Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Oct. 1, 2013

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $1855.6800 (-7.7%) ($1830.0000 - $1913.2000) on Tue. Oct. 1, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   10.21% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $1855.6800(-7.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT declines -1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -6.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(74%)    LQD(26%)    PCY(25%)    TIP(24%)    EEM(22%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -5.105% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(8%)    XLY(10%)    XLK(10%)    XAR(11%)    SHY(12%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.105% (StdDev 10.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $2368.81
5 Day Moving Average   $2008.2(-7.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $2173.03(-14.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $2368.81(-21.66%)
To recent high   -52.9%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.1%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.1% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 17.36% (three month std-dev: 10.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131101

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_1_2013	3014.71	2368.81	2173.03	2008.2			1855.68(-7.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-10000	-3	-40	0.16	57%	-0.88	-62.3	10.21%	0	-1.2	39	0
2	Sep_30_2013	3041.45	2431.89	2220.48	2041.14			2010.4(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-10000	-0	-40	0.09	57%	-0.94	-69.7	10.18%	0	-1.1	43	0
3	Sep_27_2013	3070.16	2482.92	2240.79	2046.26			2029.24(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-16	-10000	-3	-53	0.11	60%	-0.94	-75.6	10.5%	0	-1.1	38	0
4	Sep_26_2013	3099.33	2539.58	2264.37	2081.3			2026.48(-4.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-10000	-11	-66	0.13	57%	-1.01	-75.6	10.53%	0	-1.2	37	0
5	Sep_25_2013	3131.06	2593.95	2282.08	2207.81			2119.2(4.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-10000	-13	-65	0.17	57%	-0.74	-72.7	10.73%	0	-1.1	41	0

6	Sep_24_2013	3154.54	2655.84	2328.27	2370.96			2020.4(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-17	-10000	-4	-54	0.14	55%	-0.91	-66.7	10.72%	0	-1.5	35	0
7	Sep_23_2013	3183.35	2747.27	2381.71	2427.04			2036(-7.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-16	-10000	-2	-57	0.15	55%	-0.87	-55.1	10.83%	0	-1.5	36	0
8	Sep_20_2013	3211.31	2834	2465.42	2456.08			2204.4(-17.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10000	-0	-55	0.22	52%	-0.81	-51.9	10.78%	0	-1.3	40	0
9	Sep_19_2013	3237.59	2899.32	2540.72	2462.56			2659.04(-9.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	-10000	8	-54	0.21	54%	-0.68	-56.1	10.96%	0	-0.5	43	0
10	Sep_18_2013	3259.79	2934.3	2554.9	2363.39			2934.96(27.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-14	-10000	5	-69	0.24	54%	-0.7	-60.4	10.94%	0	0	48	0

11	Sep_17_2013	3282.66	2976.82	2568.41	2294.64			2300.8(5.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-25	-10000	-4	-86	0.08	51%	-0.82	-52.8	10.44%	0	-1.3	28	0
12	Sep_16_2013	3309.75	3038.66	2649.77	2341.92			2181.2(-2.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-32	-10000	-11	-95	0.12	51%	-0.79	-50.3	10.42%	0	-1.7	19	0
13	Sep_13_2013	3336.06	3116.8	2738.06	2481.68			2236.8(3.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-10000	-11	-93	0.14	51%	-0.93	-38.8	10.43%	0	-1.8	22	0
14	Sep_12_2013	3367.48	3203.08	2834.32	2629.44			2163.2(-16.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-28	-10000	-9	-83	0.16	51%	-0.89	-20.9	10.43%	0	-2.2	28	0
15	Sep_11_2013	3397.86	3267.54	2934.7	2765.59			2591.2(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-8	-75	0.1	52%	-0.5	-1.8	10.23%	0	-1.7	37	0

16	Sep_10_2013	3415.09	3288.5	3013.55	2882.39			2537.2(-11.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-24	-10000	-8	-72	0.11	52%	-0.61	16.5	10.29%	0	-1.9	30	0
17	Sep_9_2013	3435.98	3323.95	3147.16	3001.67			2880(-3.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-2	-53	0.07	54%	-0.46	38.2	10.19%	0	-1.3	42	0
18	Sep_6_2013	3451.69	3321.11	3235.53	3033.93			2975.6(4.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-10000	-3	-49	0.07	52%	-0.38	42.8	10.3%	0	-1	41	0
19	Sep_5_2013	3464.71	3305.99	3289.06	3074.41			2843.96(-10.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-10000	-3	-52	0.1	52%	-0.31	41.6	10.3%	0	-1.2	35	0
20	Sep_4_2013	3475.52	3274.74	3347.04	3127.46			3175.2(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-14	-10000	-3	-47	0.08	53%	-0.42	29.1	10.22%	0	-0.2	51	0

21	Sep_3_2013	3490.02	3225.63	3414.43	3168.34			3133.6(3.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10000	-9	-33	0.09	55%	-1.36	19.8	10.24%	0	-0.2	58	0
22	Aug_30_2013	3538.18	3195.77	3454.66	3321.78			3041.28(-4.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-10000	-8	-14	0.1	57%	-1.42	22.1	10.24%	0	-0.3	53	0
23	Aug_29_2013	3589.32	3172.83	3524.08	3471.92			3178(2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-10000	-4	17	0.17	58%	-1.46	24.5	10.44%	0	0	61	0
24	Aug_28_2013	3642.35	3150.2	3600.59	3536.72			3109.2(-8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	9	-10000	-3	46	0.14	58%	-1.73	25.3	10.56%	0	-0.1	62	0
25	Aug_27_2013	3706.57	3142.76	3632.38	3589.84			3379.6(-13.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	15	-10000	-5	74	0.15	58%		28.4	10.52%	0	0.4	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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