Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Nov. 27, 2013

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $1231.2000 (2.12%) ($1192.0000 - $1258.4000) on Wed. Nov. 27, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.65% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $1231.2000(2.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT declines -3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -12.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(74%)    LQD(26%)    PCY(25%)    TIP(24%)    EEM(22%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -3.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(8%)    XLY(10%)    XLK(10%)    XAR(11%)    SHY(12%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.825% (StdDev 7.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

Resistance Level   $1586.26
5 Day Moving Average   $1282.41(-3.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1436.41(-14.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1586.26(-22.38%)
To recent high   -63.6%
To recent low   2.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.06%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.06% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 15.35% (three month std-dev: 7.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131227

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_27_2013	2346.08	1586.26	1436.41	1282.41			1231.2(2.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-10000	-8	-102	0.12	39%	-0.32	-82.1	7.65%	0	-1.5	25	0
2	Nov_26_2013	2353.57	1633.96	1477.97	1322.17			1205.6(-7.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-36	-10000	-14	-100	0.15	39%	-0.3	-76.1	7.79%	0	-1.7	19	0
3	Nov_25_2013	2360.59	1678.07	1521.4	1399.77			1302.4(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-10000	-10	-86	0.21	39%	-0.31	-68.3	7.77%	0	-1.5	27	0
4	Nov_22_2013	2367.89	1726.77	1564.75	1456.41			1314.4(-3.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-10000	-12	-78	0.13	39%	-0.45	-57.7	7.86%	0	-1.6	26	0
5	Nov_21_2013	2378.53	1772.98	1607.95	1531.61			1358.44(-5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-25	-10000	-13	-59	0.2	36%	-0.38	-46.2	7.88%	0	-1.6	38	0

6	Nov_20_2013	2387.64	1815.18	1644.46	1613.6			1430(-10.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-16	-10000	-6	-46	0.26	40%	-0.3	-35.7	8%	0	-1.6	33	0
7	Nov_19_2013	2394.81	1844.29	1685.7	1655.52			1593.6(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-10000	-1	-47	0.09	42%	-0.37	-25.4	8.05%	0	-1.1	31	0
8	Nov_18_2013	2403.68	1873.6	1703.26	1660.48			1585.6(-6.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-10000	-4	-58	0.15	42%	-0.32	-16.6	8.06%	0	-1.3	36	0
9	Nov_15_2013	2411.34	1892.21	1729.6	1688.96			1690.4(-4.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-17	-10000	-1	-66	0.09	47%	-0.1	-6.5	8.06%	0	-0.9	34	0
10	Nov_14_2013	2413.83	1900	1731.06	1697.04			1768.4(7.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-18	-10000	2	-79	0.17	51%	-0.02	0.2	8.38%	0	-0.6	37	0

11	Nov_13_2013	2414.35	1904.41	1744.81	1683.6			1639.6(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-10000	-5	-91	0.09	51%	-0.23	2	8.55%	0	-1.2	34	0
12	Nov_12_2013	2419.81	1905.15	1798.29	1722.56			1618.4(-6.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-10000	-4	-77	0.15	54%	-0.25	4.3	8.6%	0	-1.3	42	0
13	Nov_11_2013	2425.92	1911.39	1844.19	1751.92			1728(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-10000	-3	-72	0.1	54%	-0.33	7.6	8.81%	0	-0.8	40	0
14	Nov_8_2013	2434	1906.05	1897.99	1776			1730.8(1.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-13	-10000	1	-56	0.16	59%	-0.31	3.9	8.85%	0	-0.8	49	0
15	Nov_7_2013	2441.53	1899.71	1947.94	1769.12			1701.2(-7.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-5	-45	0.09	59%	-0.62	-1.8	9.4%	0	-0.9	51	0

16	Nov_6_2013	2456.83	1899.94	1998.17	1814.8			1834.4(3.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-14	-10000	-8	-30	0.08	55%	-0.69	0.5	9.35%	0	-0.3	54	0
17	Nov_5_2013	2473.81	1895.84	2015.32	1889.2			1765.2(-4.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-7	-10000	-7	-6	0.09	55%	-0.84	6.7	9.55%	0	-0.6	60	0
18	Nov_4_2013	2494.77	1894.89	2058.72	1952.56			1848.4(8.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-10000	-9	19	0.1	55%	-0.8	11.8	9.54%	0	-0.2	58	0
19	Nov_1_2013	2514.81	1897.11	2070.6	2041.84			1696.4(-12.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	4	-10000	-11	47	0.16	55%	-0.93	20.6	9.51%	0	-0.9	59	0
20	Oct_31_2013	2538.4	1903.97	2089.32	2150.88			1929.6(-12.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	17	-10000	-5	82	0.12	58%	-0.78	30.5	9.45%	0	0.1	65	0

21	Oct_30_2013	2558.42	1898.77	2083.95	2204.08			2206.4(5.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	30	-10000	4	108	0.15	61%	-0.64	33.5	9.33%	0	1.3	67	0
22	Oct_29_2013	2574.88	1880.24	2025.43	2159.2			2082(-9.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	23	-10000	-2	96	0.1	61%	-0.83	24.1	9.3%	0	0.9	62	0
23	Oct_28_2013	2596.56	1867.78	1988.25	2179.53			2294.8(2.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	-10000	8	109	0.11	61%	-0.74	23.8	9.24%	0	2	68	0
24	Oct_25_2013	2615.93	1850.25	1915.24	2106.01			2241.6(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	-10000	9	85	0.1	61%	-0.99	14.7	9.25%	0	2	59	0
25	Oct_24_2013	2642.01	1836.37	1845.09	2020.09			2195.6(10.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	21	-10000	8	59	0.1	58%		-1.7	9.25%	0	2	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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