Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jun. 28, 2013

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $2344.0000 (21.07%) ($1852.0000 - $2400.0000) on Fri. Jun. 28, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   10.01% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $2344.0000(21.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT declines -1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -26.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(75%)    LQD(27%)    PCY(26%)    TIP(25%)    EEM(24%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -5.005% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(8%)    XLY(10%)    XLK(10%)    XAR(11%)    SHY(12%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.005% (StdDev 10.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 26%

Resistance Level   $3390.48
5 Day Moving Average   $2100.72(11.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $2572.03(-8.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $3390.48(-30.87%)
To recent high   -79.1%
To recent low   28.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.1%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.1% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 29.4% (three month std-dev: 10.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130728

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_28_2013	7240.89	3390.48	2572.03	2100.72			2344(21.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-43	-10000	-3	-161	0.13	39%	-1.97	-46.4	10.01%	0	-1	27	0
2	Jun_27_2013	7386.76	3497.59	2711.91	2137.52			1936(6.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-50	-10000	-10	-169	0.07	35%	-1.98	-44.1	9.58%	0	-1.6	14	0
3	Jun_26_2013	7535.99	3640.82	2918.82	2245.52			1820(-16.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-60	-10000	-23	-170	0.08	35%	-1.92	-41.7	9.57%	0	-2	8	0
4	Jun_25_2013	7683.33	3761.27	3132.53	2524.72			2180(-1.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-54	-10000	-20	-154	0.04	37%	-1.85	-37.5	9.4%	0	-1.9	14	0
5	Jun_24_2013	7828.44	3841.56	3303.63	2791.92			2223.6(-12.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-52	-10000	-22	-142	0.06	37%	-1.79	-34.4	9.4%	0	-2.1	15	0

6	Jun_21_2013	7971.05	3925.56	3508.81	3115.2			2528(2.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-43	-10000	-17	-122	0.06	40%	-1.64	-25.3	9.32%	0	-2.1	16	0
7	Jun_20_2013	8103.83	3999.83	3682.83	3376			2476(-23.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-40	-10000	-18	-104	0.07	40%	-1.67	-16.8	9.39%	0	-2.7	24	0
8	Jun_19_2013	8241.22	4072.18	3921.53	3687.2			3216(-8.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-25	-10000	-8	-77	0.04	43%	-1.58	-2.8	9%	0	-1.9	28	0
9	Jun_18_2013	8373.91	4097.11	4064.78	3826.4			3516(-8.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-10000	-4	-58	0.04	43%	-1.43	-1.9	8.96%	0	-1.3	47	0
10	Jun_17_2013	8495.58	4121.4	4173.19	3890.4			3840(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-10000	-4	-40	0.02	43%	-1.44	-3.7	8.92%	0	-0.7	59	0

11	Jun_14_2013	8619.42	4099.75	4273.53	3968			3832(-4.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-10000	-4	-18	0.03	43%	-1.59	-13.7	8.92%	0	-0.6	57	0
12	Jun_13_2013	8758.28	4098.47	4340.66	4044			4032(3.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-7	-10000	-8	-5	0.03	42%	-1.74	-20.3	8.92%	0	-0.1	57	0
13	Jun_12_2013	8913.46	4085.27	4411.27	4202.4			3912(1.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	1	-10000	-7	25	0.03	43%	-1.91	-24.1	8.95%	0	-0.4	57	0
14	Jun_11_2013	9087.22	4105.26	4434.88	4345.6			3836(-9.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	6	-10000	-7	46	0.04	43%	-0.59	-17	9.02%	0	-0.6	59	0
15	Jun_10_2013	9141.35	4136.7	4424.42	4494.4			4228(0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	10	-10000	-6	57	0.02	44%	-1.75	-11.8	8.96%	0	0.2	57	0

16	Jun_7_2013	9304.36	4162.21	4380.25	4622.32			4212(-12.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	19	-10000	-2	81	0.04	44%	-1.71	-3.8	8.96%	0	0.1	65	0
17	Jun_6_2013	9466.3	4191.78	4349.67	4672.72			4824(4.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	1	94	0.03	49%	-1.65	0	8.84%	0	1.2	63	0
18	Jun_5_2013	9625.23	4198.68	4238.5	4655.12			4628(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	-10000	6	97	0.03	49%	-1.69	1.5	8.99%	0	0.8	62	0
19	Jun_4_2013	9790.3	4184.65	4133.15	4539.12			4580(-5.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-10000	10	76	0.03	47%	-1.62	-10.8	8.99%	0	0.7	54	0
20	Jun_3_2013	9951.54	4192.15	4062.88	4337.52			4867.6(9.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	-10000	13	48	0.03	47%	-1.58	-21.5	9.03%	0	1.2	54	0

21	May_31_2013	10111.05	4180.71	3902.36	4102.4			4464(-5.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	5	-10000	7	-0	0.03	46%	-1.6	-33.3	9.02%	0	0.5	47	0
22	May_30_2013	10275.95	4191.92	3824.34	3976.8			4736(17%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	2	-10000	12	-27	0.04	46%	-1.42	-42.6	9.07%	0	1	48	0
23	May_29_2013	10424.45	4190.56	3712.8	3772			4048(13.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	-10000	6	-69	0.03	42%	-1.5	-53.8	8.85%	0	-0.3	38	0
24	May_28_2013	10582.96	4242.93	3729.85	3674.4			3572(-3.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-10000	-4	-86	0.03	39%	-2.4	-49.2	8.65%	0	-1.1	43	0
25	May_24_2013	10843.42	4312.63	3814.91	3743.12			3692(-3.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-17	-10000	5	-82	0.03	38%		-45.5	8.54%	0	-1.1	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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