Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 20, 2012

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $37028.2000 (-2.3%) ($35580.0000 - $37160.0000) on Thu. Sep. 20, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.56% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $37028.2000(-2.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 20.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(75%)    LQD(26%)    PCY(25%)    EEM(24%)    TIP(24%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -2.78% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(8%)    XLY(10%)    XLK(11%)    XAR(11%)    SHY(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.78% (StdDev 5.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $36765.64(0.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33525.53(10.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29443.67(25.76%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   128%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 17% (three month std-dev: 5.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121020

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_20_2012	22768.15	29443.67	33525.53	36765.64			37028.2(-2.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	61	-10000	7	223	0	67%	0.54	80.6	5.56%	0	1.5	88	0
2	Sep_19_2012	22645.21	28823.71	32590.63	36039.76			37900(2.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	74	-10000	19	240	0	67%	0.52	86.9	5.56%	0	1.9	87	0
3	Sep_18_2012	22527.25	28079.6	31369.59	34263.76			36900(2.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	67	-10000	18	214	0	67%	0.49	86.3	5.56%	0	2	82	0
4	Sep_17_2012	22418.48	27331.48	30217.61	32627.76			36020(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	61	-10000	18	188	0	67%	0.41	84.1	5.58%	0	2.2	81	0
5	Sep_14_2012	22326.03	26605.66	29164.49	31077.76			35980(7.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	51	-10000	15	158	0	67%	0.46	81.4	5.58%	0	2.7	75	0

6	Sep_13_2012	22224.8	25894.02	27837.47	29853.76			33398.8(15.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	43	-10000	15	128	0.01	65%	0.34	90.1	5.51%	0	2.6	73	0
7	Sep_12_2012	22149.51	25224.06	26814.42	28686			29020(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	-10000	9	100	0	63%	0.22	89.1	5.2%	0	1.5	66	0
8	Sep_11_2012	22100.53	24782.26	26332.37	28022			28720(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	9	87	0	63%	0.21	79	5.27%	0	1.5	70	0
9	Sep_10_2012	22054.2	24371.08	25875.25	27382			28270(-5.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	7	79	0	63%	0.11	74.5	5.3%	0	1.5	73	0
10	Sep_7_2012	22030.43	24015.4	25552.48	26888			29860(8.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	38	-10000	21	89	0	61%	0.14	77.9	5.25%	0	2.4	80	0

11	Sep_6_2012	21999	23548.36	25028.75	25508			27560(7.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	25	-10000	13	62	0	59%	0.03	78.6	5.3%	0	1.9	73	0
12	Sep_5_2012	21991.86	23169.81	24752.4	24684			25700(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	19	-10000	5	60	0	56%	-0.09	76.4	5.22%	0	1.3	76	0
13	Sep_4_2012	22011.25	22910.63	24540.4	24392			25520(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	-10000	4	69	0	56%	-0.35	78.3	5.22%	0	1.3	76	0
14	Aug_31_2012	22088.85	22622.85	24239.38	24140			25800(12.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	-10000	1	66	0	62%	-0.17	70	5.72%	0	1.5	74	0
15	Aug_30_2012	22126.63	22262.56	23862.33	24040			22960(-2.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	13	-10000	-6	69	0	59%	-0.17	65.7	5.54%	0	0.3	61	0

16	Aug_29_2012	22164.41	22016.48	23834.9	24472			23440(-3.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	19	-10000	-5	91	0	59%	-0.19	65.8	5.54%	0	0.6	66	0
17	Aug_28_2012	22207.03	21752.31	23561.49	24808			24240(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	29	-10000	2	108	0	59%	-0.11	70.6	5.56%	0	1.1	73	0
18	Aug_27_2012	22231.88	21479.83	23173.54	24676			24260(-4.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	-10000	5	107	0	59%	0.09	77.3	5.6%	0	1.2	69	0
19	Aug_24_2012	22211.19	21251.57	22812.13	24308			25300(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	34	-10000	10	106	0	59%	-0.04	83.5	5.58%	0	1.8	77	0
20	Aug_23_2012	22220.57	20928.84	22396.26	23648			25120(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	32	-10000	8	102	0	62%	-0.1	85.3	5.58%	0	2	80	0

21	Aug_22_2012	22241.8	20596.63	21953.98	23112			25120(6.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	38	-10000	15	105	0	62%	-0.27	88.2	5.79%	0	2.4	82	0
22	Aug_21_2012	22302.21	20211.68	21432.13	22152			23580(5.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	31	-10000	11	90	0	63%	-0.49	80.7	5.76%	0	1.9	78	0
23	Aug_20_2012	22412	19844.99	21111.56	21460			22420(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	6	77	0	63%	-0.47	67	5.86%	0	1.5	68	0
24	Aug_17_2012	22517.1	19538.98	20842.29	21084			22000(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	2	66	0	66%	-0.44	58.2	5.86%	0	1.5	59	0
25	Aug_16_2012	22617.1	19306.7	20506.11	20948			22440(10.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10000	5	60	0	66%		55.7	6.06%	0	1.9	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.