Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Nov. 18, 2013

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $1585.6000 (-6.2%) ($1568.8000 - $1677.6000) on Mon. Nov. 18, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.06% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $1585.6000(-6.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT declines -1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -7.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(74%)    LQD(26%)    PCY(25%)    TIP(24%)    EEM(22%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -4.03% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(8%)    XLY(10%)    XLK(10%)    XAR(11%)    SHY(12%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.03% (StdDev 8.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.7%

Resistance Level   $1873.6
5 Day Moving Average   $1660.48(-4.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1703.26(-6.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1873.6(-15.37%)
To recent high   -59.4%
To recent low   2.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.06%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.06% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 11.9% (three month std-dev: 8.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131218

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_18_2013	2403.68	1873.6	1703.26	1660.48			1585.6(-6.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-10000	-4	-58	0.15	42%	-0.32	-16.6	8.06%	0	-1.3	36	0
2	Nov_15_2013	2411.34	1892.21	1729.6	1688.96			1690.4(-4.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-17	-10000	-1	-66	0.09	47%	-0.1	-6.5	8.06%	0	-0.9	34	0
3	Nov_14_2013	2413.83	1900	1731.06	1697.04			1768.4(7.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-18	-10000	2	-79	0.17	51%	-0.02	0.2	8.38%	0	-0.6	37	0
4	Nov_13_2013	2414.35	1904.41	1744.81	1683.6			1639.6(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-10000	-5	-91	0.09	51%	-0.23	2	8.55%	0	-1.2	34	0
5	Nov_12_2013	2419.81	1905.15	1798.29	1722.56			1618.4(-6.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-10000	-4	-77	0.15	54%	-0.25	4.3	8.6%	0	-1.3	42	0

6	Nov_11_2013	2425.92	1911.39	1844.19	1751.92			1728(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-10000	-3	-72	0.1	54%	-0.33	7.6	8.81%	0	-0.8	40	0
7	Nov_8_2013	2434	1906.05	1897.99	1776			1730.8(1.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-13	-10000	1	-56	0.16	59%	-0.31	3.9	8.85%	0	-0.8	49	0
8	Nov_7_2013	2441.53	1899.71	1947.94	1769.12			1701.2(-7.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-5	-45	0.09	59%	-0.62	-1.8	9.4%	0	-0.9	51	0
9	Nov_6_2013	2456.83	1899.94	1998.17	1814.8			1834.4(3.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-14	-10000	-8	-30	0.08	55%	-0.69	0.5	9.35%	0	-0.3	54	0
10	Nov_5_2013	2473.81	1895.84	2015.32	1889.2			1765.2(-4.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-7	-10000	-7	-6	0.09	55%	-0.84	6.7	9.55%	0	-0.6	60	0

11	Nov_4_2013	2494.77	1894.89	2058.72	1952.56			1848.4(8.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-10000	-9	19	0.1	55%	-0.8	11.8	9.54%	0	-0.2	58	0
12	Nov_1_2013	2514.81	1897.11	2070.6	2041.84			1696.4(-12.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	4	-10000	-11	47	0.16	55%	-0.93	20.6	9.51%	0	-0.9	59	0
13	Oct_31_2013	2538.4	1903.97	2089.32	2150.88			1929.6(-12.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	17	-10000	-5	82	0.12	58%	-0.78	30.5	9.45%	0	0.1	65	0
14	Oct_30_2013	2558.42	1898.77	2083.95	2204.08			2206.4(5.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	30	-10000	4	108	0.15	61%	-0.64	33.5	9.33%	0	1.3	67	0
15	Oct_29_2013	2574.88	1880.24	2025.43	2159.2			2082(-9.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	23	-10000	-2	96	0.1	61%	-0.83	24.1	9.3%	0	0.9	62	0

16	Oct_28_2013	2596.56	1867.78	1988.25	2179.53			2294.8(2.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	-10000	8	109	0.11	61%	-0.74	23.8	9.24%	0	2	68	0
17	Oct_25_2013	2615.93	1850.25	1915.24	2106.01			2241.6(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	-10000	9	85	0.1	61%	-0.99	14.7	9.25%	0	2	59	0
18	Oct_24_2013	2642.01	1836.37	1845.09	2020.09			2195.6(10.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	21	-10000	8	59	0.1	58%	-0.92	-1.7	9.25%	0	2	61	0
19	Oct_23_2013	2666.58	1824.81	1788.68	1947.37			1982(-9.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	9	40	0.1	56%	-0.97	-28.9	9.32%	0	0.9	56	0
20	Oct_22_2013	2692.82	1829.23	1761.31	1868.73			2183.64(13.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	14	-10000	12	19	0.13	59%	-1	-59.4	9.33%	0	2	59	0

21	Oct_21_2013	2719.93	1818.06	1709.48	1769.2			1927.2(6.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	5	-10000	9	-7	0.07	57%	-0.93	-85.3	9.47%	0	0.7	53	0
22	Oct_18_2013	2745.56	1821.8	1701.14	1696.32			1812(-1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	-10000	7	-26	0.07	59%	-1.06	-90.6	9.56%	0	-0.1	42	0
23	Oct_17_2013	2775.09	1839.56	1697.85	1643.14			1832(15.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-7	-10000	5	-44	0.18	59%	-0.8	-71.9	9.56%	0	-0	42	0
24	Oct_16_2013	2797.48	1876.77	1694.1	1608.42			1588.8(-5.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-4	-61	0.11	59%	-0.71	-51.5	9.42%	0	-0.9	28	0
25	Oct_15_2013	2817.51	1940.36	1721.99	1636.26			1686(7.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-10000	-1	-61	0.13	59%		-46.5	9.63%	0	-0.8	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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