Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Aug. 6, 2013

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $2056.0000 (-16.01%) ($2048.0000 - $2328.0000) on Tue. Aug. 6, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.86% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $2056.0000(-16.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT declines -6.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -5.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(74%)    LQD(27%)    PCY(25%)    TIP(24%)    EEM(23%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -4.93% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(8%)    XLY(10%)    XLK(10%)    XAR(11%)    SHY(12%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.93% (StdDev 9.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -11.5%

Resistance Level   $2663.93
5 Day Moving Average   $2524(-18.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $2755.75(-25.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $2663.93(-22.82%)
To recent high   -60%
To recent low   13%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.1%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.1% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 15.3% (three month std-dev: 9.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130906

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_6_2013	4711.51	2663.93	2755.75	2524			2056(-16.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-20	-10000	-14	-39	0.08	49%	-1.89	24.8	9.86%	0	-1.5	50	0
2	Aug_5_2013	4802.16	2667.16	2894.79	2708.8			2448(-1.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-7	-10000	-9	-0	0.05	52%	-1.75	32.2	9.68%	0	-0.5	51	0
3	Aug_2_2013	4887.59	2645.26	2965.87	2828			2496(-6.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-10000	-9	33	0.08	52%	-1.69	34.8	9.67%	0	-0.3	60	0
4	Aug_1_2013	4971.51	2625.93	2989.11	2956.8			2680(-8.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	12	-10000	-5	61	0.08	52%	-1.56	44.7	9.64%	0	0.1	63	0
5	Jul_31_2013	5050.49	2606.29	2966.05	3024.8			2940(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	-10000	0	73	0.11	52%	-1.68	54.8	9.66%	0	0.7	63	0

6	Jul_30_2013	5136.61	2566.53	2915.29	3023.19			2980(-2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	16	-10000	-6	83	0.05	52%	-1.48	54.7	9.69%	0	0.9	71	0
7	Jul_29_2013	5213.75	2538.95	2879.69	3111.99			3044(-3.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	29	-10000	-1	120	0.05	52%	-1.46	66.8	9.71%	0	1.1	72	0
8	Jul_26_2013	5291.06	2501.79	2802.58	3127.99			3140(3.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	41	-10000	7	142	0.08	50%	-1.41	69.1	9.72%	0	1.5	74	0
9	Jul_25_2013	5366.57	2440.63	2715.8	3027.27			3020(3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	42	-10000	9	139	0.06	50%	-1.49	56.7	9.79%	0	1.4	69	0
10	Jul_24_2013	5447.59	2380.3	2653.88	2892.87			2931.96(-14.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	-10000	8	125	0.12	53%	-1.25	29.8	9.79%	0	1.3	62	0

11	Jul_23_2013	5516.65	2340.34	2561.21	2780.88			3424(9.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	37	-10000	13	108	0.09	55%	-1.16	6.8	9.95%	0	2.8	71	0
12	Jul_22_2013	5581.3	2274.46	2411.65	2616.88			3124(18.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	30	-10000	15	74	0.08	55%	-1.39	-29.8	9.92%	0	2.9	60	0
13	Jul_19_2013	5659.83	2238.28	2286.05	2438.48			2636.4(12.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	-10000	7	34	0.05	52%	-1.49	-80	9.64%	0	1.7	57	0
14	Jul_18_2013	5745.58	2226.64	2223.6	2364			2348(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-10000	-1	23	0.04	52%	-1.66	-118.5	9.53%	0	0.6	62	0
15	Jul_17_2013	5842.64	2264.13	2212.74	2376.8			2372(-8.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	16	-10000	7	41	0.09	50%	-1.75	-92.6	9.6%	0	0.4	64	0

16	Jul_16_2013	5946.62	2314.19	2188.14	2297.6			2604(16.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	12	29	0.07	50%	-1.6	-77	9.71%	0	0.7	59	0
17	Jul_15_2013	6043.52	2366.43	2166.95	2172.8			2232(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-10000	6	13	0.03	43%	-1.55	-68.3	9.47%	0	-0.3	53	0
18	Jul_12_2013	6138.71	2439.75	2175.63	2108			2264(-6.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	-10000	4	-3	0.04	41%	-1.54	-63.7	10.13%	0	-0.3	48	0
19	Jul_11_2013	6234.99	2521.13	2144.2	2061.6			2412(22.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	-10000	3	-22	0.07	41%	-1.42	-61.6	10.32%	0	-0.2	51	0
20	Jul_10_2013	6324.62	2589.85	2085.01	2031.28			1976(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-3	-63	0.06	36%	-1.76	-61.2	9.89%	0	-0.8	34	0

21	Jul_9_2013	6437.73	2680.32	2105.83	2064.08			1980(3.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-10000	-9	-88	0.05	38%	-0.71	-62.1	9.95%	0	-0.9	31	0
22	Jul_8_2013	6483.68	2789.15	2130.57	2162.48			1908(-6.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-10000	-8	-105	0.05	38%	-1.83	-59.8	10.07%	0	-1.1	28	0
23	Jul_5_2013	6604.63	2902.52	2191.36	2249.68			2032(-10.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-27	-10000	2	-114	0.07	38%	-3.24	-58.1	10.06%	0	-1	29	0
24	Jul_3_2013	6825.69	3037.63	2234.92	2230.48			2260.4(5.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-28	-10000	8	-137	0.04	39%	-1.98	-52.9	10%	0	-0.8	29	0
25	Jul_2_2013	6963.84	3152.76	2320.53	2142.4			2140(-13.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-40	-10000	-1	-155	0.08	38%		-52.4	10.07%	0	-1	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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