Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Apr. 18, 2012

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $26860.0000 (-2.68%) ($26380.0000 - $27880.0000) on Wed. Apr. 18, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.45% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $26860.0000(-2.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(75%)    EEM(25%)    LQD(25%)    PCY(25%)    VWO(24%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -2.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(8%)    XLY(10%)    XLK(11%)    XAR(11%)    SHY(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.725% (StdDev 5.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $29932.26
5 Day Moving Average   $27842.84(-3.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27382.92(-1.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29932.26(-10.26%)
To recent high   -49.1%
To recent low   2.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 9.79% (three month std-dev: 5.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120518

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_18_2012	42470.36	29932.26	27382.92	27842.84			26860(-2.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10000	0	-77	0	47%	-0.79	-48.2	5.45%	0	-1	40	0
2	Apr_17_2012	42808.48	30270.39	27770.77	27810.84			27600.2(2.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10000	-0	-86	0	47%	-0.75	-55.5	5.44%	0	-0.9	37	0
3	Apr_16_2012	43131.81	30545.89	28382.21	27822.8			26840(-5.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-10000	0	-88	0	47%	-0.7	-64.8	5.45%	0	-1.3	33	0
4	Apr_13_2012	43435.15	30898.15	28947.69	27794.8			28374(-3.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-18	-10000	6	-88	0	47%	-0.36	-77.6	5.46%	0	-0.9	41	0
5	Apr_12_2012	43593.68	31188.33	29271.25	27364			29540(10.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-19	-10000	6	-95	0	47%	-0.67	-91.2	5.46%	0	-0.6	48	0

6	Apr_11_2012	43885.89	31415.77	29451.82	26896			26700(-3.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-10000	-12	-120	0	42%	-0.81	-102.2	5.28%	0	-1.6	37	0
7	Apr_10_2012	44244.42	31989.51	30126.42	27764			27660(3.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-40	-10000	-17	-108	0	42%	-0.73	-93.7	5.27%	0	-1.4	38	0
8	Apr_9_2012	44569.05	32555.49	30847.08	29100			26700(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-31	-10000	-15	-77	0	42%	-1.2	-83.2	5.28%	0	-1.8	37	0
9	Apr_5_2012	45110	33269.13	31531.12	30304			26220(-3.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-25	-10000	-14	-57	0	42%	-0.96	-68.9	5.24%	0	-1.9	34	0
10	Apr_4_2012	45545.21	34023.8	32119.34	31420			27200(-12.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-18	-10000	-10	-43	0	42%	-0.98	-73.2	5.23%	0	-2	35	0

11	Apr_3_2012	45995.21	34664.99	32780.35	32296			31040(-9.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-10000	-6	-29	0	52%	-0.88	-81.3	5.01%	0	-1.1	42	0
12	Apr_2_2012	46402.29	35083.66	33051.43	32784			34340(4.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-10	-10000	-2	-32	0	55%	-0.85	-87.4	5.16%	0	-0.2	38	0
13	Mar_30_2012	46802.06	35453.5	32907.82	32920			32720(2.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-10000	-1	-48	0	55%	-0.78	-81.9	5.16%	0	-0.7	31	0
14	Mar_29_2012	47169.56	36030.96	33006.07	33024			31800(0.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-16	-10000	1	-68	0	55%	-0.82	-75	5.16%	0	-0.9	25	0
15	Mar_28_2012	47558.1	36792.69	33249.36	32948			31580(-5.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-26	-10000	-4	-90	0	51%	-0.91	-74.3	5.21%	0	-1.1	24	0

16	Mar_27_2012	47993.1	37529.83	33520.79	33296			33480(-4.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-24	-10000	-0	-97	0	53%	-0.9	-66.9	5.34%	0	-0.7	33	0
17	Mar_26_2012	48426.65	38404.71	33958.02	33324			35020(5.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-22	-10000	4	-98	0	53%	-0.76	-62	5.34%	0	-0.6	37	0
18	Mar_23_2012	48797.48	39051.7	34312.57	32932			33240(5.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-30	-10000	-1	-115	0	51%	-0.81	-58.3	5.33%	0	-0.9	25	0
19	Mar_22_2012	49197.69	39857.41	35052.44	33036			31420(-5.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-36	-10000	-6	-125	0	49%	-0.76	-53.9	5.29%	0	-1.3	14	0
20	Mar_21_2012	49573.1	40853.45	36026.33	33592			33320(-0.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-34	-10000	-2	-130	0	52%	-0.66	-47.8	5.26%	0	-1.2	13	0

21	Mar_20_2012	49900.4	41707.12	36673.8	33764			33620(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-44	-10000	-10	-147	0	55%	-0.65	-44.4	5.26%	0	-1.3	18	0
22	Mar_19_2012	50227.06	42441.62	37271.25	34704			33060(-2.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-49	-10000	-13	-158	0	52%	-0.74	-40.1	5.42%	0	-1.5	12	0
23	Mar_16_2012	50601.02	43046.13	38207.43	35932			33760(-1.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-49	-10000	-14	-153	0	52%	-0.66	-38.7	5.5%	0	-1.6	24	0
24	Mar_15_2012	50934.77	43693.79	39312.7	37412			34200(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-45	-10000	-13	-142	0	52%	-0.59	-36.2	5.54%	0	-1.8	23	0
25	Mar_14_2012	51238.94	44185.75	40647.25	38832			34180(-10.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-40	-10000	-10	-130	0	49%		-36.8	5.56%	0	-2.1	22	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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