Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 14, 2012

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $25640.0000 (0.71%) ($24520.0000 - $26040.0000) on Thu. Jun. 14, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.11% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $25640.0000(0.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 5.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(75%)    LQD(26%)    EEM(25%)    PCY(25%)    TIP(24%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -3.055% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(9%)    XLY(10%)    XLK(11%)    XAR(11%)    SHY(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.055% (StdDev 6.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $24988.4(2.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25455.98(0.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23322.73(9.94%)
To recent high   -26.8%
To recent low   62.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 11.44% (three month std-dev: 6.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120714

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_14_2012	32873.84	23322.73	25455.98	24988.4			25640(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10000	3	56	0	47%	-0.65	68.7	6.11%	0	0.9	63	0
2	Jun_13_2012	33089.35	22858.8	25048.73	24728.4			25460(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	8	-10000	-4	44	0	47%	-0.43	50.3	6.25%	0	0.9	64	0
3	Jun_12_2012	33232.41	22396.83	24716.69	25012.4			25420(7.35%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	13	-10000	-4	62	0	47%	-0.52	43.7	6.25%	0	0.9	71	0
4	Jun_11_2012	33404.66	22026.65	24372.26	25300.4			23680(-4.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	14	-10000	-7	77	0	45%	-0.5	40.6	6.19%	0	0.5	65	0
5	Jun_8_2012	33573.63	21833.55	24321.19	25868.4			24742(1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	29	-10000	-1	117	0	45%	-0.47	42.7	6.18%	0	0.9	73	0

6	Jun_7_2012	33731.17	21622.92	24111.65	25968			24340(-9.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	43	-10000	8	149	0	45%	-0.56	43.1	6.2%	0	0.8	74	0
7	Jun_6_2012	33921.57	21424.49	23909.89	25332			26880(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	52	-10000	13	170	0	46%	-0.47	31.5	6.1%	0	1.7	86	0
8	Jun_5_2012	34082.59	21035.73	23189.8	24332			26860(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	52	-10000	14	167	0	46%	-0.22	13.6	6.15%	0	2	86	0
9	Jun_4_2012	34157.05	20742.5	22515.52	23316			26520(5.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	46	-10000	10	154	0	46%	-0.55	-3.2	6.18%	0	2.2	73	0
10	Jun_1_2012	34345.51	20488.8	21697.32	22604			25240(19.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	39	-10000	8	133	0	45%	-0.63	-21	6.17%	0	2.1	63	0

11	May_31_2012	34564.89	20296.05	20963.2	22064			21160(-3.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	26	-10000	-3	113	0	39%	-0.72	-38.5	5.68%	0	0.4	52	0
12	May_30_2012	34814.99	20457.23	20481.4	22268			21880(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	-10000	7	103	0	39%	-0.7	-34.6	5.71%	0	0.6	54	0
13	May_29_2012	35061.59	20641.21	19901.88	21820			21780(-5.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	22	-10000	5	71	0	37%	-0.87	-31.9	5.72%	0	0.4	58	0
14	May_25_2012	35370.55	20828.75	19511.28	21524			22960(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	-10000	15	46	0	39%	-0.61	-27.1	5.81%	0	0.7	53	0
15	May_24_2012	35589.12	20985.14	19149.38	20620			22540(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	16	7	0	39%	-0.62	-32	5.84%	0	0.5	50	0

16	May_23_2012	35809.94	21126.9	18915.97	19707.6			22180(12.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	12	-10000	23	-23	0	39%	-0.63	-38.5	5.84%	0	0.3	50	0
17	May_22_2012	36035.86	21288.9	18702.87	18447.6			19640(-3.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	-10000	15	-85	0	35%	-0.47	-48.2	5.58%	0	-0.5	36	0
18	May_21_2012	36204.89	21514.2	18677.33	17683.6			20300(10.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-27	-10000	10	-136	0	38%	-0.53	-57.4	5.63%	0	-0.4	35	0
19	May_18_2012	36399.12	21703.42	18775.92	17211.6			18440(2.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-48	-10000	-6	-173	0	34%	-0.55	-62.3	5.59%	0	-0.9	28	0
20	May_17_2012	36601.18	22077.33	19133.28	17487.6			17978(13.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-55	-10000	-11	-185	0	34%	-0.51	-63.1	5.61%	0	-1.1	25	0

21	May_16_2012	36786.97	22518.75	19534.51	18052			15880(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-65	-10000	-19	-201	0	32%	-0.68	-63.7	5.3%	0	-1.9	17	0
22	May_15_2012	37038.93	23085.69	20437.73	19000			15820(-11.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-54	-10000	-14	-174	0	32%	-0.59	-62.4	5.41%	0	-2.2	17	0
23	May_14_2012	37259.96	23695.17	21490.22	19752			17940(-9.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-48	-10000	-14	-151	0	34%	-0.67	-66	5.24%	0	-2	31	0
24	May_11_2012	37513.09	24158.84	22319.19	20520			19820(-4.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-10000	-9	-126	0	36%	-0.58	-64.6	5.1%	0	-1.6	36	0
25	May_10_2012	37733.71	24591.17	23020.55	21016.4			20800(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-10000	-5	-107	0	36%		-58	5.12%	0	-1.4	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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