Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 7, 2012

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $20560.0000 (4.05%) ($19920.0000 - $20560.0000) on Tue. Aug. 7, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.39% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $20560.0000(4.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 5.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(75%)    LQD(26%)    EEM(25%)    PCY(25%)    TIP(24%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -3.195% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(8%)    XLY(10%)    XLK(11%)    XAR(11%)    SHY(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.195% (StdDev 6.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $18892(8.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18893.01(8.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18132.61(13.39%)
To recent high   -23.7%
To recent low   30%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 6.13% (three month std-dev: 6.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120907

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_7_2012	23493.84	18132.61	18893.01	18892			20560(4.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	19	-10000	6	56	0	54%	-0.54	-52.5	6.39%	0	2.2	68	0
2	Aug_6_2012	23621.39	18034.63	18466.55	18540			19760(6.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	10	-10000	-0	39	0	54%	-0.6	-69.6	6.38%	0	1.5	61	0
3	Aug_3_2012	23764.25	18068.13	18120.26	18564			18560(5.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	7	-10000	-2	32	0	50%	-0.67	-65.1	6.33%	0	0.4	53	0
4	Aug_2_2012	23923.84	18185.36	18008.88	18676			17660(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-10000	-4	30	0	48%	-0.7	-45.5	6.45%	0	-0.3	48	0
5	Aug_1_2012	24092.41	18443.82	17977.89	18896			17920(-4.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	10	-10000	1	38	0.01	48%	-0.86	-37.1	6.48%	0	-0.3	53	0

6	Jul_31_2012	24300.57	18736.54	17875.38	18844			18800(-5.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	16	-10000	9	35	0	48%	-0.85	-25.4	6.51%	0	0	55	0
7	Jul_30_2012	24508.74	18874.5	17736.62	18332			19880(3.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	13	15	0	48%	-0.88	-31.8	6.47%	0	0.5	53	0
8	Jul_27_2012	24725.88	18952.1	17522.59	17604			19120(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	-10000	6	-22	0	48%	-0.91	-39	6.46%	0	0.1	40	0
9	Jul_26_2012	24952.21	18986.38	17411.34	17268			18760(6.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	-10000	6	-46	0	48%	-0.85	-46.7	6.47%	0	-0.1	37	0
10	Jul_25_2012	25166.9	19103.82	17273.71	16964			17660(8.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-18	-10000	3	-81	0	50%	-0.88	-57.4	6.42%	0	-0.6	25	0

11	Jul_24_2012	25389.35	19293.9	17281.98	16788			16240(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-33	-10000	-5	-116	0	48%	-1.04	-67.7	6.39%	0	-1.3	14	0
12	Jul_23_2012	25656.08	19611.89	17552.53	17040			16240(-6.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-10000	-6	-122	0	46%	-1.13	-73.6	6.39%	0	-1.4	30	0
13	Jul_20_2012	25948.53	19897.57	18005.71	17400			17440(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-31	-10000	-3	-116	0	48%	-1.18	-80.7	6.39%	0	-1.1	33	0
14	Jul_19_2012	26257.51	20133.66	18367.16	17568			17240(2.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-10000	-1	-106	0	48%	-1.13	-87.2	6.39%	0	-1.3	43	0
15	Jul_18_2012	26558.12	20565.16	18939.74	17632			16780(-4.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-10000	-4	-98	0	48%	-1.33	-78.3	6.38%	0	-1.5	37	0

16	Jul_17_2012	26917.1	21057.68	19669.1	17844			17500(-2.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-10000	-5	-83	0	48%	-1.16	-70.2	6.37%	0	-1.4	38	0
17	Jul_16_2012	27234.04	21520.94	20114.46	18140			18040(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-28	-10000	-10	-80	0	48%	-1.17	-60.5	6.38%	0	-1.3	37	0
18	Jul_13_2012	27557.31	21902.9	20505.32	18720			18280(4.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-10	-67	0	48%	-1.22	-54.8	6.4%	0	-1.3	41	0
19	Jul_12_2012	27896.29	22273.89	20702.81	19324			17560(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-10000	-18	-66	0	51%	-1.19	-48.9	6.39%	0	-1.7	37	0
20	Jul_11_2012	28231.8	22681.07	21110.73	20472			17840(-6.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-28	-10000	-18	-56	0	51%	-1.08	-43.7	6.54%	0	-1.9	30	0

21	Jul_10_2012	28538.94	23075.2	21515.3	21768			18980(-9.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-17	-10000	-8	-43	0	51%	-0.34	-36.5	6.52%	0	-1.7	30	0
22	Jul_9_2012	28637.49	23332.04	21893.89	22348			20940(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-13	-10000	-2	-44	0	53%	-0.83	-39	6.43%	0	-1.1	33	0
23	Jul_6_2012	28876.87	23529.64	21988.57	22528			21300(-8.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-10	-10000	4	-52	0	53%	-0.87	-39.4	6.44%	0	-1.1	39	0
24	Jul_5_2012	29130.06	23691.25	22073.54	22248			23300(-4.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	-10000	6	-70	0	55%	-1.16	-38.1	6.4%	0	-0.2	44	0
25	Jul_3_2012	29472.82	23856.61	22301.89	21848			24320(11.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-13	-10000	8	-74	0	50%		-31	6.53%	0	0.2	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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