Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Oct. 21, 2013

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $1927.2000 (6.36%) ($1820.1000 - $1941.2000) on Mon. Oct. 21, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.47% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $1927.2000(6.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 4.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(74%)    LQD(26%)    PCY(25%)    TIP(24%)    EEM(22%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -4.735% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(8%)    XLY(10%)    XLK(10%)    XAR(11%)    SHY(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.735% (StdDev 9.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $1769.2(8.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1709.48(12.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1818.06(6%)
To recent high   -51.1%
To recent low   24.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.09%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.09% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 9.09% (three month std-dev: 9.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20131121

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_21_2013	2719.93	1818.06	1709.48	1769.2			1927.2(6.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	5	-10000	9	-7	0.07	57%	-0.93	-85.3	9.47%	0	0.7	53	0
2	Oct_18_2013	2745.56	1821.8	1701.14	1696.32			1812(-1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	-10000	7	-26	0.07	59%	-1.06	-90.6	9.56%	0	-0.1	42	0
3	Oct_17_2013	2775.09	1839.56	1697.85	1643.14			1832(15.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-7	-10000	5	-44	0.18	59%	-0.8	-71.9	9.56%	0	-0	42	0
4	Oct_16_2013	2797.48	1876.77	1694.1	1608.42			1588.8(-5.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-4	-61	0.11	59%	-0.71	-51.5	9.42%	0	-0.9	28	0
5	Oct_15_2013	2817.51	1940.36	1721.99	1636.26			1686(7.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-10000	-1	-61	0.13	59%	-0.41	-46.5	9.63%	0	-0.8	28	0

6	Oct_14_2013	2829.06	1970.89	1738.2	1641.78			1562.8(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-10000	-8	-68	0.1	59%	-0.76	-49.9	9.58%	0	-1.2	26	0
7	Oct_11_2013	2850.78	2003.28	1782.54	1706.98			1546.08(-6.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-10000	-6	-57	0.15	62%	-0.81	-55.7	9.61%	0	-1.4	25	0
8	Oct_10_2013	2874.15	2039.43	1831.43	1758.24			1658.4(-4.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-16	-10000	-4	-51	0.09	62%	-0.72	-64.9	9.95%	0	-1.3	23	0
9	Oct_9_2013	2895.1	2066.4	1868.54	1791.04			1728(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10000	-3	-61	0.13	62%	-0.64	-70	9.94%	0	-1.1	17	0
10	Oct_8_2013	2913.8	2108.92	1907.02	1819.68			1713.6(-9.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-21	-10000	-3	-75	0.13	62%	-0.77	-75.2	9.95%	0	-1.3	14	0

11	Oct_7_2013	2936.27	2150.31	1939.07	1848.1			1888.8(4.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	-10000	-3	-78	0.09	62%	-0.48	-75.6	9.91%	0	-0.8	43	0
12	Oct_4_2013	2950.54	2197.71	1953.56	1872.42			1802.4(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-5	-79	0.09	60%	-0.67	-70	9.98%	0	-1.1	45	0
13	Oct_3_2013	2970.32	2254.76	1993.23	1917.78			1822.4(-2.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-10000	-4	-73	0.1	60%	-0.65	-68.9	10.05%	0	-1.2	44	0
14	Oct_2_2013	2989.72	2305.46	2072.52	1958.6			1871.2(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10000	-5	-57	0.13	57%	-0.83	-64.9	10.07%	0	-1.1	47	0
15	Oct_1_2013	3014.71	2368.81	2173.03	2008.2			1855.68(-7.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-10000	-3	-40	0.16	57%	-0.88	-62.3	10.21%	0	-1.2	39	0

16	Sep_30_2013	3041.45	2431.89	2220.48	2041.14			2010.4(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-10000	-0	-40	0.09	57%	-0.94	-69.7	10.18%	0	-1.1	43	0
17	Sep_27_2013	3070.16	2482.92	2240.79	2046.26			2029.24(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-16	-10000	-3	-53	0.11	60%	-0.94	-75.6	10.5%	0	-1.1	38	0
18	Sep_26_2013	3099.33	2539.58	2264.37	2081.3			2026.48(-4.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-10000	-11	-66	0.13	57%	-1.01	-75.6	10.53%	0	-1.2	37	0
19	Sep_25_2013	3131.06	2593.95	2282.08	2207.81			2119.2(4.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-10000	-13	-65	0.17	57%	-0.74	-72.7	10.73%	0	-1.1	41	0
20	Sep_24_2013	3154.54	2655.84	2328.27	2370.96			2020.4(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-17	-10000	-4	-54	0.14	55%	-0.91	-66.7	10.72%	0	-1.5	35	0

21	Sep_23_2013	3183.35	2747.27	2381.71	2427.04			2036(-7.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-16	-10000	-2	-57	0.15	55%	-0.87	-55.1	10.83%	0	-1.5	36	0
22	Sep_20_2013	3211.31	2834	2465.42	2456.08			2204.4(-17.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10000	-0	-55	0.22	52%	-0.81	-51.9	10.78%	0	-1.3	40	0
23	Sep_19_2013	3237.59	2899.32	2540.72	2462.56			2659.04(-9.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	-10000	8	-54	0.21	54%	-0.68	-56.1	10.96%	0	-0.5	43	0
24	Sep_18_2013	3259.79	2934.3	2554.9	2363.39			2934.96(27.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-14	-10000	5	-69	0.24	54%	-0.7	-60.4	10.94%	0	0	48	0
25	Sep_17_2013	3282.66	2976.82	2568.41	2294.64			2300.8(5.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-25	-10000	-4	-86	0.08	51%		-52.8	10.44%	0	-1.3	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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