Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 29, 2012

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $31800.0000 (0.7%) ($29860.0000 - $31859.8000) on Thu. Mar. 29, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.16% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $31800.0000(0.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -5.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(75%)    EEM(25%)    LQD(25%)    PCY(25%)    REMX(24%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -2.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(8%)    XLY(10%)    XLK(11%)    XAR(11%)    SHY(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.58% (StdDev 5.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

Resistance Level   $36030.96
5 Day Moving Average   $33024(-3.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33006.07(-3.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36030.96(-11.74%)
To recent high   -39.8%
To recent low   1.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 12.8% (three month std-dev: 5.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120429

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_29_2012	47169.56	36030.96	33006.07	33024			31800(0.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-16	-10000	1	-68	0	55%	-0.82	-75	5.16%	0	-0.9	25	0
2	Mar_28_2012	47558.1	36792.69	33249.36	32948			31580(-5.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-26	-10000	-4	-90	0	51%	-0.91	-74.3	5.21%	0	-1.1	24	0
3	Mar_27_2012	47993.1	37529.83	33520.79	33296			33480(-4.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-24	-10000	-0	-97	0	53%	-0.9	-66.9	5.34%	0	-0.7	33	0
4	Mar_26_2012	48426.65	38404.71	33958.02	33324			35020(5.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-22	-10000	4	-98	0	53%	-0.76	-62	5.34%	0	-0.6	37	0
5	Mar_23_2012	48797.48	39051.7	34312.57	32932			33240(5.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-30	-10000	-1	-115	0	51%	-0.81	-58.3	5.33%	0	-0.9	25	0

6	Mar_22_2012	49197.69	39857.41	35052.44	33036			31420(-5.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-36	-10000	-6	-125	0	49%	-0.76	-53.9	5.29%	0	-1.3	14	0
7	Mar_21_2012	49573.1	40853.45	36026.33	33592			33320(-0.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-34	-10000	-2	-130	0	52%	-0.66	-47.8	5.26%	0	-1.2	13	0
8	Mar_20_2012	49900.4	41707.12	36673.8	33764			33620(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-44	-10000	-10	-147	0	55%	-0.65	-44.4	5.26%	0	-1.3	18	0
9	Mar_19_2012	50227.06	42441.62	37271.25	34704			33060(-2.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-49	-10000	-13	-158	0	52%	-0.74	-40.1	5.42%	0	-1.5	12	0
10	Mar_16_2012	50601.02	43046.13	38207.43	35932			33760(-1.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-49	-10000	-14	-153	0	52%	-0.66	-38.7	5.5%	0	-1.6	24	0

11	Mar_15_2012	50934.77	43693.79	39312.7	37412			34200(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-45	-10000	-13	-142	0	52%	-0.59	-36.2	5.54%	0	-1.8	23	0
12	Mar_14_2012	51238.94	44185.75	40647.25	38832			34180(-10.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-40	-10000	-10	-130	0	49%	-0.57	-36.8	5.56%	0	-2.1	22	0
13	Mar_13_2012	51531.44	44704.14	41921.85	39956			38320(-2.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-10000	-2	-121	0	48%	-0.42	-40.8	5.52%	0	-1.5	28	0
14	Mar_12_2012	51749.35	45054.71	43233.89	40184			39200(-4.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	-10000	-5	-107	0	45%	-0.32	-47.5	5.76%	0	-1.5	36	0
15	Mar_9_2012	51914.35	45377.5	44170.9	40820			41160(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-27	-10000	-6	-91	0	45%	-0.24	-52.5	5.87%	0	-1.1	48	0

16	Mar_8_2012	52040.6	45696.13	45013.32	41568			41300(3.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-10000	-10	-77	0	43%	-0.26	-55.8	5.88%	0	-1.2	45	0
17	Mar_7_2012	52175.19	46027.3	46019.25	42852			39800(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-19	-10000	-10	-47	0	43%	-0.43	-52.4	5.95%	0	-1.8	49	0
18	Mar_6_2012	52401.23	46491.3	47120.22	44232			39460(-6.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-19	-10000	-18	-21	0	45%	-0.42	-48	5.95%	0	-2.2	48	0
19	Mar_5_2012	52623.73	47007.79	48057.41	46732			42380(-5.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-2	-10000	-9	18	0	47%	-0.42	-32.9	5.95%	0	-1.7	50	0
20	Mar_2_2012	52846.44	47399.87	48345.32	47968			44900(-5.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	3	-10000	-7	34	0	44%	-0.3	-25.6	5.91%	0	-1	53	0

21	Mar_1_2012	53006.65	47781.73	48507.87	48932			47720(2.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-10000	-5	44	0	45%	-0.29	-8.3	6%	0	-0	52	0
22	Feb_29_2012	53161.08	47903.22	48078.9	49688			46700(-10.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	7	-10000	-5	44	0	49%	-0.29	4.8	6.17%	0	-0.4	50	0
23	Feb_28_2012	53315.67	48065.2	47794.86	50436			51960(7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	5	49	0	52%	-0.19	28.7	6.04%	0	1.3	56	0
24	Feb_27_2012	53414.63	47938.2	47030.77	49632			48560(-2.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	12	-10000	6	31	0	50%	-0.17	34.6	6.01%	0	0.2	48	0
25	Feb_24_2012	53506.08	48083.12	46667.52	48752			49720(-3.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	-10000	5	10	0	50%		43.6	6.01%	0	0.6	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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