Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jan. 2, 2013

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $23040.0000 (5.01%) ($22760.0000 - $23640.0000) on Wed. Jan. 2, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.31% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $23040.0000(5.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 2.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(75%)    LQD(26%)    PCY(25%)    EEM(24%)    TIP(24%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -2.655% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(8%)    XLY(9%)    XLK(10%)    XAR(11%)    XLP(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.655% (StdDev 5.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $21212.16(8.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20687.89(11.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21063.62(9.38%)
To recent high   -36.6%
To recent low   16.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 4.76% (three month std-dev: 5.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_2_2013	27342.55	21063.62	20687.89	21212.16			23040(5.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	6	-10000	11	-9	0	38%	0.37	-46.2	5.31%	0	2	57	0
2	Dec_31_2012	27241.27	20988.17	20512.71	20612.16			21940.8(9.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-1	-10000	8	-29	0	38%	0.02	-84.6	5.27%	0	1	50	0
3	Dec_28_2012	27234.81	21044.99	20447.07	20200			20100(-2.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-10	-10000	1	-43	0	34%	-0.03	-92.7	5.12%	0	-0.9	47	0
4	Dec_27_2012	27243.14	21236.69	20577.77	20132			20700(2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	-10000	2	-41	0	38%	0.02	-82.6	5.11%	0	-0.4	53	0
5	Dec_26_2012	27237.1	21386.4	20808.21	20005.68			20280(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-9	-10000	-1	-31	0	38%	0.27	-76.5	5.24%	0	-0.8	53	0

6	Dec_24_2012	27162.9	21538.04	20929.2	20077.68			20040(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-13	-10000	-6	-34	0	36%	0.06	-66.6	5.23%	0	-1	41	0
7	Dec_21_2012	27147.64	21788.91	21108.56	20405.68			19880(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-10000	-6	-24	0	36%	0.08	-49.2	5.34%	0	-1.1	42	0
8	Dec_20_2012	27124.76	22056.08	21234.03	20742			19760(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11	-10000	-6	-26	0	36%	0.07	-35	5.35%	0	-1.4	35	0
9	Dec_19_2012	27105.79	22284.64	21332.08	21082			20068.4(-2.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	-10000	-11	-36	0	36%	0.05	-27.7	5.35%	0	-1.4	34	0
10	Dec_18_2012	27092.71	22451.05	21375.51	21724.32			20640(-4.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-10	-10000	-3	-32	0	36%	0.03	-28.5	5.36%	0	-1.2	37	0

11	Dec_17_2012	27084.88	22614.73	21517.45	21892.32			21680(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10000	-0	-32	0	36%	0.1	-38.2	5.36%	0	-0.6	43	0
12	Dec_14_2012	27058.48	22639.22	21527.87	21916.32			21561.6(0.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-10	-10000	2	-46	0	39%	0.11	-58.2	5.35%	0	-0.7	36	0
13	Dec_13_2012	27029.6	22642.74	21696.09	21796			21460(-7.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-12	-10000	3	-57	0	44%	0.15	-84.6	5.46%	0	-0.8	35	0
14	Dec_12_2012	26990.43	22735.95	21942.9	21600			23280(8.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-7	-10000	10	-57	0	46%	0.27	-107	5.72%	0	0.4	46	0
15	Dec_11_2012	26917.85	22893.28	21969.98	20992			21480(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-21	-10000	-2	-76	0	43%	0.2	-103.7	5.62%	0	-0.8	44	0

16	Dec_10_2012	26863.83	23195.12	22153.32	21104			21800(4.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-19	-10000	-0	-75	0	41%	0.17	-87.6	5.62%	0	-0.7	42	0
17	Dec_7_2012	26818.88	23529.17	22474.37	21112			20960(2.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-10000	-8	-67	0	44%	0.14	-74	5.63%	0	-1.1	49	0
18	Dec_6_2012	26780.53	23967.72	22906.2	21608			20480(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-10000	-11	-40	0	46%	0.14	-63.5	5.73%	0	-1.3	51	0
19	Dec_5_2012	26742.39	24409.65	23304.18	22340			20240(-8.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-13	-10000	-11	-19	0	46%	0.11	-60.3	5.8%	0	-1.5	42	0
20	Dec_4_2012	26714.14	24821.41	23641.89	23072			22040(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	-10000	-4	-13	0	48%	0.15	-58.5	5.71%	0	-1	37	0

21	Dec_3_2012	26672.9	25071.99	23839.61	23340			21840(-6.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-10000	-10	-24	0	48%	0.14	-63.6	5.71%	0	-1.2	34	0
22	Nov_30_2012	26636.2	25360.49	23896.74	24024			23440(-2.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-10000	-5	-32	0	54%	0.23	-60.8	5.86%	0	-0.8	35	0
23	Nov_29_2012	26575.58	25747.2	23718.97	24408			24140(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10000	-0	-54	0	54%	0.24	-49.5	5.85%	0	-0.6	34	0
24	Nov_28_2012	26510.63	26167.72	23627.57	24436			23900(2.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-17	-10000	2	-75	0	54%	0.19	-43.3	5.87%	0	-0.7	35	0
25	Nov_27_2012	26459.91	26476.45	23892.69	24300			23380(-7.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-10000	-1	-85	0	54%		-45.8	5.86%	0	-1	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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