Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Oct. 3, 2013

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $1822.4000 (-2.61%) ($1820.0000 - $1942.8000) on Thu. Oct. 3, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   10.05% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $1822.4000(-2.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT declines -2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -12% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(74%)    LQD(26%)    PCY(25%)    TIP(24%)    EEM(22%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -5.025% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(8%)    XLY(9%)    XLK(10%)    XAR(11%)    SHY(12%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.025% (StdDev 10.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.4%

Resistance Level   $2254.76
5 Day Moving Average   $1917.78(-4.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1993.23(-8.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $2254.76(-19.18%)
To recent high   -53.8%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.1%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.1% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 16.28% (three month std-dev: 10.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131103

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_3_2013	2970.32	2254.76	1993.23	1917.78			1822.4(-2.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-10000	-4	-73	0.1	60%	-0.65	-68.9	10.05%	0	-1.2	44	0
2	Oct_2_2013	2989.72	2305.46	2072.52	1958.6			1871.2(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10000	-5	-57	0.13	57%	-0.83	-64.9	10.07%	0	-1.1	47	0
3	Oct_1_2013	3014.71	2368.81	2173.03	2008.2			1855.68(-7.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-10000	-3	-40	0.16	57%	-0.88	-62.3	10.21%	0	-1.2	39	0
4	Sep_30_2013	3041.45	2431.89	2220.48	2041.14			2010.4(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-10000	-0	-40	0.09	57%	-0.94	-69.7	10.18%	0	-1.1	43	0
5	Sep_27_2013	3070.16	2482.92	2240.79	2046.26			2029.24(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-16	-10000	-3	-53	0.11	60%	-0.94	-75.6	10.5%	0	-1.1	38	0

6	Sep_26_2013	3099.33	2539.58	2264.37	2081.3			2026.48(-4.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-10000	-11	-66	0.13	57%	-1.01	-75.6	10.53%	0	-1.2	37	0
7	Sep_25_2013	3131.06	2593.95	2282.08	2207.81			2119.2(4.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-10000	-13	-65	0.17	57%	-0.74	-72.7	10.73%	0	-1.1	41	0
8	Sep_24_2013	3154.54	2655.84	2328.27	2370.96			2020.4(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-17	-10000	-4	-54	0.14	55%	-0.91	-66.7	10.72%	0	-1.5	35	0
9	Sep_23_2013	3183.35	2747.27	2381.71	2427.04			2036(-7.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-16	-10000	-2	-57	0.15	55%	-0.87	-55.1	10.83%	0	-1.5	36	0
10	Sep_20_2013	3211.31	2834	2465.42	2456.08			2204.4(-17.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10000	-0	-55	0.22	52%	-0.81	-51.9	10.78%	0	-1.3	40	0

11	Sep_19_2013	3237.59	2899.32	2540.72	2462.56			2659.04(-9.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	-10000	8	-54	0.21	54%	-0.68	-56.1	10.96%	0	-0.5	43	0
12	Sep_18_2013	3259.79	2934.3	2554.9	2363.39			2934.96(27.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-14	-10000	5	-69	0.24	54%	-0.7	-60.4	10.94%	0	0	48	0
13	Sep_17_2013	3282.66	2976.82	2568.41	2294.64			2300.8(5.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-25	-10000	-4	-86	0.08	51%	-0.82	-52.8	10.44%	0	-1.3	28	0
14	Sep_16_2013	3309.75	3038.66	2649.77	2341.92			2181.2(-2.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-32	-10000	-11	-95	0.12	51%	-0.79	-50.3	10.42%	0	-1.7	19	0
15	Sep_13_2013	3336.06	3116.8	2738.06	2481.68			2236.8(3.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-10000	-11	-93	0.14	51%	-0.93	-38.8	10.43%	0	-1.8	22	0

16	Sep_12_2013	3367.48	3203.08	2834.32	2629.44			2163.2(-16.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-28	-10000	-9	-83	0.16	51%	-0.89	-20.9	10.43%	0	-2.2	28	0
17	Sep_11_2013	3397.86	3267.54	2934.7	2765.59			2591.2(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-8	-75	0.1	52%	-0.5	-1.8	10.23%	0	-1.7	37	0
18	Sep_10_2013	3415.09	3288.5	3013.55	2882.39			2537.2(-11.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-24	-10000	-8	-72	0.11	52%	-0.61	16.5	10.29%	0	-1.9	30	0
19	Sep_9_2013	3435.98	3323.95	3147.16	3001.67			2880(-3.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-2	-53	0.07	54%	-0.46	38.2	10.19%	0	-1.3	42	0
20	Sep_6_2013	3451.69	3321.11	3235.53	3033.93			2975.6(4.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-10000	-3	-49	0.07	52%	-0.38	42.8	10.3%	0	-1	41	0

21	Sep_5_2013	3464.71	3305.99	3289.06	3074.41			2843.96(-10.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-10000	-3	-52	0.1	52%	-0.31	41.6	10.3%	0	-1.2	35	0
22	Sep_4_2013	3475.52	3274.74	3347.04	3127.46			3175.2(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-14	-10000	-3	-47	0.08	53%	-0.42	29.1	10.22%	0	-0.2	51	0
23	Sep_3_2013	3490.02	3225.63	3414.43	3168.34			3133.6(3.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10000	-9	-33	0.09	55%	-1.36	19.8	10.24%	0	-0.2	58	0
24	Aug_30_2013	3538.18	3195.77	3454.66	3321.78			3041.28(-4.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-10000	-8	-14	0.1	57%	-1.42	22.1	10.24%	0	-0.3	53	0
25	Aug_29_2013	3589.32	3172.83	3524.08	3471.92			3178(2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-10000	-4	17	0.17	58%		24.5	10.44%	0	0	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.