Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. May. 13, 2011

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $59040.0000 (-1.57%) ($57240.0000 - $61300.0000) on Fri. May. 13, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.6% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $59040.0000(-1.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT declines -1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -9.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(73%)    EEM(26%)    LQD(25%)    PCY(25%)    REMX(25%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -1.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(10%)    XLY(11%)    SHY(11%)    XLK(13%)    TLT(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.8% (StdDev 3.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

Resistance Level   $70249.27
5 Day Moving Average   $62108(-4.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $64500.33(-8.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $70249.27(-15.96%)
To recent high   -28.6%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 9.52% (three month std-dev: 3.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110613

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_13_2011	69775.45	70249.27	64500.33	62108			59040(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-47	-10000	-8	-164	0	47%	-0.23	-57.2	3.6%	0	-1.7	26	0
2	May_12_2011	69936.07	71178.43	66350.26	63020			59980(-1.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-43	-10000	-6	-153	0	47%	-0.2	-59.8	3.62%	0	-1.8	24	0
3	May_11_2011	70075.86	71982.68	67931.44	63712			60640(-6.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-47	-10000	-13	-150	0	47%	-0.21	-66.8	3.65%	0	-2	27	0
4	May_10_2011	70226.17	72781.73	69545.72	65295.4			65000(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	-10000	-6	-133	0	50%	-0.15	-71.3	3.55%	0	-1.5	33	0
5	May_9_2011	70334	73461.22	70400.22	65951.4			65880(3.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-42	-10000	-12	-132	0	50%	-0.12	-67.5	3.55%	0	-1.6	39	0

6	May_6_2011	70419.78	74302.07	71368.96	67367.4			63600(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-48	-10000	-23	-124	0	50%	-0.15	-51.6	3.54%	0	-2.2	33	0
7	May_5_2011	70528.64	75131.6	72967.55	70283.4			63440(-7.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-35	-10000	-19	-83	0	50%	-0.19	-35.6	3.57%	0	-2.7	32	0
8	May_4_2011	70663.49	76008.53	74503.41	72775.4			68557(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-22	-10000	-13	-47	0	54%	-0.16	-15.3	3.46%	0	-2.2	42	0
9	May_3_2011	70774.86	76594.8	75391.6	74404			68280(-6.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-12	-10000	-8	-22	0	57%	-0.16	12.4	3.47%	0	-2.7	40	0
10	May_2_2011	70887.85	76879.63	76147.21	75408			72960(-6.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-7	-10000	-4	-15	0	60%	-0.07	31.4	3.44%	0	-1.5	42	0

11	Apr_29_2011	70940.01	76911.04	76533.36	75908			78180(3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-7	-10000	-2	-21	0	67%	0.01	38.3	3.35%	0	0.5	41	0
12	Apr_28_2011	70931.97	76685.92	76385.36	76148			75900(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10000	-3	-24	0	67%	-0.01	40.2	3.37%	0	-0.3	45	0
13	Apr_27_2011	70941.05	76534.4	76324.4	76588			76700(4.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-7	-10000	-0	-28	0	62%	0.08	40.5	3.37%	0	0.1	44	0
14	Apr_26_2011	70881.06	76219.92	76218.86	76632			73300(-2.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-11	-10000	-2	-36	0	64%	0.04	37.4	3.44%	0	-0.9	39	0
15	Apr_25_2011	70855.59	76085.03	76724.53	76952			75460(-4.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	-10000	-1	-21	0	64%	0.07	38.9	3.61%	0	-0.2	58	0

16	Apr_21_2011	70806.61	75941.23	77407.96	77152			79380(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	4	-10000	4	3	0	67%	0.13	49.6	3.54%	0	1	64	0
17	Apr_20_2011	70714.42	75633.22	77370.28	76664			78100(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	5	-10000	4	9	0	67%	0.11	60.8	3.55%	0	0.7	61	0
18	Apr_19_2011	70634.15	75413.02	77536.03	76064			76920(2.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	-10000	2	16	0	67%	0.1	68.8	3.57%	0	0.4	61	0
19	Apr_18_2011	70565.07	75048.66	77809.6	75804			74900(-2.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-10000	-5	31	0	68%	0.07	69	3.57%	0	-0	63	0
20	Apr_15_2011	70516.9	74769.46	77665.28	76464			76460(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	4	-10000	-9	44	0	68%	0.09	67.1	3.58%	0	0.4	67	0

21	Apr_14_2011	70450.13	74251.19	77351.78	77720			76940(2.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10000	-4	65	0	66%	0.1	65	3.6%	0	0.6	60	0
22	Apr_13_2011	70376.38	73607.77	77046.45	78219.2			75100(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	-10000	-7	72	0	62%	0.08	60	3.64%	0	0.3	55	0
23	Apr_12_2011	70322.09	73011.18	76836.99	79219.2			75620(-3.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	16	-10000	-6	82	0	62%	0.09	55.9	3.74%	0	0.5	55	0
24	Apr_11_2011	70260.48	72504.65	76328.85	80051.2			78200(-5.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	32	-10000	8	103	0	63%	0.13	54.6	3.71%	0	1	67	0
25	Apr_8_2011	70167.08	71992.4	75505.94	78923.2			82740(4.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	35	-10000	14	97	0	66%		45.4	3.64%	0	2	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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