Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 17, 2014

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $416.8000 (14.76%) ($366.0000 - $426.0000) on Wed. Dec. 17, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   10.61% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $416.8000(14.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT declines -4.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -12.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(97%)    SIL(90%)    GLD(74%)    SLV(62%)    GDXJ(47%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -5.305% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-20%)    TBT(-17%)    VIXM(0%)    XLF(2%)    UNG(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.305% (StdDev 10.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 11.3%

Resistance Level   $526.7
5 Day Moving Average   $430.02(-3.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $474.56(-12.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $526.7(-20.87%)
To recent high   -65.9%
To recent low   14.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.11%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.11% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 15.03% (three month std-dev: 10.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150117

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_17_2014	1042.18	526.7	474.56	430.02			416.8(14.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-10000	-9	-73	0.62	44%	-1.4	-41.7	10.61%	0	-1.4	39	0
2	Dec_16_2014	1056.93	539.49	488.94	452.02			363.2(-4.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-31	-10000	-16	-74	0.46	42%	-1.47	-25.4	10.44%	0	-2.2	32	0
3	Dec_15_2014	1072.66	551.56	507.02	493.78			382.2(-20.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-20	-10000	-9	-54	0.55	42%	-1.4	-4.5	10.44%	0	-2.4	40	0
4	Dec_12_2014	1087.85	561.3	527.42	517.74			480(-5.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-10000	-1	-42	0.46	45%	-1.16	7.9	10.16%	0	-1.4	44	0
5	Dec_11_2014	1100.6	561.3	528.24	520.61			507.92(-3.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-10000	-2	-52	0.43	45%	-1.2	12.7	10.15%	0	-0.9	47	0

6	Dec_10_2014	1113.94	561.93	540.62	525.34			526.8(-7.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	-10000	-3	-44	0.47	44%	-1.19	23.2	10.15%	0	-0.6	52	0
7	Dec_9_2014	1127.33	560.77	553.64	532.3			572(13.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-7	-10000	3	-38	0.48	44%	-1.19	30.3	10.13%	0	0.2	47	0
8	Dec_8_2014	1140.85	554.74	555.37	524.38			502(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10000	-6	-47	0.58	41%	-1.23	20.6	9.98%	0	-0.8	49	0
9	Dec_5_2014	1155.09	556.84	567.3	539.5			494.32(-7.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-7	-10000	1	-31	0.42	41%	-1.25	35.6	10.04%	0	-1	51	0
10	Dec_4_2014	1169.66	554.73	578.85	536.08			531.6(-5.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10000	-8	-25	0.42	40%	-1.07	25.4	10.02%	0	-0.3	59	0

11	Dec_3_2014	1182.37	548.72	582.56	557.84			561.6(5.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-7	-10000	-7	-7	0.34	40%	-0.96	13.9	10.07%	0	0.2	59	0
12	Dec_2_2014	1193.89	543.17	593.21	579.04			532.4(-7.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-10000	-4	24	0.3	39%	-1.11	2	10.04%	0	-0.1	58	0
13	Dec_1_2014	1207.34	541.56	599.64	591.6			577.6(21.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-10000	-3	48	0.42	39%	-1.19	-6.8	10.06%	0	0.4	65	0
14	Nov_28_2014	1221.93	534.82	598.3	600.24			477.2(-25.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	8	-10000	-8	57	0.34	36%	-1.74	-21.2	9.67%	0	-0.7	51	0
15	Nov_26_2014	1243.61	537.77	600.62	625.6			640.4(-4.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	6	92	0.23	39%	-0.96	-25.4	9.14%	0	1.2	68	0

16	Nov_25_2014	1255.68	538.24	586.53	609.68			667.6(12.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	-10000	-0	95	0.32	39%	-0.87	-30.8	9.18%	0	1.3	72	0
17	Nov_24_2014	1266.69	541.54	568.87	611.04			595.2(-4.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	28	-10000	0	111	0.28	37%	-0.53	-32.2	9.04%	0	0.5	64	0
18	Nov_21_2014	1273.48	547.1	554.24	609.68			620.8(2.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10000	5	110	0.37	36%	-0.97	-34.4	9.04%	0	0.7	60	0
19	Nov_20_2014	1285.95	553.07	545.05	596.96			604(7.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	-10000	10	120	0.27	36%	-0.97	-35.7	9.05%	0	0.4	63	0
20	Nov_19_2014	1298.58	560.53	528.19	570.82			560.8(-16.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10000	5	86	0.55	36%	-0.96	-41.8	8.98%	0	0	55	0

21	Nov_18_2014	1311.19	569.95	512.19	557.54			674.4(14.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	-10000	16	45	0.53	38%	-0.9	-43.9	8.77%	0	0.7	51	0
22	Nov_17_2014	1323.06	576.56	487.56	521.06			588.4(5.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	-10000	14	-26	0.41	35%	-0.88	-47.5	8.55%	0	0.1	44	0
23	Nov_14_2014	1334.8	588.64	476.82	491.38			557.2(17.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-19	-10000	2	-80	0.71	35%	-0.9	-50.1	8.51%	0	-0.2	44	0
24	Nov_13_2014	1346.88	600.14	464.16	487.14			473.28(-4.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-28	-10000	4	-124	0.4	31%	-0.92	-48.3	8.17%	0	-0.8	38	0
25	Nov_12_2014	1359.39	620.11	469.05	478.88			494.4(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-30	-10000	11	-151	0.47	32%		-48.1	8.16%	0	-0.7	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.