Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. May. 27, 2014

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $1158.8000 (-11.24%) ($1156.8000 - $1256.4000) on Tue. May. 27, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.01% (three month average)
RSI   20
Latest Price   $1158.8000(-11.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT declines -2.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -4.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(97%)    SIL(90%)    GLD(74%)    SLV(62%)    GDXJ(51%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -2.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-22%)    VIXM(0%)    DIA(-0%)    XLF(2%)    UNG(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.505% (StdDev 5.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -7.6%

Resistance Level   $1379.03
5 Day Moving Average   $1288.08(-10.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1322.94(-12.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1379.03(-15.97%)
To recent high   -49.7%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 5.9% (three month std-dev: 5.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140627

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_27_2014	1580.42	1379.03	1322.94	1288.08			1158.8(-11.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-22	-10000	-10	-59	0.17	37%	0.2	-52.9	5.01%	0	-2.7	20	0
2	May_23_2014	1577.27	1394.02	1349.66	1320.56			1305.6(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-10000	-1	-50	0.08	41%	0.05	-46.3	4.75%	0	-1.3	26	0
3	May_22_2014	1576.48	1404.74	1357.38	1324.24			1324(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-16	-10000	-2	-57	0.07	41%	-0.16	-37.1	4.79%	0	-1.3	30	0
4	May_21_2014	1579.08	1410.39	1364.1	1331.44			1334.4(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-19	-10000	-6	-57	0.08	41%	0.16	-33.2	4.83%	0	-1.2	45	0
5	May_20_2014	1576.63	1418.27	1370.2	1351.6			1317.6(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-10000	-4	-52	0.07	46%	0.19	-23	4.82%	0	-1.7	39	0

6	May_19_2014	1573.69	1423.48	1386.57	1364.56			1321.2(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-10000	-5	-45	0.09	43%	0.13	-27.6	5.04%	0	-1.8	36	0
7	May_16_2014	1571.62	1425.98	1404.74	1383.2			1324(-2.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-10	-10000	-3	-31	0.1	43%	0.15	-31.1	5.11%	0	-1.9	42	0
8	May_15_2014	1569.28	1428.84	1421.64	1394.4			1360(-5.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9	-10000	-2	-28	0.13	43%	-0.14	-43.4	5.14%	0	-1.3	39	0
9	May_14_2014	1571.46	1431.77	1426.65	1400.4			1435.2(3.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-5	-10000	2	-26	0.08	45%	0.24	-63.7	5.15%	0	0.1	52	0
10	May_13_2014	1567.77	1432.29	1428.33	1392.24			1382.4(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-10000	-6	-36	0.05	50%	0.26	-82.5	5.18%	0	-1	44	0

11	May_12_2014	1563.71	1439.79	1438.89	1412.96			1414.4(2.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-9	-10000	-5	-21	0.06	47%	0.28	-65	5.38%	0	-0.5	52	0
12	May_9_2014	1559.29	1443.27	1441.63	1431.36			1380(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-6	-10000	-5	-7	0.06	54%	0.26	-57	5.74%	0	-1.2	55	0
13	May_8_2014	1555.19	1451.8	1455.85	1453.6			1390(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.1	4	-10000	-0	14	0.07	54%	0.24	-37.2	5.78%	0	-1.1	55	0
14	May_7_2014	1551.53	1464.14	1460.89	1455.6			1394.4(-6.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	2	-10000	-3	15	0.11	56%	0.21	-20.6	5.83%	0	-1	51	0
15	May_6_2014	1548.34	1474.63	1471.05	1467.84			1486(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	-10000	-0	24	0.04	58%	0.25	-2.6	5.88%	0	0.2	53	0

16	May_5_2014	1544.48	1475.28	1463.72	1468.24			1506.4(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	3	18	0.06	58%	0.29	4.5	5.88%	0	0.4	48	0
17	May_2_2014	1539.98	1474.7	1448.79	1454.64			1491.2(6.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	-10000	-1	3	0.12	58%	0.29	1.2	5.84%	0	0.2	51	0
18	May_1_2014	1535.51	1473.38	1436.22	1460.88			1400(-3.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-3	-10000	-1	-7	0.09	56%	0.21	5.9	5.83%	0	-1	41	0
19	Apr_30_2014	1532.34	1478.69	1437.74	1466.8			1455.6(-2.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-10000	-2	-21	0.08	56%	0.16	16.1	5.81%	0	-0.3	39	0
20	Apr_29_2014	1529.93	1476.52	1436.58	1473.84			1488(3.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10000	4	-26	0.08	59%	0.27	9.3	5.87%	0	0.2	43	0

21	Apr_28_2014	1525.85	1471.84	1439.88	1457.92			1438.4(-5.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-5	-10000	4	-30	0.1	59%	0.28	-5.5	5.94%	0	-0.4	48	0
22	Apr_25_2014	1521.54	1473.83	1444.19	1440.48			1522.4(6.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-3	-10000	8	-36	0.1	55%	0.34	-29.4	6.02%	0	0.6	52	0
23	Apr_24_2014	1516.4	1468.97	1445.4	1408.48			1429.6(-4.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	-10000	1	-46	0.09	54%	0.22	-59.7	6.01%	0	-0.5	50	0
24	Apr_23_2014	1513.02	1467.03	1465.69	1404.24			1490.8(5.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-8	-10000	2	-39	0.13	56%	0.33	-80.6	5.99%	0	0.3	50	0
25	Apr_22_2014	1508.08	1469.67	1476.08	1395.6			1408.4(4.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-13	-10000	-6	-33	0.08	54%		-103.6	6.02%	0	-0.8	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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