Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 29, 2012

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $21780.0000 (-5.14%) ($21080.0000 - $23820.0000) on Tue. May. 29, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.72% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $21780.0000(-5.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 6.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(75%)    EEM(25%)    LQD(25%)    PCY(25%)    TIP(24%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -2.86% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(8%)    XLY(10%)    XLK(11%)    XAR(11%)    SHY(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.86% (StdDev 5.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -8%

5 Day Moving Average   $21820(-0.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19901.88(9.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20641.21(5.52%)
To recent high   -54.4%
To recent low   37.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 12.74% (three month std-dev: 5.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120629

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_29_2012	35061.59	20641.21	19901.88	21820			21780(-5.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	22	-10000	5	71	0	37%	-0.87	-31.9	5.72%	0	0.4	58	0
2	May_25_2012	35370.55	20828.75	19511.28	21524			22960(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	-10000	15	46	0	39%	-0.61	-27.1	5.81%	0	0.7	53	0
3	May_24_2012	35589.12	20985.14	19149.38	20620			22540(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	16	7	0	39%	-0.62	-32	5.84%	0	0.5	50	0
4	May_23_2012	35809.94	21126.9	18915.97	19707.6			22180(12.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	12	-10000	23	-23	0	39%	-0.63	-38.5	5.84%	0	0.3	50	0
5	May_22_2012	36035.86	21288.9	18702.87	18447.6			19640(-3.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	-10000	15	-85	0	35%	-0.47	-48.2	5.58%	0	-0.5	36	0

6	May_21_2012	36204.89	21514.2	18677.33	17683.6			20300(10.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-27	-10000	10	-136	0	38%	-0.53	-57.4	5.63%	0	-0.4	35	0
7	May_18_2012	36399.12	21703.42	18775.92	17211.6			18440(2.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-48	-10000	-6	-173	0	34%	-0.55	-62.3	5.59%	0	-0.9	28	0
8	May_17_2012	36601.18	22077.33	19133.28	17487.6			17978(13.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-55	-10000	-11	-185	0	34%	-0.51	-63.1	5.61%	0	-1.1	25	0
9	May_16_2012	36786.97	22518.75	19534.51	18052			15880(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-65	-10000	-19	-201	0	32%	-0.68	-63.7	5.3%	0	-1.9	17	0
10	May_15_2012	37038.93	23085.69	20437.73	19000			15820(-11.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-54	-10000	-14	-174	0	32%	-0.59	-62.4	5.41%	0	-2.2	17	0

11	May_14_2012	37259.96	23695.17	21490.22	19752			17940(-9.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-48	-10000	-14	-151	0	34%	-0.67	-66	5.24%	0	-2	31	0
12	May_11_2012	37513.09	24158.84	22319.19	20520			19820(-4.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-10000	-9	-126	0	36%	-0.58	-64.6	5.1%	0	-1.6	36	0
13	May_10_2012	37733.71	24591.17	23020.55	21016.4			20800(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-10000	-5	-107	0	36%	-0.59	-58	5.12%	0	-1.4	33	0
14	May_9_2012	37956.63	25025.72	23546.67	21280.4			20620(5.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-10000	-15	-107	0	36%	-0.6	-55.7	5.14%	0	-1.7	30	0
15	May_8_2012	38185.59	25348.05	24100.91	22152.4			19580(-10.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-41	-10000	-23	-94	0	34%	-0.52	-58.5	5.07%	0	-2.4	24	0

16	May_7_2012	38384.13	25774.74	24621.4	23504.4			21780(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-30	-10000	-15	-74	0	36%	-0.54	-67.8	4.94%	0	-2	27	0
17	May_4_2012	38593.09	26040.16	24901.89	24396.4			22302(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-27	-10000	-15	-63	0	36%	-0.47	-76.8	4.9%	0	-2.1	33	0
18	May_3_2012	38775.15	26257.69	25287.74	25328			22120(-11.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-21	-10000	-12	-48	0	36%	-0.51	-88.7	4.94%	0	-2.7	28	0
19	May_2_2012	38975.56	26531.4	25777.67	26116			24980(-5.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-10000	-3	-38	0	40%	-0.55	-111.4	4.79%	0	-1.3	31	0
20	May_1_2012	39191.61	26820.17	25964.48	26324			26340(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-2	-10000	7	-28	0	41%	-0.69	-94.7	4.82%	0	-0.3	50	0

21	Apr_30_2012	39465.77	27184.08	26069.69	25900			26240(-2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	-10000	7	-40	0	41%	-0.85	-71.5	4.78%	0	-0.4	46	0
22	Apr_27_2012	39803.27	27485.49	26120.37	25488			26960(3.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	-10000	3	-52	0	44%	-0.79	-68.9	4.79%	0	-0.2	52	0
23	Apr_26_2012	40118.27	27709.13	26229.9	25284			26060(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-14	-10000	-2	-51	0	44%	-0.94	-67	4.86%	0	-0.6	51	0
24	Apr_25_2012	40498.9	27975.83	26548.48	25428			26020(7.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-10000	-3	-39	0	51%	-0.93	-66.9	4.89%	0	-0.7	48	0
25	Apr_24_2012	40880.15	28332.83	26623.28	25596			24220(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-10000	-10	-50	0	46%		-62	5.36%	0	-1.4	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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