Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Dec. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $387.6000 (-15.25%) ($380.0000 - $462.8000) on Mon. Dec. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   10.87% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $387.6000(-15.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -10.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(97%)    SIL(90%)    GLD(74%)    SLV(62%)    GDXJ(47%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -5.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-20%)    TBT(-17%)    VIXM(1%)    XLF(2%)    UNG(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.435% (StdDev 10.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -14.9%

Resistance Level   $503.17
5 Day Moving Average   $419.55(-7.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $453.89(-14.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $503.17(-22.97%)
To recent high   -64%
To recent low   6.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.12%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.12% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 15.98% (three month std-dev: 10.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2014	1002.18	503.17	453.89	419.55			387.6(-15.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-10000	0	-58	0.51	46%	-1.36	-54.9	10.87%	0	-1.4	40	0
2	Dec_19_2014	1015.96	514.93	465.71	418.47			457.36(-3.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-18	-10000	-2	-66	0.32	47%	-1.23	-53.8	10.74%	0	-0.7	42	0
3	Dec_18_2014	1028.6	522.17	469.28	423			472.8(13.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-18	-10000	-3	-63	0.46	47%	-1.3	-46.2	10.76%	0	-0.6	53	0
4	Dec_17_2014	1042.18	526.7	474.56	430.02			416.8(14.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-10000	-9	-73	0.62	44%	-1.4	-41.7	10.61%	0	-1.4	39	0
5	Dec_16_2014	1056.93	539.49	488.94	452.02			363.2(-4.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-31	-10000	-16	-74	0.46	42%	-1.47	-25.4	10.44%	0	-2.2	32	0

6	Dec_15_2014	1072.66	551.56	507.02	493.78			382.2(-20.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-20	-10000	-9	-54	0.55	42%	-1.4	-4.5	10.44%	0	-2.4	40	0
7	Dec_12_2014	1087.85	561.3	527.42	517.74			480(-5.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-10000	-1	-42	0.46	45%	-1.16	7.9	10.16%	0	-1.4	44	0
8	Dec_11_2014	1100.6	561.3	528.24	520.61			507.92(-3.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-10000	-2	-52	0.43	45%	-1.2	12.7	10.15%	0	-0.9	47	0
9	Dec_10_2014	1113.94	561.93	540.62	525.34			526.8(-7.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	-10000	-3	-44	0.47	44%	-1.19	23.2	10.15%	0	-0.6	52	0
10	Dec_9_2014	1127.33	560.77	553.64	532.3			572(13.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-7	-10000	3	-38	0.48	44%	-1.19	30.3	10.13%	0	0.2	47	0

11	Dec_8_2014	1140.85	554.74	555.37	524.38			502(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10000	-6	-47	0.58	41%	-1.23	20.6	9.98%	0	-0.8	49	0
12	Dec_5_2014	1155.09	556.84	567.3	539.5			494.32(-7.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-7	-10000	1	-31	0.42	41%	-1.25	35.6	10.04%	0	-1	51	0
13	Dec_4_2014	1169.66	554.73	578.85	536.08			531.6(-5.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10000	-8	-25	0.42	40%	-1.07	25.4	10.02%	0	-0.3	59	0
14	Dec_3_2014	1182.37	548.72	582.56	557.84			561.6(5.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-7	-10000	-7	-7	0.34	40%	-0.96	13.9	10.07%	0	0.2	59	0
15	Dec_2_2014	1193.89	543.17	593.21	579.04			532.4(-7.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-10000	-4	24	0.3	39%	-1.11	2	10.04%	0	-0.1	58	0

16	Dec_1_2014	1207.34	541.56	599.64	591.6			577.6(21.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-10000	-3	48	0.42	39%	-1.19	-6.8	10.06%	0	0.4	65	0
17	Nov_28_2014	1221.93	534.82	598.3	600.24			477.2(-25.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	8	-10000	-8	57	0.34	36%	-1.74	-21.2	9.67%	0	-0.7	51	0
18	Nov_26_2014	1243.61	537.77	600.62	625.6			640.4(-4.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	6	92	0.23	39%	-0.96	-25.4	9.14%	0	1.2	68	0
19	Nov_25_2014	1255.68	538.24	586.53	609.68			667.6(12.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	-10000	-0	95	0.32	39%	-0.87	-30.8	9.18%	0	1.3	72	0
20	Nov_24_2014	1266.69	541.54	568.87	611.04			595.2(-4.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	28	-10000	0	111	0.28	37%	-0.53	-32.2	9.04%	0	0.5	64	0

21	Nov_21_2014	1273.48	547.1	554.24	609.68			620.8(2.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10000	5	110	0.37	36%	-0.97	-34.4	9.04%	0	0.7	60	0
22	Nov_20_2014	1285.95	553.07	545.05	596.96			604(7.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	-10000	10	120	0.27	36%	-0.97	-35.7	9.05%	0	0.4	63	0
23	Nov_19_2014	1298.58	560.53	528.19	570.82			560.8(-16.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10000	5	86	0.55	36%	-0.96	-41.8	8.98%	0	0	55	0
24	Nov_18_2014	1311.19	569.95	512.19	557.54			674.4(14.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	-10000	16	45	0.53	38%	-0.9	-43.9	8.77%	0	0.7	51	0
25	Nov_17_2014	1323.06	576.56	487.56	521.06			588.4(5.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	-10000	14	-26	0.41	35%		-47.5	8.55%	0	0.1	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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