Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 12, 2015

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $622.4000 (3.53%) ($600.8000 - $633.2000) on Thu. Feb. 12, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   10.1% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $622.4000(3.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT declines -4.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -6.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(97%)    SIL(90%)    GLD(74%)    SLV(62%)    GDXJ(45%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -5.05% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-21%)    TBT(-17%)    VIXM(0%)    XLF(2%)    UNG(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.05% (StdDev 10.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

Resistance Level   $715.49
5 Day Moving Average   $635.92(-2.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $686.74(-9.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $715.49(-13.01%)
To recent high   -24.6%
To recent low   71.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.1%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.1% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 8.53% (three month std-dev: 10.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150312

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_12_2015	644.8	715.49	686.74	635.92			622.4(3.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10000	-9	-45	0.35	61%	-0.65	2.3	10.1%	0	-1.5	47	0
2	Feb_11_2015	649.02	714.76	693.41	665.28			601.2(-5.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-16	-10000	-8	-38	0.46	62%	-0.75	15.7	10.09%	0	-1.8	41	0
3	Feb_10_2015	653.92	716.17	706.01	693.84			634.8(-6.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-10	-10000	-4	-29	0.47	59%	-0.62	28.8	10.15%	0	-1.3	42	0
4	Feb_9_2015	658	719.62	723.43	707.68			676.8(5.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-10000	-4	-24	0.26	59%	-0.66	50.1	10.39%	0	-0.7	41	0
5	Feb_6_2015	662.37	717.61	730.18	724.24			644.4(-16.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-8	-10000	-5	-17	0.63	63%	-0.82	66.7	10.79%	0	-1.1	46	0

6	Feb_5_2015	667.84	714.08	737.6	743.84			769.2(3.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	-10000	5	-4	0.32	64%	-0.7	75.7	10.61%	0	0.8	59	0
7	Feb_4_2015	672.52	704.72	737.01	726			744(5.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	1	-0	0.38	62%	-0.86	73.1	10.73%	0	0.5	65	0
8	Feb_3_2015	678.36	698.07	740.54	720.8			704(-7.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10000	-5	7	0.45	63%	-0.9	83.3	10.82%	0	0.1	61	0
9	Feb_2_2015	684.53	689.86	752.32	742.08			759.6(2.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-10000	1	29	0.43	63%	-0.8	90	10.87%	0	0.8	57	0
10	Jan_30_2015	690.03	676.71	751.08	738.16			742.4(9.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	11	-10000	2	36	0.37	57%	-0.91	86.5	11.13%	0	0.7	61	0

11	Jan_29_2015	696.37	662.68	745.53	730.8			680(-5.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-4	40	0.38	55%	-0.96	88.3	11.45%	0	0.2	63	0
12	Jan_28_2015	703.11	652.14	738.19	748.88			718(-11.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-10000	-3	51	0.43	55%	-1.01	89.4	11.55%	0	0.6	63	0
13	Jan_27_2015	710.26	637.5	728.35	762.24			810.4(9.51%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	15	-10000	-1	61	0.45	55%	-0.79	86.4	11.46%	0	1.5	64	0
14	Jan_26_2015	715.88	618.82	715.79	765.28			740(4.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	20	-10000	-0	80	0.28	55%	-1.09	84.3	11.43%	0	1	67	0
15	Jan_23_2015	723.78	602.42	704.53	766.72			705.6(-8.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	25	-10000	1	98	0.38	55%	-1.09	83.5	11.42%	0	0.8	69	0

16	Jan_22_2015	731.74	586.39	690.19	761.28			770.4(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	9	113	0.29	54%	-1.23	83.2	11.37%	0	1.5	75	0
17	Jan_21_2015	740.82	567.14	670.67	723.68			784.8(-4.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	-10000	9	108	0.43	54%	-1.19	73.4	11.43%	0	1.7	75	0
18	Jan_20_2015	749.75	549.99	651.94	687.6			825.6(10.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	33	-10000	7	111	0.46	55%	-1.36	64	11.41%	0	2.2	80	0
19	Jan_16_2015	760.1	531.08	620.75	660.85			747.2(10.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	-10000	7	113	0.49	54%	-1.39	63.1	11.34%	0	2	73	0
20	Jan_15_2015	770.83	513.84	594.17	635.73			678.4(16.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	-10000	8	114	0.52	54%	-1.37	57	11.27%	0	1.7	74	0

21	Jan_14_2015	781.55	497.85	571.35	609.57			582.4(-3.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	28	-10000	0	110	0.45	52%	-1.5	39.7	11.08%	0	0.9	73	0
22	Jan_13_2015	793.44	487.9	559.11	607.97			604.4(-12.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	31	-10000	-0	122	0.52	52%	-1.32	31.9	11.08%	0	1.3	72	0
23	Jan_12_2015	804.05	480.99	540.4	608.29			691.84(11.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	41	-10000	11	130	0.45	53%	-1.3	32	10.98%	0	2.3	68	0
24	Jan_9_2015	814.67	470.38	514.05	574.48			621.6(13.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	-10000	9	106	0.41	50%	-1.37	23.6	10.93%	0	2	63	0
25	Jan_8_2015	826.01	464.44	492.09	546.94			547.6(-4.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	28	-10000	7	89	0.37	51%		12.3	10.85%	0	1.2	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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