Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 24, 2012

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $25300.0000 (0.72%) ($24520.0000 - $25678.4000) on Fri. Aug. 24, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.58% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $25300.0000(0.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 2.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 9.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(75%)    LQD(26%)    EEM(25%)    PCY(25%)    TIP(24%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -2.79% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(8%)    XLY(10%)    XLK(11%)    XAR(11%)    SHY(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.79% (StdDev 5.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $24308(4.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22812.13(10.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21251.57(19.05%)
To recent high   -6.1%
To recent low   55.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 10.49% (three month std-dev: 5.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120924

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_24_2012	22211.19	21251.57	22812.13	24308			25300(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	34	-10000	10	106	0	59%	-0.04	83.5	5.58%	0	1.8	77	0
2	Aug_23_2012	22220.57	20928.84	22396.26	23648			25120(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	32	-10000	8	102	0	62%	-0.1	85.3	5.58%	0	2	80	0
3	Aug_22_2012	22241.8	20596.63	21953.98	23112			25120(6.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	38	-10000	15	105	0	62%	-0.27	88.2	5.79%	0	2.4	82	0
4	Aug_21_2012	22302.21	20211.68	21432.13	22152			23580(5.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	31	-10000	11	90	0	63%	-0.49	80.7	5.76%	0	1.9	78	0
5	Aug_20_2012	22412	19844.99	21111.56	21460			22420(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	6	77	0	63%	-0.47	67	5.86%	0	1.5	68	0

6	Aug_17_2012	22517.1	19538.98	20842.29	21084			22000(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	2	66	0	66%	-0.44	58.2	5.86%	0	1.5	59	0
7	Aug_16_2012	22617.1	19306.7	20506.11	20948			22440(10.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10000	5	60	0	66%	-0.41	55.7	6.06%	0	1.9	64	0
8	Aug_15_2012	22710.37	19038.39	20031.96	20640			20320(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	-10000	1	48	0	59%	-0.59	53.1	5.94%	0	0.8	59	0
9	Aug_14_2012	22844.66	18864.92	19808.35	20600			20120(-2.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-10000	-1	47	0	56%	-0.66	49.9	6.13%	0	0.8	64	0
10	Aug_13_2012	22996.7	18732.87	19681.19	20688			20540(-3.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	2	64	0	56%	-0.56	48.3	6.25%	0	1.2	72	0

11	Aug_10_2012	23126.29	18600.11	19601.36	20532			21320(2.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	27	-10000	9	82	0	56%	-0.44	38	6.26%	0	1.9	76	0
12	Aug_9_2012	23229.35	18433.18	19364.18	19980			20900(3.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	-10000	11	77	0	57%	-0.54	19.2	6.25%	0	1.9	65	0
13	Aug_8_2012	23356.08	18255.79	19136.79	19332			20120(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	7	65	0	54%	-0.59	-15.8	6.27%	0	1.6	64	0
14	Aug_7_2012	23493.84	18132.61	18893.01	18892			20560(4.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	19	-10000	6	56	0	54%	-0.54	-52.5	6.39%	0	2.2	68	0
15	Aug_6_2012	23621.39	18034.63	18466.55	18540			19760(6.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	10	-10000	-0	39	0	54%	-0.6	-69.6	6.38%	0	1.5	61	0

16	Aug_3_2012	23764.25	18068.13	18120.26	18564			18560(5.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	7	-10000	-2	32	0	50%	-0.67	-65.1	6.33%	0	0.4	53	0
17	Aug_2_2012	23923.84	18185.36	18008.88	18676			17660(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-10000	-4	30	0	48%	-0.7	-45.5	6.45%	0	-0.3	48	0
18	Aug_1_2012	24092.41	18443.82	17977.89	18896			17920(-4.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	10	-10000	1	38	0.01	48%	-0.86	-37.1	6.48%	0	-0.3	53	0
19	Jul_31_2012	24300.57	18736.54	17875.38	18844			18800(-5.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	16	-10000	9	35	0	48%	-0.85	-25.4	6.51%	0	0	55	0
20	Jul_30_2012	24508.74	18874.5	17736.62	18332			19880(3.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	13	15	0	48%	-0.88	-31.8	6.47%	0	0.5	53	0

21	Jul_27_2012	24725.88	18952.1	17522.59	17604			19120(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	-10000	6	-22	0	48%	-0.91	-39	6.46%	0	0.1	40	0
22	Jul_26_2012	24952.21	18986.38	17411.34	17268			18760(6.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	-10000	6	-46	0	48%	-0.85	-46.7	6.47%	0	-0.1	37	0
23	Jul_25_2012	25166.9	19103.82	17273.71	16964			17660(8.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-18	-10000	3	-81	0	50%	-0.88	-57.4	6.42%	0	-0.6	25	0
24	Jul_24_2012	25389.35	19293.9	17281.98	16788			16240(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-33	-10000	-5	-116	0	48%	-1.04	-67.7	6.39%	0	-1.3	14	0
25	Jul_23_2012	25656.08	19611.89	17552.53	17040			16240(-6.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-10000	-6	-122	0	46%		-73.6	6.39%	0	-1.4	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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