Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 24, 2013

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $3692.0000 (-3.75%) ($3612.0000 - $3972.0000) on Fri. May. 24, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.54% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $3692.0000(-3.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -12% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(75%)    LQD(27%)    PCY(26%)    TIP(25%)    EEM(24%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -4.27% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(8%)    XLY(9%)    XLK(10%)    XAR(11%)    SHY(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.27% (StdDev 8.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.6%

Resistance Level   $4312.63
5 Day Moving Average   $3743.12(-1.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $3814.91(-3.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $4312.63(-14.39%)
To recent high   -70.6%
To recent low   12.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.07%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.07% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 13.41% (three month std-dev: 8.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130624

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_24_2013	10843.42	4312.63	3814.91	3743.12			3692(-3.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-17	-10000	5	-82	0.03	38%	-1.53	-45.5	8.54%	0	-1.1	40	0
2	May_23_2013	11011.87	4367.64	3919.91	3662.32			3836(3.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-22	-10000	1	-89	0.02	38%	-1.75	-46	8.6%	0	-0.9	42	0
3	May_22_2013	11207.83	4440.08	4016.98	3643.12			3712(4.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	-10000	-0	-88	0.05	38%	-0.68	-40	8.65%	0	-1.2	40	0
4	May_21_2013	11285.11	4512.39	4152.61	3645.52			3560(-9.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	-10000	-9	-88	0.04	38%	-1.65	-33.2	8.62%	0	-1.7	38	0
5	May_20_2013	11474.6	4555.48	4243.89	3797.52			3915.6(19.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-27	-10000	-7	-85	0.05	37%	-1.43	-31.4	8.6%	0	-1.2	38	0

6	May_17_2013	11641.45	4592.73	4335.41	3909.6			3288(-12.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-35	-10000	-18	-85	0.03	33%	-1.52	-28.1	8.29%	0	-2.6	29	0
7	May_16_2013	11820.95	4658.03	4493.18	4216.88			3740(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-25	-10000	-13	-59	0.03	35%	-1.42	-37.6	8.25%	0	-2.2	38	0
8	May_15_2013	11991.47	4691.18	4603.93	4446.48			3724(-13.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-23	-10000	-14	-48	0.03	33%	-0.71	-63.8	8.31%	0	-2.4	32	0
9	May_14_2013	12077.59	4709.97	4723.65	4728.88			4320(-3.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-7	-10000	-1	-25	0.02	35%	-1.34	-106.1	8.24%	0	-1.1	41	0
10	May_13_2013	12241.34	4726.56	4809.79	4748.88			4476(-7.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	-10000	-4	-13	0.01	35%	-1.29	-161.7	8.25%	0	-0.7	57	0

11	May_10_2013	12401.8	4739.62	4860.47	4822.48			4824.4(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-0	-10000	0	-1	0.03	34%	-1.24	-124.7	8.13%	0	0.2	56	0
12	May_9_2013	12557.38	4821.76	4855.53	4812.8			4888(-4.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	2	-10000	1	4	0.03	34%	-1.24	-84.7	8.2%	0	0.1	59	0
13	May_8_2013	12715.51	4964.96	4893.41	4791.2			5136(16.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	3	17	0.03	34%	-1.25	-68.6	8.25%	0	0.1	63	0
14	May_7_2013	12877.01	5110.59	4888.58	4730.88			4420(-8.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-10000	-8	27	0.02	30%	-1.38	-54.6	7.93%	0	-0.5	62	0
15	May_6_2013	13056.8	5344.51	4886.52	4882.08			4844(1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	9	-10000	-1	40	0.01	31%	-1.32	-49.3	7.88%	0	-0.3	55	0

16	May_3_2013	13230.94	5513.19	4864.02	4904.4			4776(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	-10000	0	43	0.02	31%	-1.3	-50.3	7.77%	0	-0.4	53	0
17	May_2_2013	13404.73	5702	4833.79	4901.2			4780(-1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-10000	-5	7	0.02	31%	-1.42	-52.2	7.83%	0	-0.5	39	0
18	May_1_2013	13597.44	5897.1	4787.12	5008.4			4834.4(-6.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-10000	-3	-36	0.02	31%	-1.26	-54.8	7.89%	0	-0.6	33	0
19	Apr_30_2013	13770.83	6061.18	4701.91	5069.52			5176(4.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	-10000	9	-84	0.02	31%	-1.24	-55.8	7.84%	0	-0.4	34	0
20	Apr_29_2013	13944	6266.25	4638.71	4890.32			4955.6(4.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-35	-10000	4	-153	0.01	31%	-1.18	-55.1	7.8%	0	-0.6	29	0

21	Apr_26_2013	14110.71	6544.37	4609.04	4816			4760(-10.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-46	-10000	4	-196	0.03	31%	-1.15	-57.1	7.75%	0	-0.8	34	0
22	Apr_25_2013	14274.46	6855.44	4778.73	4748			5316(3.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-44	-10000	12	-211	0.04	32%	-1.08	-55.3	7.73%	0	-0.6	35	0
23	Apr_24_2013	14429.92	7144.44	5018.36	4535.04			5140(20.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-44	-10000	15	-220	0.03	30%	-1.21	-54	7.76%	0	-0.8	33	0
24	Apr_23_2013	14605.96	7421.53	5313.04	4287.84			4280(-6.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-64	-10000	-4	-245	0.02	24%	-1.24	-55.6	7.3%	0	-1.2	29	0
25	Apr_22_2013	14788.88	7763.17	5804.98	4351.04			4584(3.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-59	-10000	-2	-230	0.02	24%		-56.1	7.32%	0	-1.2	27	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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