Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Dec. 23, 2011

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $42240.0000 (3.02%) ($41400.0000 - $42294.0000) on Fri. Dec. 23, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.66% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $42240.0000(3.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -17.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(75%)    EEM(26%)    LQD(25%)    PCY(25%)    VWO(25%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -2.83% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(9%)    XLY(10%)    XAR(11%)    XLK(12%)    SHY(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.83% (StdDev 5.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

Resistance Level   $51484.86
5 Day Moving Average   $41336(2.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42675.03(-1.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51484.86(-17.96%)
To recent high   -43.8%
To recent low   9.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 18.82% (three month std-dev: 5.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120123

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_23_2011	64841.86	51484.86	42675.03	41336			42240(3.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-45	-10000	1	-184	0	40%	-0.3	-43.1	5.66%	0	-1	31	0
2	Dec_22_2011	65035.19	52207.16	44165.23	41256			41000(-2.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-44	-10000	2	-181	0	37%	-0.44	-46.5	5.77%	0	-1.2	28	0
3	Dec_21_2011	65320.24	53066.2	45700.7	41012			42200(-0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-46	-10000	1	-187	0	37%	-0.39	-53.6	6.05%	0	-1.2	25	0
4	Dec_20_2011	65575.8	54022.12	47623.87	40844			42600(10.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-52	-10000	-5	-193	0	39%	-0.35	-60	6.06%	0	-1.3	26	0
5	Dec_19_2011	65803.47	54864.84	49548.84	41468			38640(-7.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-63	-10000	-21	-190	0	36%	-0.39	-66.6	5.97%	0	-1.9	31	0

6	Dec_16_2011	66059.64	56037.56	51644.48	44272			41840(5.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-60	-10000	-24	-168	0	37%	-0.38	-71.9	5.91%	0	-1.8	35	0
7	Dec_15_2011	66311.35	57120.9	53554.37	47632			39780(-3.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-51	-10000	-23	-134	0	37%	-0.42	-71.4	5.89%	0	-2.4	36	0
8	Dec_14_2011	66593.58	58578.5	56334.55	51116			41360(-9.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-42	-10000	-26	-91	0	37%	-0.46	-70.1	5.88%	0	-2.7	36	0
9	Dec_13_2011	66903.27	60070.93	58983.38	55364			45720(-13.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-25	-10000	-20	-41	0	39%	-0.39	-65.8	5.79%	0	-2.6	37	0
10	Dec_12_2011	67167.52	61323.58	60507.82	58744			52660(-10.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-7	-10000	-8	-3	0	40%	-0.31	-62.9	5.57%	0	-1.8	46	0

11	Dec_9_2011	67373.98	62318.72	61222.99	60032			58640(2.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-10000	-2	9	0	43%	-0.19	-53.2	5.48%	0	-0.8	49	0
12	Dec_8_2011	67503.27	62780.11	61039.52	60408			57200(-8.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-10	-10000	-12	-2	0	43%	-0.22	-54.4	5.47%	0	-1.1	45	0
13	Dec_7_2011	67653.98	63376.25	61132.31	62400			62600(-0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-3	-10000	-5	4	0	45%	-0.12	-43.3	5.4%	0	-0.2	44	0
14	Dec_6_2011	67734.99	63867.39	60931.82	63280			62620(5.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	3	-10000	4	1	0	45%	-0.15	-29.1	5.4%	0	-0.2	41	0
15	Dec_5_2011	67838.22	64442.11	60521.41	62620			59100(-2.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-6	-10000	1	-26	0	43%	-0.17	-22.4	5.34%	0	-0.9	37	0

16	Dec_2_2011	67954.59	65019.65	60698.33	62528			60520(-9.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-7	-10000	6	-44	0	44%	-0.12	-22	5.38%	0	-0.8	35	0
17	Dec_1_2011	68038.42	65570.87	60874.68	61616			67160(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-5	-10000	13	-60	0	47%	-0.04	-21.9	5.28%	0	0.3	49	0
18	Nov_30_2011	68065.09	65569.76	60810.24	59644			67000(12.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-15	-10000	8	-84	0	47%	0.03	-28.1	5.24%	0	0.2	47	0
19	Nov_29_2011	68047.92	65456.02	60981.85	58396			59320(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-27	-10000	1	-109	0	42%	-0.03	-32.2	5%	0	-1	31	0
20	Nov_28_2011	68069.53	65780.33	61996.53	58232			58640(4.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-32	-10000	-3	-119	0	42%	-0.06	-30	5%	0	-1.3	28	0

21	Nov_25_2011	68113.17	66323.82	63345.27	58652			55960(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-10000	-9	-115	0	44%	-0.02	-18.6	5%	0	-1.9	32	0
22	Nov_23_2011	68128.24	66881.15	64600.21	59952			57300(-5.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-10000	-14	-111	0	41%	-0.06	-2.3	5.02%	0	-2	33	0
23	Nov_22_2011	68166.14	67261.73	65830.54	62092			60760(3.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-10000	-12	-89	0	45%	-0.11	20.3	5.04%	0	-1.5	44	0
24	Nov_21_2011	68240.95	67401.6	67081.04	64020			58500(-3.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-26	-10000	-14	-60	0	45%	0.02	33	5.11%	0	-1.9	46	0
25	Nov_18_2011	68230.04	67533.25	68771.1	66344			60740(-2.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-17	-10000	-14	-24	0	47%		43.4	5.13%	0	-1.4	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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