Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 4, 2014

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $1705.2000 (-2.69%) ($1662.8000 - $1768.0000) on Mon. Aug. 4, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.88% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $1705.2000(-2.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT declines -2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(97%)    SIL(90%)    GLD(74%)    SLV(62%)    GDXJ(50%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -2.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-22%)    VIXM(0%)    XLF(2%)    UNG(2%)    XRT(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.44% (StdDev 4.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.4%

Resistance Level   $1844.18
5 Day Moving Average   $1772(-3.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1806.46(-5.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1844.18(-7.54%)
To recent high   -15.7%
To recent low   55.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 4.83% (three month std-dev: 4.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20140904

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_4_2014	1553.57	1844.18	1806.46	1772			1705.2(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-16	-10000	-10	-33	0.08	55%	-0.39	-19	4.88%	0	-1.6	54	0
2	Aug_1_2014	1559.68	1848.61	1827.23	1815.04			1752.4(2.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8	-10000	-6	-13	0.11	57%	-0.34	-5.2	4.93%	0	-1.1	47	0
3	Jul_31_2014	1565.03	1854.33	1843.34	1841.84			1708(-6.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-3	-10000	-1	-7	0.11	57%	-0.26	9.4	4.96%	0	-1.8	38	0
4	Jul_30_2014	1569.11	1862.47	1866.98	1848.64			1817.2(-3.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-1	-10000	-1	-2	0.1	59%	-0.08	21.5	4.92%	0	-0.6	49	0
5	Jul_29_2014	1570.31	1862.64	1865.58	1850.96			1877.2(-2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-2	-10000	1	-12	0.06	59%	-0.02	31.5	4.91%	0	0.2	47	0

6	Jul_28_2014	1570.64	1861.24	1849.61	1845.92			1920.4(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-6	-10000	0	-23	0.06	59%	-0.02	31.8	4.91%	0	0.8	54	0
7	Jul_25_2014	1571	1852.99	1842.9	1843.92			1886.4(8.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-6	-10000	-1	-19	0.1	61%	-0.14	31.4	4.97%	0	0.4	56	0
8	Jul_24_2014	1573.16	1846.64	1854.12	1849.12			1742(-4.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-9	-10000	-8	-11	0.07	59%	-0.18	30.8	4.93%	0	-1.3	48	0
9	Jul_23_2014	1576.01	1846.44	1868.99	1888.08			1828.8(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	4	-10000	2	9	0.06	59%	-0.07	53.9	4.92%	0	-0.2	51	0
10	Jul_22_2014	1577.16	1839.08	1884.27	1880.16			1852(-3.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	9	-10000	6	18	0.07	59%	-0.09	58.5	4.96%	0	0.1	54	0

11	Jul_21_2014	1578.53	1837.54	1884.57	1850.32			1910.4(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	3	-10000	2	6	0.07	59%	0.01	71.4	4.96%	0	0.8	54	0
12	Jul_18_2014	1578.38	1828.89	1871.3	1840.96			1912.4(-1.26%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	0.8	-4	-10000	-5	1	0.08	59%	-0	85.3	4.96%	0	0.9	58	0
13	Jul_17_2014	1578.43	1822.24	1865.3	1862.8			1936.8(8.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	6	-10000	2	18	0.13	59%	0	116.1	5%	0	1.3	59	0
14	Jul_16_2014	1578.4	1802.93	1856.24	1851.28			1789.2(5.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-10000	-9	19	0.1	56%	-0.14	108.4	4.92%	0	-0.1	56	0
15	Jul_15_2014	1580.56	1786.83	1859.57	1891.12			1702.8(-8.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	7	-10000	-6	46	0.15	55%	-0.24	103.6	4.91%	0	-0.6	56	0

16	Jul_14_2014	1584.4	1774.23	1876.23	1920			1863.6(-7.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	19	-10000	4	64	0.12	58%	-0.11	103.5	4.84%	0	0.6	53	0
17	Jul_11_2014	1586.22	1753.39	1866.29	1901.12			2021.6(7.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-10000	7	62	0.09	62%	-0.03	99.4	4.73%	0	1.6	63	0
18	Jul_10_2014	1586.71	1722.84	1838.57	1868			1879.2(-5.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	1	46	0.14	60%	0.01	99.7	4.69%	0	0.9	56	0
19	Jul_9_2014	1586.54	1695.22	1822.55	1862.88			1988.4(7.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-10000	8	60	0.13	63%	-0.03	96.1	4.7%	0	1.5	72	0
20	Jul_8_2014	1587.04	1658.56	1789.27	1827.12			1847.2(4.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	-0	62	0.12	62%	0.17	89.5	4.61%	0	0.9	73	0

21	Jul_7_2014	1584.35	1625.99	1785.62	1827.6			1769.2(-4.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	24	-10000	1	94	0.08	62%	-0.36	83.7	4.66%	0	0.7	72	0
22	Jul_3_2014	1590.1	1598.19	1782.94	1823.92			1856(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10000	5	122	0.06	65%	0.09	76.4	4.59%	0	1.1	75	0
23	Jul_2_2014	1588.63	1565.34	1774.9	1803.28			1853.6(2.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	-10000	7	146	0.09	67%	-0.01	73.9	4.6%	0	1.1	75	0
24	Jul_1_2014	1588.86	1529.71	1744.37	1774.96			1809.6(-2.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	-10000	7	155	0.08	67%	0.08	71.3	4.67%	0	1.1	78	0
25	Jun_30_2014	1587.54	1496.8	1708.37	1745.12			1849.6(5.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	41	-10000	1	159	0.1	67%		67.7	4.69%	0	1.4	82	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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