Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jun. 20, 2013

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $2476.0000 (-23.01%) ($2344.0000 - $2800.0000) on Thu. Jun. 20, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.39% (three month average)
RSI   24
Latest Price   $2476.0000(-23.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT declines -8.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -15.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(75%)    LQD(27%)    PCY(26%)    TIP(25%)    EEM(24%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -4.695% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(8%)    XLY(10%)    XLK(10%)    XAR(11%)    SHY(12%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.695% (StdDev 9.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -8.7%

Resistance Level   $3999.83
5 Day Moving Average   $3376(-26.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $3682.83(-32.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $3999.83(-38.1%)
To recent high   -79%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.09%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.09% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 14.34% (three month std-dev: 9.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130720

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_20_2013	8103.83	3999.83	3682.83	3376			2476(-23.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-40	-10000	-18	-104	0.07	40%	-1.67	-16.8	9.39%	0	-2.7	24	0
2	Jun_19_2013	8241.22	4072.18	3921.53	3687.2			3216(-8.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-25	-10000	-8	-77	0.04	43%	-1.58	-2.8	9%	0	-1.9	28	0
3	Jun_18_2013	8373.91	4097.11	4064.78	3826.4			3516(-8.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-10000	-4	-58	0.04	43%	-1.43	-1.9	8.96%	0	-1.3	47	0
4	Jun_17_2013	8495.58	4121.4	4173.19	3890.4			3840(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-10000	-4	-40	0.02	43%	-1.44	-3.7	8.92%	0	-0.7	59	0
5	Jun_14_2013	8619.42	4099.75	4273.53	3968			3832(-4.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-10000	-4	-18	0.03	43%	-1.59	-13.7	8.92%	0	-0.6	57	0

6	Jun_13_2013	8758.28	4098.47	4340.66	4044			4032(3.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-7	-10000	-8	-5	0.03	42%	-1.74	-20.3	8.92%	0	-0.1	57	0
7	Jun_12_2013	8913.46	4085.27	4411.27	4202.4			3912(1.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	1	-10000	-7	25	0.03	43%	-1.91	-24.1	8.95%	0	-0.4	57	0
8	Jun_11_2013	9087.22	4105.26	4434.88	4345.6			3836(-9.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	6	-10000	-7	46	0.04	43%	-0.59	-17	9.02%	0	-0.6	59	0
9	Jun_10_2013	9141.35	4136.7	4424.42	4494.4			4228(0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	10	-10000	-6	57	0.02	44%	-1.75	-11.8	8.96%	0	0.2	57	0
10	Jun_7_2013	9304.36	4162.21	4380.25	4622.32			4212(-12.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	19	-10000	-2	81	0.04	44%	-1.71	-3.8	8.96%	0	0.1	65	0

11	Jun_6_2013	9466.3	4191.78	4349.67	4672.72			4824(4.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	1	94	0.03	49%	-1.65	0	8.84%	0	1.2	63	0
12	Jun_5_2013	9625.23	4198.68	4238.5	4655.12			4628(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	-10000	6	97	0.03	49%	-1.69	1.5	8.99%	0	0.8	62	0
13	Jun_4_2013	9790.3	4184.65	4133.15	4539.12			4580(-5.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-10000	10	76	0.03	47%	-1.62	-10.8	8.99%	0	0.7	54	0
14	Jun_3_2013	9951.54	4192.15	4062.88	4337.52			4867.6(9.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	-10000	13	48	0.03	47%	-1.58	-21.5	9.03%	0	1.2	54	0
15	May_31_2013	10111.05	4180.71	3902.36	4102.4			4464(-5.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	5	-10000	7	-0	0.03	46%	-1.6	-33.3	9.02%	0	0.5	47	0

16	May_30_2013	10275.95	4191.92	3824.34	3976.8			4736(17%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	2	-10000	12	-27	0.04	46%	-1.42	-42.6	9.07%	0	1	48	0
17	May_29_2013	10424.45	4190.56	3712.8	3772			4048(13.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	-10000	6	-69	0.03	42%	-1.5	-53.8	8.85%	0	-0.3	38	0
18	May_28_2013	10582.96	4242.93	3729.85	3674.4			3572(-3.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-10000	-4	-86	0.03	39%	-2.4	-49.2	8.65%	0	-1.1	43	0
19	May_24_2013	10843.42	4312.63	3814.91	3743.12			3692(-3.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-17	-10000	5	-82	0.03	38%	-1.53	-45.5	8.54%	0	-1.1	40	0
20	May_23_2013	11011.87	4367.64	3919.91	3662.32			3836(3.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-22	-10000	1	-89	0.02	38%	-1.75	-46	8.6%	0	-0.9	42	0

21	May_22_2013	11207.83	4440.08	4016.98	3643.12			3712(4.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	-10000	-0	-88	0.05	38%	-0.68	-40	8.65%	0	-1.2	40	0
22	May_21_2013	11285.11	4512.39	4152.61	3645.52			3560(-9.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	-10000	-9	-88	0.04	38%	-1.65	-33.2	8.62%	0	-1.7	38	0
23	May_20_2013	11474.6	4555.48	4243.89	3797.52			3915.6(19.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-27	-10000	-7	-85	0.05	37%	-1.43	-31.4	8.6%	0	-1.2	38	0
24	May_17_2013	11641.45	4592.73	4335.41	3909.6			3288(-12.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-35	-10000	-18	-85	0.03	33%	-1.52	-28.1	8.29%	0	-2.6	29	0
25	May_16_2013	11820.95	4658.03	4493.18	4216.88			3740(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-25	-10000	-13	-59	0.03	35%		-37.6	8.25%	0	-2.2	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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