Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. May. 14, 2012

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $17940.0000 (-9.49%) ($17780.0000 - $19579.8000) on Mon. May. 14, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.24% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $17940.0000(-9.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT declines -3.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -12.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(75%)    EEM(25%)    LQD(25%)    PCY(25%)    VWO(24%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -2.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(8%)    XLY(10%)    XLK(11%)    XAR(11%)    SHY(12%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.62% (StdDev 5.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4%

Resistance Level   $23695.17
5 Day Moving Average   $19752(-9.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21490.22(-16.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23695.17(-24.29%)
To recent high   -65.5%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 12.22% (three month std-dev: 5.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120614

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_14_2012	37259.96	23695.17	21490.22	19752			17940(-9.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-48	-10000	-14	-151	0	34%	-0.67	-66	5.24%	0	-2	31	0
2	May_11_2012	37513.09	24158.84	22319.19	20520			19820(-4.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-10000	-9	-126	0	36%	-0.58	-64.6	5.1%	0	-1.6	36	0
3	May_10_2012	37733.71	24591.17	23020.55	21016.4			20800(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-10000	-5	-107	0	36%	-0.59	-58	5.12%	0	-1.4	33	0
4	May_9_2012	37956.63	25025.72	23546.67	21280.4			20620(5.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-10000	-15	-107	0	36%	-0.6	-55.7	5.14%	0	-1.7	30	0
5	May_8_2012	38185.59	25348.05	24100.91	22152.4			19580(-10.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-41	-10000	-23	-94	0	34%	-0.52	-58.5	5.07%	0	-2.4	24	0

6	May_7_2012	38384.13	25774.74	24621.4	23504.4			21780(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-30	-10000	-15	-74	0	36%	-0.54	-67.8	4.94%	0	-2	27	0
7	May_4_2012	38593.09	26040.16	24901.89	24396.4			22302(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-27	-10000	-15	-63	0	36%	-0.47	-76.8	4.9%	0	-2.1	33	0
8	May_3_2012	38775.15	26257.69	25287.74	25328			22120(-11.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-21	-10000	-12	-48	0	36%	-0.51	-88.7	4.94%	0	-2.7	28	0
9	May_2_2012	38975.56	26531.4	25777.67	26116			24980(-5.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-10000	-3	-38	0	40%	-0.55	-111.4	4.79%	0	-1.3	31	0
10	May_1_2012	39191.61	26820.17	25964.48	26324			26340(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-2	-10000	7	-28	0	41%	-0.69	-94.7	4.82%	0	-0.3	50	0

11	Apr_30_2012	39465.77	27184.08	26069.69	25900			26240(-2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	-10000	7	-40	0	41%	-0.85	-71.5	4.78%	0	-0.4	46	0
12	Apr_27_2012	39803.27	27485.49	26120.37	25488			26960(3.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	-10000	3	-52	0	44%	-0.79	-68.9	4.79%	0	-0.2	52	0
13	Apr_26_2012	40118.27	27709.13	26229.9	25284			26060(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-14	-10000	-2	-51	0	44%	-0.94	-67	4.86%	0	-0.6	51	0
14	Apr_25_2012	40498.9	27975.83	26548.48	25428			26020(7.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-10000	-3	-39	0	51%	-0.93	-66.9	4.89%	0	-0.7	48	0
15	Apr_24_2012	40880.15	28332.83	26623.28	25596			24220(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-10000	-10	-50	0	46%	-0.88	-62	5.36%	0	-1.4	32	0

16	Apr_23_2012	41243.48	28863.31	26987.84	26272.04			24180(-6.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-20	-10000	-7	-57	0	46%	-0.91	-51.6	5.41%	0	-1.5	27	0
17	Apr_20_2012	41622.02	29322.34	27277.93	26804.04			25940(-3.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-10000	-7	-67	0	49%	-1.02	-49.8	5.4%	0	-1.1	35	0
18	Apr_19_2012	42051.4	29606.71	27333.04	27290.84			26780(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-7	-76	0	47%	-0.99	-51.5	5.39%	0	-1	39	0
19	Apr_18_2012	42470.36	29932.26	27382.92	27842.84			26860(-2.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10000	0	-77	0	47%	-0.79	-48.2	5.45%	0	-1	40	0
20	Apr_17_2012	42808.48	30270.39	27770.77	27810.84			27600.2(2.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10000	-0	-86	0	47%	-0.75	-55.5	5.44%	0	-0.9	37	0

21	Apr_16_2012	43131.81	30545.89	28382.21	27822.8			26840(-5.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-10000	0	-88	0	47%	-0.7	-64.8	5.45%	0	-1.3	33	0
22	Apr_13_2012	43435.15	30898.15	28947.69	27794.8			28374(-3.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-18	-10000	6	-88	0	47%	-0.36	-77.6	5.46%	0	-0.9	41	0
23	Apr_12_2012	43593.68	31188.33	29271.25	27364			29540(10.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-19	-10000	6	-95	0	47%	-0.67	-91.2	5.46%	0	-0.6	48	0
24	Apr_11_2012	43885.89	31415.77	29451.82	26896			26700(-3.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-10000	-12	-120	0	42%	-0.81	-102.2	5.28%	0	-1.6	37	0
25	Apr_10_2012	44244.42	31989.51	30126.42	27764			27660(3.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-40	-10000	-17	-108	0	42%		-93.7	5.27%	0	-1.4	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.