Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 10, 2014

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $1879.2000 (-5.49%) ($1870.0000 - $2128.8000) on Thu. Jul. 10, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.69% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $1879.2000(-5.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(97%)    SIL(90%)    GLD(74%)    SLV(62%)    GDXJ(50%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -2.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-22%)    VIXM(0%)    XLF(2%)    UNG(2%)    XRT(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.345% (StdDev 4.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -10.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $1868(0.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1838.57(2.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1722.84(9.08%)
To recent high   -5.5%
To recent low   71.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 10.09% (three month std-dev: 4.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140810

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_10_2014	1586.71	1722.84	1838.57	1868			1879.2(-5.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	1	46	0.14	60%	0.01	99.7	4.69%	0	0.9	56	0
2	Jul_9_2014	1586.54	1695.22	1822.55	1862.88			1988.4(7.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-10000	8	60	0.13	63%	-0.03	96.1	4.7%	0	1.5	72	0
3	Jul_8_2014	1587.04	1658.56	1789.27	1827.12			1847.2(4.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	-0	62	0.12	62%	0.17	89.5	4.61%	0	0.9	73	0
4	Jul_7_2014	1584.35	1625.99	1785.62	1827.6			1769.2(-4.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	24	-10000	1	94	0.08	62%	-0.36	83.7	4.66%	0	0.7	72	0
5	Jul_3_2014	1590.1	1598.19	1782.94	1823.92			1856(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10000	5	122	0.06	65%	0.09	76.4	4.59%	0	1.1	75	0

6	Jul_2_2014	1588.63	1565.34	1774.9	1803.28			1853.6(2.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	-10000	7	146	0.09	67%	-0.01	73.9	4.6%	0	1.1	75	0
7	Jul_1_2014	1588.86	1529.71	1744.37	1774.96			1809.6(-2.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	-10000	7	155	0.08	67%	0.08	71.3	4.67%	0	1.1	78	0
8	Jun_30_2014	1587.54	1496.8	1708.37	1745.12			1849.6(5.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	41	-10000	1	159	0.1	67%	0.21	67.7	4.69%	0	1.4	82	0
9	Jun_27_2014	1584.26	1460.59	1664.82	1739.52			1750.8(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	48	-10000	1	187	0.07	66%	0.23	66	4.66%	0	1.2	82	0
10	Jun_26_2014	1580.69	1430.81	1633.15	1736.56			1752.8(2.38%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	52	-10000	-2	215	0.08	59%	0.23	63.5	4.68%	0	1.3	81	0

11	Jun_25_2014	1577.14	1398.9	1599.24	1743.04			1712(3.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	67	-10000	8	245	0.09	59%	0.15	61.8	4.9%	0	1.3	80	0
12	Jun_24_2014	1574.73	1367.72	1559.71	1707.52			1660.4(-8.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	72	-10000	11	255	0.13	53%	0.15	54.6	4.89%	0	1.3	81	0
13	Jun_23_2014	1572.38	1341.88	1519.79	1660.8			1821.6(4.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	77	-10000	21	245	0.11	57%	0.23	46.1	5.06%	0	2.1	88	0
14	Jun_20_2014	1568.7	1313.35	1454.08	1576.88			1736(-2.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	66	-10000	17	214	0.14	57%	0.18	39.7	5.02%	0	2.2	88	0
15	Jun_19_2014	1565.89	1290.12	1398.12	1514.08			1785.2(16.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	64	-10000	21	193	0.23	52%	0.14	34	5.01%	0	2.9	87	0

16	Jun_18_2014	1563.63	1264.39	1335.69	1438.56			1534.4(7.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	53	-10000	14	170	0.13	46%	0.06	24.6	4.78%	0	2.2	84	0
17	Jun_17_2014	1562.75	1251.66	1294.9	1392.24			1426.8(1.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	47	-10000	11	153	0.08	39%	0.04	13.3	4.7%	0	1.6	83	0
18	Jun_16_2014	1562.11	1244.97	1266.66	1355.76			1402(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	44	-10000	15	132	0.08	39%	-0.07	0.2	4.83%	0	1.5	70	0
19	Jun_13_2014	1563.17	1239.73	1239.14	1309.12			1422(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	33	-10000	15	88	0.11	43%	-0.06	-15.3	4.83%	0	1.8	55	0
20	Jun_12_2014	1564.12	1234.94	1211.45	1262			1407.6(8.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	22	-10000	15	44	0.16	46%	0	-31.3	4.95%	0	1.8	53	0

21	Jun_11_2014	1564.12	1234.29	1181.38	1218.32			1302.8(4.69%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	9	-10000	12	-1	0.09	43%	-0.14	-40.9	4.97%	0	0.7	45	0
22	Jun_10_2014	1566.33	1237.14	1160.02	1184.16			1244.4(6.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	-10000	7	-43	0.07	43%	-0.21	-52.7	4.93%	0	0.1	42	0
23	Jun_9_2014	1569.65	1244.72	1150.4	1164.72			1168.8(-1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-16	-10000	3	-71	0.04	40%	-0.18	-58.1	4.86%	0	-0.7	34	0
24	Jun_6_2014	1572.52	1255.07	1162.3	1157.2			1186.4(-0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-18	-10000	2	-77	0.1	38%	-0.09	-63.6	4.92%	0	-0.6	35	0
25	Jun_5_2014	1573.96	1265.01	1174.19	1152.08			1189.2(5.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	-10000	5	-82	0.11	38%		-64.5	4.95%	0	-0.7	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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