Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 27, 2012

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $19120.0000 (1.92%) ($18220.0000 - $19380.0000) on Fri. Jul. 27, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.46% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $19120.0000(1.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(75%)    LQD(26%)    EEM(25%)    PCY(25%)    TIP(24%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -3.23% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(8%)    XLY(10%)    XLK(11%)    XAR(11%)    SHY(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.23% (StdDev 6.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $17604(8.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17522.59(9.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18952.1(0.89%)
To recent high   -29.1%
To recent low   20.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 12.19% (three month std-dev: 6.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120827

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_27_2012	24725.88	18952.1	17522.59	17604			19120(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	-10000	6	-22	0	48%	-0.91	-39	6.46%	0	0.1	40	0
2	Jul_26_2012	24952.21	18986.38	17411.34	17268			18760(6.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	-10000	6	-46	0	48%	-0.85	-46.7	6.47%	0	-0.1	37	0
3	Jul_25_2012	25166.9	19103.82	17273.71	16964			17660(8.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-18	-10000	3	-81	0	50%	-0.88	-57.4	6.42%	0	-0.6	25	0
4	Jul_24_2012	25389.35	19293.9	17281.98	16788			16240(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-33	-10000	-5	-116	0	48%	-1.04	-67.7	6.39%	0	-1.3	14	0
5	Jul_23_2012	25656.08	19611.89	17552.53	17040			16240(-6.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-10000	-6	-122	0	46%	-1.13	-73.6	6.39%	0	-1.4	30	0

6	Jul_20_2012	25948.53	19897.57	18005.71	17400			17440(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-31	-10000	-3	-116	0	48%	-1.18	-80.7	6.39%	0	-1.1	33	0
7	Jul_19_2012	26257.51	20133.66	18367.16	17568			17240(2.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-10000	-1	-106	0	48%	-1.13	-87.2	6.39%	0	-1.3	43	0
8	Jul_18_2012	26558.12	20565.16	18939.74	17632			16780(-4.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-10000	-4	-98	0	48%	-1.33	-78.3	6.38%	0	-1.5	37	0
9	Jul_17_2012	26917.1	21057.68	19669.1	17844			17500(-2.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-10000	-5	-83	0	48%	-1.16	-70.2	6.37%	0	-1.4	38	0
10	Jul_16_2012	27234.04	21520.94	20114.46	18140			18040(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-28	-10000	-10	-80	0	48%	-1.17	-60.5	6.38%	0	-1.3	37	0

11	Jul_13_2012	27557.31	21902.9	20505.32	18720			18280(4.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-10	-67	0	48%	-1.22	-54.8	6.4%	0	-1.3	41	0
12	Jul_12_2012	27896.29	22273.89	20702.81	19324			17560(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-10000	-18	-66	0	51%	-1.19	-48.9	6.39%	0	-1.7	37	0
13	Jul_11_2012	28231.8	22681.07	21110.73	20472			17840(-6.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-28	-10000	-18	-56	0	51%	-1.08	-43.7	6.54%	0	-1.9	30	0
14	Jul_10_2012	28538.94	23075.2	21515.3	21768			18980(-9.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-17	-10000	-8	-43	0	51%	-0.34	-36.5	6.52%	0	-1.7	30	0
15	Jul_9_2012	28637.49	23332.04	21893.89	22348			20940(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-13	-10000	-2	-44	0	53%	-0.83	-39	6.43%	0	-1.1	33	0

16	Jul_6_2012	28876.87	23529.64	21988.57	22528			21300(-8.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-10	-10000	4	-52	0	53%	-0.87	-39.4	6.44%	0	-1.1	39	0
17	Jul_5_2012	29130.06	23691.25	22073.54	22248			23300(-4.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	-10000	6	-70	0	55%	-1.16	-38.1	6.4%	0	-0.2	44	0
18	Jul_3_2012	29472.82	23856.61	22301.89	21848			24320(11.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-13	-10000	8	-74	0	50%	-0.7	-31	6.53%	0	0.2	47	0
19	Jul_2_2012	29679.14	23966.14	22483.43	21288			21880(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-23	-10000	-2	-87	0	47%	-0.79	-27.4	6.47%	0	-0.9	37	0
20	Jun_29_2012	29914.45	24198.01	22954.77	21424			21840(9.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-18	-10000	0	-73	0	47%	-0.86	-19.6	6.47%	0	-1.1	46	0

21	Jun_28_2012	30173.43	24377.39	23328.18	21408			19900(-6.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-10000	-6	-75	0	43%	-0.93	-14.3	6.34%	0	-2	34	0
22	Jun_27_2012	30456.08	24484.32	23923.87	21844			21300(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-10000	-13	-65	0	45%	-0.91	-11.9	6.33%	0	-1.5	40	0
23	Jun_26_2012	30734.86	24546.04	24359.03	22812			21520(-4.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-10000	-14	-51	0	46%	-0.91	6	6.35%	0	-1.5	33	0
24	Jun_25_2012	31017.92	24591.34	24775.08	23872			22560(3.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-17	-10000	-11	-34	0	46%	-0.89	25.2	6.37%	0	-1	36	0
25	Jun_22_2012	31297.92	24631.55	24926.33	24748			21760(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-14	-10000	-10	-25	0	46%		50.1	6.4%	0	-1.5	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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