Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. May. 2, 2012

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $24980.0000 (-5.16%) ($24400.0000 - $25720.0000) on Wed. May. 2, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.79% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $24980.0000(-5.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(75%)    EEM(25%)    LQD(25%)    PCY(25%)    VWO(24%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -2.395% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(8%)    XLY(10%)    XLK(11%)    XAR(11%)    SHY(12%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.395% (StdDev 4.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.9%

Resistance Level   $26531.4
5 Day Moving Average   $26116(-4.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25777.67(-3.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26531.4(-5.85%)
To recent high   -52.7%
To recent low   3.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 4.63% (three month std-dev: 4.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120602

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_2_2012	38975.56	26531.4	25777.67	26116			24980(-5.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-10000	-3	-38	0	40%	-0.55	-111.4	4.79%	0	-1.3	31	0
2	May_1_2012	39191.61	26820.17	25964.48	26324			26340(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-2	-10000	7	-28	0	41%	-0.69	-94.7	4.82%	0	-0.3	50	0
3	Apr_30_2012	39465.77	27184.08	26069.69	25900			26240(-2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	-10000	7	-40	0	41%	-0.85	-71.5	4.78%	0	-0.4	46	0
4	Apr_27_2012	39803.27	27485.49	26120.37	25488			26960(3.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	-10000	3	-52	0	44%	-0.79	-68.9	4.79%	0	-0.2	52	0
5	Apr_26_2012	40118.27	27709.13	26229.9	25284			26060(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-14	-10000	-2	-51	0	44%	-0.94	-67	4.86%	0	-0.6	51	0

6	Apr_25_2012	40498.9	27975.83	26548.48	25428			26020(7.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-10000	-3	-39	0	51%	-0.93	-66.9	4.89%	0	-0.7	48	0
7	Apr_24_2012	40880.15	28332.83	26623.28	25596			24220(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-10000	-10	-50	0	46%	-0.88	-62	5.36%	0	-1.4	32	0
8	Apr_23_2012	41243.48	28863.31	26987.84	26272.04			24180(-6.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-20	-10000	-7	-57	0	46%	-0.91	-51.6	5.41%	0	-1.5	27	0
9	Apr_20_2012	41622.02	29322.34	27277.93	26804.04			25940(-3.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-10000	-7	-67	0	49%	-1.02	-49.8	5.4%	0	-1.1	35	0
10	Apr_19_2012	42051.4	29606.71	27333.04	27290.84			26780(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-7	-76	0	47%	-0.99	-51.5	5.39%	0	-1	39	0

11	Apr_18_2012	42470.36	29932.26	27382.92	27842.84			26860(-2.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10000	0	-77	0	47%	-0.79	-48.2	5.45%	0	-1	40	0
12	Apr_17_2012	42808.48	30270.39	27770.77	27810.84			27600.2(2.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10000	-0	-86	0	47%	-0.75	-55.5	5.44%	0	-0.9	37	0
13	Apr_16_2012	43131.81	30545.89	28382.21	27822.8			26840(-5.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-10000	0	-88	0	47%	-0.7	-64.8	5.45%	0	-1.3	33	0
14	Apr_13_2012	43435.15	30898.15	28947.69	27794.8			28374(-3.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-18	-10000	6	-88	0	47%	-0.36	-77.6	5.46%	0	-0.9	41	0
15	Apr_12_2012	43593.68	31188.33	29271.25	27364			29540(10.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-19	-10000	6	-95	0	47%	-0.67	-91.2	5.46%	0	-0.6	48	0

16	Apr_11_2012	43885.89	31415.77	29451.82	26896			26700(-3.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-10000	-12	-120	0	42%	-0.81	-102.2	5.28%	0	-1.6	37	0
17	Apr_10_2012	44244.42	31989.51	30126.42	27764			27660(3.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-40	-10000	-17	-108	0	42%	-0.73	-93.7	5.27%	0	-1.4	38	0
18	Apr_9_2012	44569.05	32555.49	30847.08	29100			26700(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-31	-10000	-15	-77	0	42%	-1.2	-83.2	5.28%	0	-1.8	37	0
19	Apr_5_2012	45110	33269.13	31531.12	30304			26220(-3.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-25	-10000	-14	-57	0	42%	-0.96	-68.9	5.24%	0	-1.9	34	0
20	Apr_4_2012	45545.21	34023.8	32119.34	31420			27200(-12.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-18	-10000	-10	-43	0	42%	-0.98	-73.2	5.23%	0	-2	35	0

21	Apr_3_2012	45995.21	34664.99	32780.35	32296			31040(-9.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-10000	-6	-29	0	52%	-0.88	-81.3	5.01%	0	-1.1	42	0
22	Apr_2_2012	46402.29	35083.66	33051.43	32784			34340(4.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-10	-10000	-2	-32	0	55%	-0.85	-87.4	5.16%	0	-0.2	38	0
23	Mar_30_2012	46802.06	35453.5	32907.82	32920			32720(2.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-10000	-1	-48	0	55%	-0.78	-81.9	5.16%	0	-0.7	31	0
24	Mar_29_2012	47169.56	36030.96	33006.07	33024			31800(0.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-16	-10000	1	-68	0	55%	-0.82	-75	5.16%	0	-0.9	25	0
25	Mar_28_2012	47558.1	36792.69	33249.36	32948			31580(-5.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-26	-10000	-4	-90	0	51%		-74.3	5.21%	0	-1.1	24	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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