Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 21, 2013

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $11700.0000 (4.5%) ($11200.0000 - $12260.0000) on Thu. Feb. 21, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.83% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $11700.0000(4.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT declines -4.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -10.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(75%)    LQD(26%)    PCY(25%)    EEM(24%)    TIP(24%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -2.415% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(8%)    XLY(9%)    XLK(10%)    XAR(11%)    XLP(12%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.415% (StdDev 4.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.7%

Resistance Level   $15226.63
5 Day Moving Average   $12967.2(-9.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $14301.42(-18.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $15226.63(-23.16%)
To recent high   -53.9%
To recent low   4.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 10.56% (three month std-dev: 4.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130321

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_21_2013	22888.32	15226.63	14301.42	12967.2			11700(4.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-50	-10000	-20	-141	0.01	20%	-1.01	-98.3	4.83%	0	-2.2	30	0
2	Feb_20_2013	23121.08	15603.88	14798.91	13639.2			11196(-14.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-48	-10000	-26	-112	0.01	20%	-1.09	-93.6	4.83%	0	-2.7	23	0
3	Feb_19_2013	23375.38	16089.49	15336.55	14560			13060(-4.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-29	-10000	-14	-73	0	28%	-1.54	-77.6	4.53%	0	-1.8	28	0
4	Feb_15_2013	23742.17	16436.19	15688.99	15028			13640(-10.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-10000	-15	-45	0.01	26%	-0.98	-70.6	4.64%	0	-1.7	40	0
5	Feb_14_2013	23976.28	16749.02	15965.74	15572.4			15240(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-8	-17	0	25%	-0.78	-64.2	4.57%	0	-0.9	46	0

6	Feb_13_2013	24163.85	16990.36	16009.31	15852.4			15060(-4.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-10000	-8	-17	0	25%	-0.76	-54.8	4.85%	0	-1.1	35	0
7	Feb_12_2013	24348.28	17262.4	16109.75	16152.4			15800(2.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-10000	-2	-25	0	25%	-0.79	-46.3	4.84%	0	-0.8	30	0
8	Feb_11_2013	24543.23	17477.44	16154.41	16244.4			15400(-5.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-17	-10000	-5	-54	0	25%	-0.96	-42.3	4.83%	0	-1.1	22	0
9	Feb_8_2013	24780.28	17722.61	16174.55	16444.4			16362(-1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-18	-10000	1	-74	0	27%	-0.87	-39.8	4.8%	0	-0.7	31	0
10	Feb_7_2013	24997.82	17922.2	16135.24	16412			16640(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-20	-10000	6	-98	0	27%	-0.89	-39.2	4.82%	0	-0.6	33	0

11	Feb_6_2013	25221.61	18049.47	16195.85	16192			16560(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-29	-10000	3	-124	0	27%	-0.84	-50.3	4.85%	0	-0.7	31	0
12	Feb_5_2013	25435.72	18195.28	16429.38	16068			16260(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-34	-10000	0	-137	0	27%	-0.81	-57.7	4.9%	0	-1	28	0
13	Feb_4_2013	25643.72	18353.88	16855.61	16060			16400(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-29	-10000	5	-131	0	27%	-0.8	-61.4	4.91%	0	-1	32	0
14	Feb_1_2013	25849.82	18554.67	17195.34	15868			16200(4.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-33	-10000	1	-134	0	24%	-0.7	-65.5	5.14%	0	-1.2	30	0
15	Jan_31_2013	26030.86	18760.77	17554.67	15823.2			15540(-2.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-10000	-9	-142	0	29%	-0.54	-69	5.12%	0	-1.7	25	0

16	Jan_30_2013	26172.76	19133	18024.99	16203.2			15940(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-10000	-15	-124	0.01	29%	-0.51	-57.2	5.29%	0	-1.6	37	0
17	Jan_29_2013	26307.28	19437.87	18496.85	16863.2			16220(5.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	-10000	-20	-101	0	29%	-0.48	-47.7	5.33%	0	-1.7	37	0
18	Jan_28_2013	26434.13	19648.04	18909.81	17807.2			15440(-3.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-31	-10000	-18	-68	0	29%	-0.57	-35.6	5.32%	0	-2.4	32	0
19	Jan_25_2013	26585.92	19930.74	19429.8	18727.2			15976(-8.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-21	-10000	-15	-39	0.01	33%	-0.46	-25.1	5.31%	0	-2.7	30	0
20	Jan_24_2013	26707.85	20167.64	19911.3	19516			17440(-9.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-10	-10000	-10	-11	0.01	34%	-0.32	-15.1	5.37%	0	-2.5	37	0

21	Jan_23_2013	26794.8	20314.48	20119.6	20076			19240(-8.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-7	-10000	-5	-12	0	34%	-0.25	-9.7	5.28%	0	-1.2	32	0
22	Jan_22_2013	26860.91	20355.16	20155.46	20356			20940(4.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	-10000	3	-13	0	36%	-0.19	-9.7	5.29%	0	0.7	45	0
23	Jan_18_2013	26912.06	20295.96	19990.02	20212			20040(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-10000	-1	-23	0	34%	-0.11	-23.3	5.25%	0	-0.3	52	0
24	Jan_17_2013	26942.8	20300.12	20019.17	20272			19920(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7	-10000	-2	-23	0	34%	-0.14	-37.6	5.35%	0	-0.4	48	0
25	Jan_16_2013	26979.85	20336.58	20046.3	20380			20240(-1.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-2	-10000	4	-19	0	36%		-39	5.36%	0	-0.1	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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