Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 5, 2014

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $2022.0000 (4.18%) ($1920.0000 - $2030.8000) on Wed. Mar. 5, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.09% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $2022.0000(4.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(97%)    SIL(90%)    GLD(74%)    SLV(62%)    GDXJ(52%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -3.045% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-22%)    DIA(-0%)    XLF(2%)    UNG(2%)    PEJ(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.045% (StdDev 6.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $1952.56(3.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1986.64(1.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1874.8(7.85%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   105.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 10.94% (three month std-dev: 6.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140405

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_5_2014	1526.64	1874.8	1986.64	1952.56			2022(4.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	-10000	3	10	0.09	71%	0.23	59	6.09%	0	0.7	66	0
2	Mar_4_2014	1523.14	1848.64	1971.57	1934.96			1940.8(-2.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-1	-10000	-2	3	0.08	72%	0.26	54.4	6.16%	0	0.4	55	0
3	Mar_3_2014	1519.2	1824.61	1980.96	1946.8			1986.4(4.75%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3	-10000	-3	22	0.12	72%	0.3	54.4	6.22%	0	0.7	64	0
4	Feb_28_2014	1514.61	1799.18	1983.14	1965.52			1896.4(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-10000	-4	47	0.11	66%	0.16	54.7	6.63%	0	0.4	67	0
5	Feb_27_2014	1512.14	1778.47	1985.88	1994.56			1917.2(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-10000	-4	80	0.11	66%	0.13	56.1	6.68%	0	0.6	72	0

6	Feb_26_2014	1510.16	1760.98	1968.87	2024.96			1934(-3.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	29	-10000	2	110	0.12	66%	0.15	63.8	6.68%	0	0.7	72	0
7	Feb_25_2014	1507.87	1737.14	1964.36	2010.72			2000(-3.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	31	-10000	-1	128	0.1	66%	0.08	60.2	6.74%	0	1	70	0
8	Feb_24_2014	1506.71	1705.63	1934.64	2018.16			2080(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	-10000	2	152	0.09	66%	0.19	59.7	6.72%	0	1.4	73	0
9	Feb_21_2014	1503.82	1675.64	1881.59	2004.48			2041.6(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	-10000	4	160	0.12	66%	0.15	65.7	6.74%	0	1.5	71	0
10	Feb_20_2014	1501.54	1647.89	1820.12	1977.2			2069.2(11.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	48	-10000	11	158	0.14	63%	0.14	72	6.78%	0	1.8	72	0

11	Feb_19_2014	1499.47	1613.47	1754.56	1905.68			1862.8(-8.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	32	-10000	-0	128	0.13	61%	0	72	6.79%	0	1.2	62	0
12	Feb_18_2014	1499.4	1595.26	1717.05	1908.4			2037.2(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	45	-10000	12	144	0.12	64%	-0.34	81	6.69%	0	2.1	72	0
13	Feb_14_2014	1504.58	1563.82	1654.92	1836.96			2011.6(5.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	45	-10000	17	130	0.19	64%	-0.01	87.2	6.72%	0	2.5	74	0
14	Feb_13_2014	1504.74	1528.12	1597.21	1740.32			1905.2(11.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	38	-10000	18	97	0.14	64%	-0.15	90.2	6.75%	0	2.5	63	0
15	Feb_12_2014	1506.94	1496.3	1550.18	1639.44			1711.6(-8.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	12	60	0.16	62%	-0.21	84.6	6.61%	0	1.6	58	0

16	Feb_11_2014	1510.13	1472.79	1533.17	1578.16			1876.4(11.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	25	-10000	16	50	0.19	65%	-0.11	71.4	6.56%	0	3	68	0
17	Feb_10_2014	1511.77	1444.03	1486.88	1498.08			1680(9.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	13	-10000	11	17	0.15	62%	-0.36	78.2	6.4%	0	2.4	57	0
18	Feb_7_2014	1517.18	1421.1	1454.16	1447.92			1528.4(9.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	0	-10000	3	-9	0.15	60%	-0.76	68.7	6.28%	0	1.2	55	0
19	Feb_6_2014	1528.84	1401.35	1450.51	1434.48			1400.8(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4	-10000	-3	-6	0.08	57%	-1.02	49.9	6.24%	0	-0	57	0
20	Feb_5_2014	1544.65	1391.08	1461.93	1446.48			1405.2(-4.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-10000	-7	11	0.09	57%	-0.59	52.4	6.26%	0	0.1	59	0

21	Feb_4_2014	1553.88	1382.92	1463.38	1478.24			1476(3.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	10	-10000	1	37	0.1	57%	-0.47	66.5	6.25%	0	0.7	65	0
22	Feb_3_2014	1561.15	1370.63	1467.06	1472.56			1429.2(-2.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	14	-10000	3	47	0.12	57%	-0.53	69.1	6.35%	0	0.5	57	0
23	Jan_31_2014	1569.48	1359.87	1469.45	1459.6			1461.2(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	12	-10000	-2	54	0.13	49%	-0.46	69.2	6.52%	0	0.8	63	0
24	Jan_30_2014	1576.72	1348.23	1457.48	1468.56			1460.8(-6.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	16	-10000	-2	71	0.11	49%	-0.73	77.9	6.7%	0	0.9	68	0
25	Jan_29_2014	1588.37	1330.6	1441.88	1479.44			1564(8.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	-10000	6	89	0.16	49%		85.4	6.7%	0	1.8	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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