Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 26, 2013

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $3900.8000 (2.87%) ($3738.1800 - $4058.8000) on Mon. Aug. 26, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   10.46% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $3900.8000(2.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 18.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(74%)    LQD(27%)    PCY(25%)    TIP(25%)    EEM(23%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -5.23% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(8%)    XLY(10%)    XLK(10%)    XAR(12%)    SHY(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.23% (StdDev 10.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $3689.6(5.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $3593.56(8.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $3121.93(24.95%)
To recent high   -19.9%
To recent low   114.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.11%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.11% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 18.5% (three month std-dev: 10.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130926

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_26_2013	3758.05	3121.93	3593.56	3689.6			3900.8(2.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	31	-10000	4	110	0.08	61%	-1.3	30.3	10.46%	0	1.3	77	0
2	Aug_23_2013	3807.49	3074.66	3518.02	3611.04			3792(8.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	1	119	0.09	61%	-1.34	27.1	10.47%	0	1.3	68	0
3	Aug_22_2013	3859.01	3037.28	3413.76	3594.24			3502(3.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	28	-10000	-5	127	0.08	61%	-1.22	32.6	10.43%	0	0.9	65	0
4	Aug_21_2013	3906.63	3010.36	3325.8	3681.92			3374.8(-12.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	37	-10000	0	147	0.09	59%	-1.56	45.7	10.44%	0	0.7	61	0
5	Aug_20_2013	3968.66	2986.33	3203.23	3674.96			3878.4(10.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	-10000	11	139	0.06	63%	-1.74	51.3	10.37%	0	1.7	61	0

6	Aug_19_2013	4038.78	2955.97	3023.42	3476.72			3508(-5.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-10000	4	94	0.08	62%	-0.13	51.6	10.55%	0	1.2	58	0
7	Aug_16_2013	4044.19	2932.6	2916.45	3403.12			3708(-5.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	-10000	12	79	0.15	60%	-1.87	58.5	10.64%	0	1.7	59	0
8	Aug_15_2013	4121.05	2876.04	2789.05	3202.4			3940.4(17.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	25	-10000	18	45	0.16	58%	-1.8	51.5	10.61%	0	2.4	59	0
9	Aug_14_2013	4196.76	2793.02	2649.53	2924.56			3340(15.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	-10000	19	5	0.09	56%	-1.78	36.8	10.53%	0	1.4	55	0
10	Aug_13_2013	4272.88	2743.69	2597.96	2662.96			2887.2(-8.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	-10000	13	-28	0.07	54%	-1.92	22.7	10.36%	0	0.4	51	0

11	Aug_12_2013	4356.69	2729.48	2599.86	2496.72			3140(16.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-6	-10000	11	-55	0.11	54%	-1.92	17	10.35%	0	1.1	46	0
12	Aug_9_2013	4442.2	2684.35	2579.4	2358.32			2704.4(6.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-16	-10000	4	-76	0.09	52%	-2.05	10.6	10.14%	0	0.1	45	0
13	Aug_8_2013	4535.01	2664.46	2616.21	2316.64			2551.2(25.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-20	-10000	-2	-75	0.11	54%	-1.85	10.4	10.12%	0	-0.3	53	0
14	Aug_7_2013	4620.4	2659.5	2660.33	2342.4			2032(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-29	-10000	-15	-69	0.06	49%	-1.93	13.4	9.81%	0	-1.6	50	0
15	Aug_6_2013	4711.51	2663.93	2755.75	2524			2056(-16.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-20	-10000	-14	-39	0.08	49%	-1.89	24.8	9.86%	0	-1.5	50	0

16	Aug_5_2013	4802.16	2667.16	2894.79	2708.8			2448(-1.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-7	-10000	-9	-0	0.05	52%	-1.75	32.2	9.68%	0	-0.5	51	0
17	Aug_2_2013	4887.59	2645.26	2965.87	2828			2496(-6.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-10000	-9	33	0.08	52%	-1.69	34.8	9.67%	0	-0.3	60	0
18	Aug_1_2013	4971.51	2625.93	2989.11	2956.8			2680(-8.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	12	-10000	-5	61	0.08	52%	-1.56	44.7	9.64%	0	0.1	63	0
19	Jul_31_2013	5050.49	2606.29	2966.05	3024.8			2940(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	-10000	0	73	0.11	52%	-1.68	54.8	9.66%	0	0.7	63	0
20	Jul_30_2013	5136.61	2566.53	2915.29	3023.19			2980(-2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	16	-10000	-6	83	0.05	52%	-1.48	54.7	9.69%	0	0.9	71	0

21	Jul_29_2013	5213.75	2538.95	2879.69	3111.99			3044(-3.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	29	-10000	-1	120	0.05	52%	-1.46	66.8	9.71%	0	1.1	72	0
22	Jul_26_2013	5291.06	2501.79	2802.58	3127.99			3140(3.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	41	-10000	7	142	0.08	50%	-1.41	69.1	9.72%	0	1.5	74	0
23	Jul_25_2013	5366.57	2440.63	2715.8	3027.27			3020(3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	42	-10000	9	139	0.06	50%	-1.49	56.7	9.79%	0	1.4	69	0
24	Jul_24_2013	5447.59	2380.3	2653.88	2892.87			2931.96(-14.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	-10000	8	125	0.12	53%	-1.25	29.8	9.79%	0	1.3	62	0
25	Jul_23_2013	5516.65	2340.34	2561.21	2780.88			3424(9.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	37	-10000	13	108	0.09	55%		6.8	9.95%	0	2.8	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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