Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 11, 2012

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $28720.0000 (1.59%) ($28360.0000 - $29679.8000) on Tue. Sep. 11, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.27% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $28720.0000(1.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 7.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(75%)    LQD(26%)    EEM(25%)    PCY(25%)    TIP(24%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -2.635% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(8%)    XLY(10%)    XLK(11%)    XAR(11%)    SHY(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.635% (StdDev 5.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $28022(2.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26332.37(9.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24782.26(15.89%)
To recent high   -3.8%
To recent low   76.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 10.34% (three month std-dev: 5.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121011

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_11_2012	22100.53	24782.26	26332.37	28022			28720(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	9	87	0	63%	0.21	79	5.27%	0	1.5	70	0
2	Sep_10_2012	22054.2	24371.08	25875.25	27382			28270(-5.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	7	79	0	63%	0.11	74.5	5.3%	0	1.5	73	0
3	Sep_7_2012	22030.43	24015.4	25552.48	26888			29860(8.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	38	-10000	21	89	0	61%	0.14	77.9	5.25%	0	2.4	80	0
4	Sep_6_2012	21999	23548.36	25028.75	25508			27560(7.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	25	-10000	13	62	0	59%	0.03	78.6	5.3%	0	1.9	73	0
5	Sep_5_2012	21991.86	23169.81	24752.4	24684			25700(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	19	-10000	5	60	0	56%	-0.09	76.4	5.22%	0	1.3	76	0

6	Sep_4_2012	22011.25	22910.63	24540.4	24392			25520(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	-10000	4	69	0	56%	-0.35	78.3	5.22%	0	1.3	76	0
7	Aug_31_2012	22088.85	22622.85	24239.38	24140			25800(12.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	-10000	1	66	0	62%	-0.17	70	5.72%	0	1.5	74	0
8	Aug_30_2012	22126.63	22262.56	23862.33	24040			22960(-2.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	13	-10000	-6	69	0	59%	-0.17	65.7	5.54%	0	0.3	61	0
9	Aug_29_2012	22164.41	22016.48	23834.9	24472			23440(-3.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	19	-10000	-5	91	0	59%	-0.19	65.8	5.54%	0	0.6	66	0
10	Aug_28_2012	22207.03	21752.31	23561.49	24808			24240(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	29	-10000	2	108	0	59%	-0.11	70.6	5.56%	0	1.1	73	0

11	Aug_27_2012	22231.88	21479.83	23173.54	24676			24260(-4.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	-10000	5	107	0	59%	0.09	77.3	5.6%	0	1.2	69	0
12	Aug_24_2012	22211.19	21251.57	22812.13	24308			25300(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	34	-10000	10	106	0	59%	-0.04	83.5	5.58%	0	1.8	77	0
13	Aug_23_2012	22220.57	20928.84	22396.26	23648			25120(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	32	-10000	8	102	0	62%	-0.1	85.3	5.58%	0	2	80	0
14	Aug_22_2012	22241.8	20596.63	21953.98	23112			25120(6.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	38	-10000	15	105	0	62%	-0.27	88.2	5.79%	0	2.4	82	0
15	Aug_21_2012	22302.21	20211.68	21432.13	22152			23580(5.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	31	-10000	11	90	0	63%	-0.49	80.7	5.76%	0	1.9	78	0

16	Aug_20_2012	22412	19844.99	21111.56	21460			22420(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	6	77	0	63%	-0.47	67	5.86%	0	1.5	68	0
17	Aug_17_2012	22517.1	19538.98	20842.29	21084			22000(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	2	66	0	66%	-0.44	58.2	5.86%	0	1.5	59	0
18	Aug_16_2012	22617.1	19306.7	20506.11	20948			22440(10.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10000	5	60	0	66%	-0.41	55.7	6.06%	0	1.9	64	0
19	Aug_15_2012	22710.37	19038.39	20031.96	20640			20320(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	-10000	1	48	0	59%	-0.59	53.1	5.94%	0	0.8	59	0
20	Aug_14_2012	22844.66	18864.92	19808.35	20600			20120(-2.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-10000	-1	47	0	56%	-0.66	49.9	6.13%	0	0.8	64	0

21	Aug_13_2012	22996.7	18732.87	19681.19	20688			20540(-3.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	2	64	0	56%	-0.56	48.3	6.25%	0	1.2	72	0
22	Aug_10_2012	23126.29	18600.11	19601.36	20532			21320(2.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	27	-10000	9	82	0	56%	-0.44	38	6.26%	0	1.9	76	0
23	Aug_9_2012	23229.35	18433.18	19364.18	19980			20900(3.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	-10000	11	77	0	57%	-0.54	19.2	6.25%	0	1.9	65	0
24	Aug_8_2012	23356.08	18255.79	19136.79	19332			20120(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	7	65	0	54%	-0.59	-15.8	6.27%	0	1.6	64	0
25	Aug_7_2012	23493.84	18132.61	18893.01	18892			20560(4.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	19	-10000	6	56	0	54%		-52.5	6.39%	0	2.2	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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