Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Nov. 5, 2012

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $26922.0000 (-1.96%) ($26860.0000 - $28220.0000) on Mon. Nov. 5, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.46% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $26922.0000(-1.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT declines -2.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(75%)    LQD(26%)    PCY(25%)    EEM(24%)    TIP(24%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -2.73% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(8%)    XLY(10%)    XLK(10%)    XAR(11%)    SHY(12%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.73% (StdDev 5.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.6%

Resistance Level   $31417.81
5 Day Moving Average   $29853.96(-9.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30143.89(-10.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31417.81(-14.31%)
To recent high   -29%
To recent low   36.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 6.44% (three month std-dev: 5.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_5_2012	26037.88	31417.81	30143.89	29853.96			26922(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-18	-10000	-9	-44	0	67%	0.05	-63.4	5.46%	0	-2.2	43	0
2	Nov_2_2012	26025.08	31889.16	30583.44	30621.56			27460(-13.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-10	-10000	-2	-33	0	67%	0.07	-56.1	5.47%	0	-2.3	41	0
3	Nov_1_2012	26006.31	32213.05	31241.97	30777.56			31580(-4.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	-10000	4	-25	0	72%	0.24	-54.2	5.19%	0	-0.3	48	0
4	Oct_31_2012	25943.22	32378.45	31370.18	30437.56			33107.8(9.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-7	-10000	1	-31	0	72%	0.44	-53.4	5.19%	0	0.4	53	0
5	Oct_26_2012	25830.57	32493.68	31177.25	30336			30200(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10000	-3	-46	0	70%	0.23	-46.8	5.07%	0	-1.1	40	0

6	Oct_25_2012	25771.38	32754.76	31301.04	30549.28			30760(8.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-14	-10000	-1	-54	0	72%	0.15	-49.2	5.11%	0	-0.9	39	0
7	Oct_24_2012	25732.19	33007.17	31506.9	30597.28			28240(-5.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-28	-10000	-14	-69	0	70%	0.05	-52.7	5.1%	0	-2.3	28	0
8	Oct_23_2012	25718.25	33276.83	31985.51	31749.28			29880(-8.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-18	-10000	-8	-49	0	70%	0.13	-56.6	5.04%	0	-1.9	42	0
9	Oct_22_2012	25684.31	33436.19	32237.92	32389.28			32600(4.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-10000	3	-42	0	74%	0.29	-63.9	5%	0	-0.5	44	0
10	Oct_19_2012	25609.97	33523.11	32397.71	32145.28			31266.4(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-13	-10000	-0	-53	0	74%	0.4	-63.8	4.98%	0	-1.2	38	0

11	Oct_18_2012	25507.88	33846.49	32784.97	32156			31000(-8.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-10000	-5	-56	0	74%	0.36	-59	4.99%	0	-1.5	39	0
12	Oct_17_2012	25415.76	34148.5	33304.62	32536			34000(2.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	-10000	3	-46	0	79%	0.49	-45.5	4.88%	0	-0.1	44	0
13	Oct_16_2012	25292.33	34325.46	33252.79	32284			33080(5.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	-10000	2	-50	0	79%	0.32	-28.7	4.9%	0	-0.6	52	0
14	Oct_15_2012	25212.86	34511.15	33440.13	32100			31380(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-10000	-8	-51	0	78%	0.34	-13.5	4.88%	0	-1.6	50	0
15	Oct_12_2012	25126.94	34754.44	33889.18	32716			31320(-4.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10000	-10	-35	0	78%	0.36	13.2	4.89%	0	-1.8	44	0

16	Oct_11_2012	25037.35	35001.85	34318.67	33508			32900(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-10000	-8	-27	0	78%	0.44	43.9	4.85%	0	-1.2	38	0
17	Oct_10_2012	24927.96	35048.15	34619.77	34192			32740(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-5	-10000	-2	-15	0	73%	0.54	59.2	4.93%	0	-1.1	41	0
18	Oct_9_2012	24794.29	34907.7	34691.25	34360			32160(-6.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-10000	-7	-28	0	73%	0.49	60.4	5.09%	0	-1.1	38	0
19	Oct_8_2012	24673.27	34784.14	34785.25	34948			34460(-2.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-3	-30	0	76%	0.67	66.7	5.01%	0	-0.1	45	0
20	Oct_5_2012	24509.8	34510.19	34779.1	35224.08			35280(-2.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-7	-10000	-0	-28	0	72%	0.73	70.9	5.13%	0	0.3	49	0

21	Oct_4_2012	24333.25	34258.23	35005.13	35256.08			36320(8.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	-10000	1	-22	0	72%	0.86	76	5.15%	0	0.6	52	0
22	Oct_3_2012	24124.68	33842.3	35040.02	35168.08			33580(-4.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-3	-10000	1	-14	0	72%	0.76	74	5.1%	0	-0.1	54	0
23	Oct_2_2012	23943.45	33491.2	35462.15	35064.08			35100(-2.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	8	-10000	6	12	0	72%	0.74	69.3	5.22%	0	0.4	70	0
24	Oct_1_2012	23768.35	33042.86	35633.3	34560.24			35840.4(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	3	26	0	72%	0.69	66.6	5.21%	0	0.7	72	0
25	Sep_28_2012	23604.88	32560.45	35646.11	34256.16			35440(-1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	7	-10000	-5	41	0	71%		62.4	5.33%	0	0.7	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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