.4(-16.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-8	-10000	-5	-17	0.63	63%	-0.82	66.7	10.79%	0	-1.1	46	0
17	Feb_5_2015	667.84	714.08	737.6	743.84			769.2(3.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	-10000	5	-4	0.32	64%	-0.7	75.7	10.61%	0	0.8	59	0
18	Feb_4_2015	672.52	704.72	737.01	726			744(5.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	1	-0	0.38	62%	-0.86	73.1	10.73%	0	0.5	65	0
19	Feb_3_2015	678.36	698.07	740.54	720.8			704(-7.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10000	-5	7	0.45	63%	-0.9	83.3	10.82%	0	0.1	61	0
20	Feb_2_2015	684.53	689.86	752.32	742.08			759.6(2.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-10000	1	29	0.43	63%	-0.8	90	10.87%	0	0.8	57	0

21	Jan_30_2015	690.03	676.71	751.08	738.16			742.4(9.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	11	-10000	2	36	0.37	57%	-0.91	86.5	11.13%	0	0.7	61	0
22	Jan_29_2015	696.37	662.68	745.53	730.8			680(-5.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-4	40	0.38	55%	-0.96	88.3	11.45%	0	0.2	63	0
23	Jan_28_2015	703.11	652.14	738.19	748.88			718(-11.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-10000	-3	51	0.43	55%	-1.01	89.4	11.55%	0	0.6	63	0
24	Jan_27_2015	710.26	637.5	728.35	762.24			810.4(9.51%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	15	-10000	-1	61	0.45	55%	-0.79	86.4	11.46%	0	1.5	64	0
25	Jan_26_2015	715.88	618.82	715.79	765.28			740(4.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	20	-10000	-0	80	0.28	55%		84.3	11.43%	0	1	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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