Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jul. 24, 2013

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $2931.9600 (-14.37%) ($2736.0000 - $3388.0000) on Wed. Jul. 24, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.79% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $2931.9600(-14.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 19.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(75%)    LQD(27%)    PCY(25%)    TIP(25%)    EEM(23%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -4.895% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(8%)    XLY(9%)    XLK(10%)    XAR(11%)    SHY(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.895% (StdDev 9.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -12.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $2892.87(1.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $2653.88(10.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $2380.3(23.18%)
To recent high   -44.8%
To recent low   61.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.1%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.1% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 17.2% (three month std-dev: 9.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130824

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_24_2013	5447.59	2380.3	2653.88	2892.87			2931.96(-14.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	-10000	8	125	0.12	53%	-1.25	29.8	9.79%	0	1.3	62	0
2	Jul_23_2013	5516.65	2340.34	2561.21	2780.88			3424(9.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	37	-10000	13	108	0.09	55%	-1.16	6.8	9.95%	0	2.8	71	0
3	Jul_22_2013	5581.3	2274.46	2411.65	2616.88			3124(18.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	30	-10000	15	74	0.08	55%	-1.39	-29.8	9.92%	0	2.9	60	0
4	Jul_19_2013	5659.83	2238.28	2286.05	2438.48			2636.4(12.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	-10000	7	34	0.05	52%	-1.49	-80	9.64%	0	1.7	57	0
5	Jul_18_2013	5745.58	2226.64	2223.6	2364			2348(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-10000	-1	23	0.04	52%	-1.66	-118.5	9.53%	0	0.6	62	0

6	Jul_17_2013	5842.64	2264.13	2212.74	2376.8			2372(-8.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	16	-10000	7	41	0.09	50%	-1.75	-92.6	9.6%	0	0.4	64	0
7	Jul_16_2013	5946.62	2314.19	2188.14	2297.6			2604(16.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	12	29	0.07	50%	-1.6	-77	9.71%	0	0.7	59	0
8	Jul_15_2013	6043.52	2366.43	2166.95	2172.8			2232(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-10000	6	13	0.03	43%	-1.55	-68.3	9.47%	0	-0.3	53	0
9	Jul_12_2013	6138.71	2439.75	2175.63	2108			2264(-6.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	-10000	4	-3	0.04	41%	-1.54	-63.7	10.13%	0	-0.3	48	0
10	Jul_11_2013	6234.99	2521.13	2144.2	2061.6			2412(22.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	-10000	3	-22	0.07	41%	-1.42	-61.6	10.32%	0	-0.2	51	0

11	Jul_10_2013	6324.62	2589.85	2085.01	2031.28			1976(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-3	-63	0.06	36%	-1.76	-61.2	9.89%	0	-0.8	34	0
12	Jul_9_2013	6437.73	2680.32	2105.83	2064.08			1980(3.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-10000	-9	-88	0.05	38%	-0.71	-62.1	9.95%	0	-0.9	31	0
13	Jul_8_2013	6483.68	2789.15	2130.57	2162.48			1908(-6.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-10000	-8	-105	0.05	38%	-1.83	-59.8	10.07%	0	-1.1	28	0
14	Jul_5_2013	6604.63	2902.52	2191.36	2249.68			2032(-10.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-27	-10000	2	-114	0.07	38%	-3.24	-58.1	10.06%	0	-1	29	0
15	Jul_3_2013	6825.69	3037.63	2234.92	2230.48			2260.4(5.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-28	-10000	8	-137	0.04	39%	-1.98	-52.9	10%	0	-0.8	29	0

16	Jul_2_2013	6963.84	3152.76	2320.53	2142.4			2140(-13.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-40	-10000	-1	-155	0.08	38%	-1.91	-52.4	10.07%	0	-1	29	0
17	Jul_1_2013	7099.15	3273.78	2448.78	2150.4			2472(5.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-35	-10000	5	-153	0.09	39%	-1.96	-48.6	10.05%	0	-0.8	33	0
18	Jun_28_2013	7240.89	3390.48	2572.03	2100.72			2344(21.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-43	-10000	-3	-161	0.13	39%	-1.97	-46.4	10.01%	0	-1	27	0
19	Jun_27_2013	7386.76	3497.59	2711.91	2137.52			1936(6.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-50	-10000	-10	-169	0.07	35%	-1.98	-44.1	9.58%	0	-1.6	14	0
20	Jun_26_2013	7535.99	3640.82	2918.82	2245.52			1820(-16.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-60	-10000	-23	-170	0.08	35%	-1.92	-41.7	9.57%	0	-2	8	0

21	Jun_25_2013	7683.33	3761.27	3132.53	2524.72			2180(-1.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-54	-10000	-20	-154	0.04	37%	-1.85	-37.5	9.4%	0	-1.9	14	0
22	Jun_24_2013	7828.44	3841.56	3303.63	2791.92			2223.6(-12.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-52	-10000	-22	-142	0.06	37%	-1.79	-34.4	9.4%	0	-2.1	15	0
23	Jun_21_2013	7971.05	3925.56	3508.81	3115.2			2528(2.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-43	-10000	-17	-122	0.06	40%	-1.64	-25.3	9.32%	0	-2.1	16	0
24	Jun_20_2013	8103.83	3999.83	3682.83	3376			2476(-23.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-40	-10000	-18	-104	0.07	40%	-1.67	-16.8	9.39%	0	-2.7	24	0
25	Jun_19_2013	8241.22	4072.18	3921.53	3687.2			3216(-8.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-25	-10000	-8	-77	0.04	43%		-2.8	9%	0	-1.9	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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