Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jul. 11, 2011

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $61459.8000 (-2.38%) ($60800.0000 - $64100.0000) on Mon. Jul. 11, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.26% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $61459.8000(-2.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 4.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(74%)    EEM(26%)    LQD(25%)    PCY(25%)    REMX(25%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -1.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(10%)    XLY(11%)    SHY(11%)    XLK(13%)    XLP(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.63% (StdDev 3.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $62217.96(-1.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $59954.39(2.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $58102.64(5.78%)
To recent high   -22.6%
To recent low   14.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 5.17% (three month std-dev: 3.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110811

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_11_2011	67041.3	58102.64	59954.39	62217.96			61459.8(-2.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	29	-10000	8	90	0	32%	-0.15	36.2	3.26%	0	1.1	66	0
2	Jul_8_2011	67144.81	57863.4	59337.67	61410			62960(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	-10000	7	79	0	35%	-0.11	18.8	3.31%	0	1.8	71	0
3	Jul_7_2011	67216.97	57630.49	58810.77	60666			62880(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	-10000	8	81	0	35%	-0.09	3.9	3.36%	0	2	71	0
4	Jul_6_2011	67276.76	57311.84	58428	59872.4			62700(2.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	-10000	13	80	0	35%	-0.08	-20.4	3.36%	0	2.3	62	0
5	Jul_5_2011	67329.75	57120.85	57921.37	58632.4			61090(6.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	26	-10000	13	64	0	40%	-0.01	-56	3.34%	0	1.9	58	0

6	Jul_1_2011	67337.31	57035.1	57253.57	57386.4			57420(-3.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	13	-10000	5	36	0	37%	-0.11	-74.1	3.46%	0	0.2	57	0
7	Jun_30_2011	67408.73	57321.89	56932.11	56906.4			59240(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	6	-10000	2	19	0	39%	-0.1	-70.7	3.42%	0	0.7	55	0
8	Jun_29_2011	67474.24	57525.92	56370.07	56666.4			58912(4.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-2	-10000	-2	-2	0	39%	-0.13	-65.8	3.46%	0	0.4	49	0
9	Jun_28_2011	67564.94	57795.8	56072.04	56816			56500(2.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3	-10000	-3	-2	0	36%	-0.12	-54	3.41%	0	-0.3	49	0
10	Jun_27_2011	67649.43	58315.19	56096.18	57144			54860(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	-10000	1	-3	0	36%	-0.15	-44.8	3.41%	0	-0.9	41	0

11	Jun_24_2011	67752.9	58906.81	56143.31	57064			55020(-5.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-3	-10000	2	-18	0	36%	-0.16	-37.6	3.41%	0	-0.9	40	0
12	Jun_23_2011	67863.71	59414.42	56343.67	56840			58040(-2.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-10000	9	-39	0	42%	-0.06	-35.3	3.36%	0	-0.3	38	0
13	Jun_22_2011	67906.77	59759.66	56396.15	55948			59660(2.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-12	-10000	7	-67	0	42%	-0.06	-36.2	3.46%	0	-0	39	0
14	Jun_21_2011	67945.14	59968.42	56091.96	55264			58140(6.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-24	-10000	3	-103	0	45%	-0.03	-36.5	3.44%	0	-0.4	34	0
15	Jun_20_2011	67963.71	60139.22	56195.77	55012			54460(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-10000	-1	-132	0	41%	-0.1	-36.6	3.39%	0	-1.2	21	0

16	Jun_17_2011	68029.02	60561.95	56749.91	55137.2			53900(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-10000	-6	-149	0	41%	-0.08	-34.6	3.42%	0	-1.5	21	0
17	Jun_16_2011	68086.16	61003.32	57718.16	55753.2			53580(-4.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-45	-10000	-11	-146	0	40%	-0.15	-31.3	3.42%	0	-1.8	27	0
18	Jun_15_2011	68190.45	61442.9	58774.94	56846.72			56240(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	-10000	-2	-130	0	40%	-0.03	-25.9	3.42%	0	-1.4	30	0
19	Jun_14_2011	68210.65	61700.84	59647.16	57014.72			56880(3.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-36	-10000	-6	-126	0	40%	-0.03	-31.6	3.46%	0	-1.4	34	0
20	Jun_13_2011	68232.28	61874.51	60691.83	57594.72			55086(-3.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-34	-10000	-10	-107	0	40%	-0.08	-36.7	3.43%	0	-2	39	0

21	Jun_10_2011	68284.47	62127.37	61910.11	58609.52			56980(-3.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-10000	-13	-82	0	39%	-0.07	-38.3	3.44%	0	-1.7	40	0
22	Jun_9_2011	68330.39	62318.8	62777.81	59997.52			59047.6(3.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-10000	-10	-53	0	40%	-0.06	-33.3	3.52%	0	-1.1	45	0
23	Jun_8_2011	68372.96	62426.05	63433.02	61040			57080(-4.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-19	-10000	-15	-31	0	40%	-0.11	-36.9	3.49%	0	-1.9	42	0
24	Jun_7_2011	68447.86	62839.09	64221.73	62676.04			59780(-0.63%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-10	-10000	-14	2	0	42%	-0.13	-28.7	3.46%	0	-1.2	52	0
25	Jun_6_2011	68537.22	63145.22	64471.22	64270.04			60160(-5.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-1	-10000	-12	32	0	42%		-24.4	3.46%	0	-1.2	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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