Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 16, 2012

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $45860.0000 (7.2%) ($40600.0000 - $46500.0000) on Thu. Feb. 16, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $45860.0000(7.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -6.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(75%)    EEM(25%)    LQD(25%)    PCY(25%)    IGOV(24%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -3% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(9%)    XLY(10%)    XLK(11%)    XAR(11%)    SHY(12%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3% (StdDev 6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 11.3%

Resistance Level   $46843.09
5 Day Moving Average   $44272(3.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46273.05(-0.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46843.09(-2.1%)
To recent high   -32.6%
To recent low   27.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 8.3% (three month std-dev: 6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120316

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_16_2012	53980.66	46843.09	46273.05	44272			45860(7.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-19	-10000	-2	-70	0	44%	-0.22	1.6	6%	0	-0.3	33	0
2	Feb_15_2012	54097.15	46599.68	46912.22	44544			42780(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-10000	-7	-63	0	41%	-0.38	-2.5	5.93%	0	-1	37	0
3	Feb_14_2012	54301.48	46651.19	47695.65	45508			43240(-2.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-10000	-8	-47	0	41%	-0.37	1.2	5.93%	0	-0.9	45	0
4	Feb_13_2012	54505.4	46661.94	48408.26	46584			44540(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-10000	-7	-17	0	41%	-0.31	7.4	5.93%	0	-0.5	67	0
5	Feb_10_2012	54676.33	46695.6	48995.47	47528			44940(-4.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-10000	-7	9	0	44%	-0.43	16	6.01%	0	-0.4	60	0

6	Feb_9_2012	54913.44	46784.06	49717.63	48540			47220(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-10000	-8	43	0	42%	-0.62	26.1	5.98%	0	0.1	67	0
7	Feb_8_2012	55254.06	46696.93	49896.84	49660			47600(-2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-10000	-4	77	0	42%	-0.67	36.1	6.02%	0	0.2	68	0
8	Feb_7_2012	55624.16	46604.61	49872.44	50224			48620(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	22	-10000	-2	95	0	44%	-0.55	42.6	6.02%	0	0.5	62	0
9	Feb_6_2012	55929.53	46369.35	49075.87	50504			49260(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	23	-10000	-1	96	0	44%	-0.55	50.9	6.08%	0	0.7	63	0
10	Feb_3_2012	56239.63	46065.34	48441.58	50668			50000(-5.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	22	-10000	-3	95	0	46%	-0.49	59.3	6.08%	0	1	59	0

11	Feb_2_2012	56514.89	45768.61	47523.43	51056			52820(4.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	6	94	0	46%	-0.45	75.5	6.11%	0	1.8	59	0
12	Feb_1_2012	56770.14	45302.46	46262.33	50208			50420(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-10000	5	75	0	46%	-0.55	82.4	6.1%	0	1.5	59	0
13	Jan_31_2012	57081.48	44971.73	45496.57	49476			50020(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	15	65	0	45%	-0.53	84.8	6.1%	0	1.5	57	0
14	Jan_30_2012	57386.02	44428.14	44728.7	47368			50080(-3.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	-10000	11	35	0	45%	-0.61	65.9	6.14%	0	1.8	61	0
15	Jan_27_2012	57739.42	43825.97	44130.77	45812			51940(6.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	18	-10000	17	21	0	45%	-0.61	46.1	6.16%	0	2.6	65	0

16	Jan_26_2012	58095.09	43022.06	43467.74	43472			48580(3.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	9	-10000	13	-5	0	43%	-0.61	16.6	6.11%	0	2	58	0
17	Jan_25_2012	58453.65	42590.15	43070.29	41792			46760(18.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-2	-10000	6	-27	0	43%	-0.64	2.3	6.09%	0	1.4	56	0
18	Jan_24_2012	58828.08	42341.17	42904.13	41040			39480(-6.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-10000	-5	-41	0	39%	-0.34	-4.4	5.65%	0	-1	38	0
19	Jan_23_2012	59029.63	42440.43	43380.66	41676			42300(5.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-9	-10000	-4	-22	0	41%	-0.7	3.9	5.68%	0	-0.1	62	0
20	Jan_20_2012	59444.42	42436.87	43489.54	42176			40240(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9	-10000	-10	-7	0	41%	-0.66	10.3	5.66%	0	-0.8	62	0

21	Jan_19_2012	59842.13	42566.11	43935.87	43432			40180(-6.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	2	-10000	-8	30	0	38%	-0.63	18.2	5.66%	0	-0.9	66	0
22	Jan_18_2012	60224.42	42522.78	44380	44480			43000(0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-10000	-4	55	0	39%	-0.59	6.4	5.79%	0	0.2	58	0
23	Jan_17_2012	60582.13	42464.45	44529.45	45040			42660(-4.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	16	-10000	-2	70	0	39%	-0.81	-15.4	5.8%	0	0.1	53	0
24	Jan_13_2012	61073.86	42332.27	44253.14	45288			44800(-3.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	20	-10000	2	73	0	41%	-0.47	-39.7	5.8%	0	0.9	59	0
25	Jan_12_2012	61362.31	42149.78	43630.11	44972			46520(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	3	61	0	41%		-74.8	5.8%	0	1.6	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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