Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. May. 14, 2013

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $4320.0000 (-3.49%) ($4268.0000 - $4656.0000) on Tue. May. 14, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.24% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $4320.0000(-3.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(75%)    LQD(27%)    PCY(26%)    EEM(24%)    TIP(24%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -4.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(8%)    XLY(9%)    XLK(10%)    XAR(11%)    SHY(12%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.12% (StdDev 8.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

Resistance Level   $4709.97
5 Day Moving Average   $4728.88(-8.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $4723.65(-8.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $4709.97(-8.28%)
To recent high   -71.7%
To recent low   10.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.07%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.07% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 7.39% (three month std-dev: 8.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130614

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_14_2013	12077.59	4709.97	4723.65	4728.88			4320(-3.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-7	-10000	-1	-25	0.02	35%	-1.34	-106.1	8.24%	0	-1.1	41	0
2	May_13_2013	12241.34	4726.56	4809.79	4748.88			4476(-7.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	-10000	-4	-13	0.01	35%	-1.29	-161.7	8.25%	0	-0.7	57	0
3	May_10_2013	12401.8	4739.62	4860.47	4822.48			4824.4(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-0	-10000	0	-1	0.03	34%	-1.24	-124.7	8.13%	0	0.2	56	0
4	May_9_2013	12557.38	4821.76	4855.53	4812.8			4888(-4.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	2	-10000	1	4	0.03	34%	-1.24	-84.7	8.2%	0	0.1	59	0
5	May_8_2013	12715.51	4964.96	4893.41	4791.2			5136(16.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	3	17	0.03	34%	-1.25	-68.6	8.25%	0	0.1	63	0

6	May_7_2013	12877.01	5110.59	4888.58	4730.88			4420(-8.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-10000	-8	27	0.02	30%	-1.38	-54.6	7.93%	0	-0.5	62	0
7	May_6_2013	13056.8	5344.51	4886.52	4882.08			4844(1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	9	-10000	-1	40	0.01	31%	-1.32	-49.3	7.88%	0	-0.3	55	0
8	May_3_2013	13230.94	5513.19	4864.02	4904.4			4776(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	-10000	0	43	0.02	31%	-1.3	-50.3	7.77%	0	-0.4	53	0
9	May_2_2013	13404.73	5702	4833.79	4901.2			4780(-1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-10000	-5	7	0.02	31%	-1.42	-52.2	7.83%	0	-0.5	39	0
10	May_1_2013	13597.44	5897.1	4787.12	5008.4			4834.4(-6.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-10000	-3	-36	0.02	31%	-1.26	-54.8	7.89%	0	-0.6	33	0

11	Apr_30_2013	13770.83	6061.18	4701.91	5069.52			5176(4.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	-10000	9	-84	0.02	31%	-1.24	-55.8	7.84%	0	-0.4	34	0
12	Apr_29_2013	13944	6266.25	4638.71	4890.32			4955.6(4.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-35	-10000	4	-153	0.01	31%	-1.18	-55.1	7.8%	0	-0.6	29	0
13	Apr_26_2013	14110.71	6544.37	4609.04	4816			4760(-10.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-46	-10000	4	-196	0.03	31%	-1.15	-57.1	7.75%	0	-0.8	34	0
14	Apr_25_2013	14274.46	6855.44	4778.73	4748			5316(3.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-44	-10000	12	-211	0.04	32%	-1.08	-55.3	7.73%	0	-0.6	35	0
15	Apr_24_2013	14429.92	7144.44	5018.36	4535.04			5140(20.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-44	-10000	15	-220	0.03	30%	-1.21	-54	7.76%	0	-0.8	33	0

16	Apr_23_2013	14605.96	7421.53	5313.04	4287.84			4280(-6.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-64	-10000	-4	-245	0.02	24%	-1.24	-55.6	7.3%	0	-1.2	29	0
17	Apr_22_2013	14788.88	7763.17	5804.98	4351.04			4584(3.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-59	-10000	-2	-230	0.02	24%	-1.31	-56.1	7.32%	0	-1.2	27	0
18	Apr_19_2013	14985.29	8110.4	6184.93	4375.84			4420(3.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-81	-10000	-26	-246	0.03	24%	-1.35	-56.1	7.33%	0	-1.4	23	0
19	Apr_18_2013	15190.71	8483.15	6620.65	4828.48			4251.2(8.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-88	-10000	-37	-240	0.03	24%	-1.33	-53.3	7.35%	0	-1.7	20	0
20	Apr_17_2013	15395.39	8830.02	7093.56	5599.04			3904(-15.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-85	-10000	-39	-224	0.04	21%	-1.3	-50.6	7.21%	0	-2.1	16	0

21	Apr_16_2013	15598.26	9201.73	7554.68	6503.84			4596(-2.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-79	-10000	-37	-204	0.03	22%	-1.36	-49.4	7.03%	0	-2.2	21	0
22	Apr_15_2013	15813.51	9537.84	8064.84	7478.08			4708(-29.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-61	-10000	-26	-165	0.04	22%	-1.34	-44.7	7.03%	0	-2.7	21	0
23	Apr_12_2013	16028.64	9865.82	8690.77	8231.68			6683.2(-17.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-50	-10000	-16	-150	0.02	26%	-0.61	-44.2	6.04%	0	-2.2	26	0
24	Apr_11_2013	16127.01	10082.5	9146.59	8654.24			8104(-3.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-10000	-6	-134	0.01	28%	-1.04	-43	5.73%	0	-1.6	29	0
25	Apr_10_2013	16297.28	10208.69	9463.98	8811.84			8428(-10.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-28	-10000	2	-119	0.01	31%		-45.5	5.72%	0	-1.6	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.