Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 16, 2014

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $1326.4000 (2.92%) ($1291.2000 - $1340.4000) on Thu. Jan. 16, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.04% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $1326.4000(2.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 3.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 7.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GDX(97%)    GLD(74%)    GDXJ(52%)    LQD(26%)    PCY(25%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -3.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-22%)    XLE(0%)    DIA(-0%)    UNG(3%)    PEJ(8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.52% (StdDev 7.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $1283.52(3.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1238.7(7.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1157.46(14.6%)
To recent high   -42.2%
To recent low   34.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.05%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.05% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 9.35% (three month std-dev: 7.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_16_2014	1712.02	1157.46	1238.7	1283.52			1326.4(2.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	10	67	0.08	58%	-1.06	50.7	7.04%	0	1.6	64	0
2	Jan_15_2014	1730.4	1144.85	1227.85	1241.12			1288.8(3.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	5	58	0.11	58%	-1.23	35	7.07%	0	1.4	64	0
3	Jan_14_2014	1751.95	1135.45	1209.14	1217.84			1240.8(-7.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	1	55	0.16	58%	-1.54	31.1	7.12%	0	1.1	67	0
4	Jan_13_2014	1779.38	1126.79	1189.66	1215.2			1334.8(8.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	19	-10000	5	62	0.14	58%	-1.4	34.3	7.07%	0	2.2	73	0
5	Jan_10_2014	1804.71	1112.25	1167.04	1193.44			1226.8(10.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	1	63	0.15	56%	-1.28	34.4	7.03%	0	1.4	70	0

6	Jan_9_2014	1828.16	1105.07	1154.01	1189.04			1114.4(-4.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	13	-10000	-5	66	0.12	53%	-1.26	34.4	6.92%	0	0.1	59	0
7	Jan_8_2014	1851.47	1109.83	1151.8	1211.76			1172.4(-4.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	24	-10000	4	83	0.12	53%	-1.48	56.3	6.9%	0	0.8	57	0
8	Jan_7_2014	1879.36	1105.73	1135.13	1196.56			1227.6(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	10	70	0.1	53%	-1.24	50.4	6.97%	0	1.5	58	0
9	Jan_6_2014	1902.87	1095.29	1111.59	1157.6			1226(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	-10000	5	45	0.1	53%	-1.33	21.8	7%	0	1.7	61	0
10	Jan_3_2014	1928.46	1084.98	1087.34	1136.4			1204.8(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	12	-10000	6	31	0.11	53%	-1.44	1.7	7%	0	1.7	61	0

11	Jan_2_2014	1956.66	1079.19	1069.71	1114.88			1228(12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	11	-10000	8	19	0.2	53%	-1.56	-14.2	7%	0	2.3	59	0
12	Dec_31_2013	1987.71	1068.11	1053.54	1085.44			1096.4(6.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	-10000	6	-6	0.14	49%	-1.04	-53.6	6.82%	0	0.5	40	0
13	Dec_30_2013	2008.56	1066.72	1054.3	1064.8			1032.8(-7.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-2	-10000	2	-15	0.09	49%	-0.84	-82.9	6.83%	0	-0.6	47	0
14	Dec_27_2013	2025.62	1079.24	1058.52	1056.23			1120(2.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	3	-10000	8	-14	0.1	52%	-0.72	-67.3	6.77%	0	0.5	59	0
15	Dec_26_2013	2040.22	1083.78	1051.98	1029.43			1097.2(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-4	-10000	3	-26	0.13	52%	-0.47	-86.3	6.76%	0	0.2	57	0

16	Dec_24_2013	2049.83	1088.51	1050.86	1017.76			1080.8(8.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-9	-10000	-0	-34	0.09	52%	-0.67	-98.7	6.75%	0	-0.1	50	0
17	Dec_23_2013	2063.64	1098.55	1063.1	1019.2			993.2(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-10000	-7	-22	0.08	49%	-0.73	-98.6	6.64%	0	-1.1	52	0
18	Dec_20_2013	2078.82	1114.13	1074.05	1043.68			989.96(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-6	-10000	-5	-8	0.14	43%	-0.81	-101.2	6.69%	0	-1.2	47	0
19	Dec_19_2013	2095.89	1132.05	1079.11	1060.57			986(-5.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8	-10000	-4	-19	0.17	43%	-0.93	-105.1	6.98%	0	-1.3	36	0
20	Dec_18_2013	2115.62	1153.59	1085.01	1075.85			1038.84(-4.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-10000	-3	-26	0.25	52%	-0.92	-99.9	7.04%	0	-0.9	43	0

21	Dec_17_2013	2135.23	1179.75	1092	1087.2			1088(-2.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-11	-10000	-6	-27	0.11	52%	-0.92	-80.9	7.89%	0	-0.6	46	0
22	Dec_16_2013	2154.99	1203.11	1085.7	1114.32			1115.6(3.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-7	-10000	1	-32	0.12	52%	-0.94	-71.3	7.92%	0	-0.5	43	0
23	Dec_13_2013	2175.44	1229.9	1081.12	1110.56			1074.4(1.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-10	-10000	2	-47	0.13	52%	-0.9	-63.6	7.91%	0	-0.8	40	0
24	Dec_12_2013	2195.09	1262.8	1101.93	1100.64			1062.4(-3.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-12	-10000	2	-54	0.16	47%	-0.85	-56.7	7.92%	0	-0.9	38	0
25	Dec_11_2013	2213.98	1290.98	1118.04	1093.84			1095.6(-10.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-16	-10000	-0	-65	0.17	47%		-59.2	8.15%	0	-0.8	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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